Pre-tourney Rankings
College of Charleston
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.5#157
Expected Predictive Rating+0.2#169
Pace82.8#1
Improvement-0.6#202

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#157
First Shot-1.5#231
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#31
Layup/Dunks-0.8#196
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#260
Freethrows+1.0#99
Improvement+1.2#117

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#182
First Shot-2.6#257
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#23
Layups/Dunks+1.0#144
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#341
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#89
Freethrows-2.8#335
Improvement-1.8#279
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 2
Quad 21 - 42 - 6
Quad 34 - 66 - 12
Quad 411 - 317 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 324   South Carolina St. W 106-74 89%     1 - 0 +19.3 +5.0 +7.0
  Nov 12, 2021 268   Lipscomb W 86-77 80%     2 - 0 +0.7 -6.3 +5.6
  Nov 13, 2021 271   Loyola Maryland W 79-72 80%     3 - 0 -1.5 -2.6 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2021 28   North Carolina L 83-94 19%     3 - 1 -1.4 -0.8 +1.3
  Nov 22, 2021 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 66-96 12%     3 - 2 -16.8 -4.7 -7.9
  Nov 27, 2021 94   @ Chattanooga W 68-66 23%     4 - 2 +10.1 -0.1 +10.3
  Nov 30, 2021 96   Tulane W 81-77 39%     5 - 2 +7.5 +1.5 +5.6
  Dec 03, 2021 88   @ Furman L 88-91 OT 22%     5 - 3 +5.5 +2.0 +3.9
  Dec 07, 2021 96   @ Tulane W 86-72 24%     6 - 3 +21.9 +8.3 +12.3
  Dec 12, 2021 279   Presbyterian W 78-76 OT 81%     7 - 3 -6.9 -3.4 -3.6
  Dec 16, 2021 294   @ Stetson L 59-67 73%     7 - 4 -13.7 -16.9 +3.2
  Dec 22, 2021 181   @ Old Dominion W 82-80 46%     8 - 4 +3.5 +9.4 -6.0
  Dec 31, 2021 147   Delaware L 66-67 56%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -2.1 -9.0 +6.9
  Jan 09, 2022 246   Elon W 65-61 76%     9 - 5 1 - 1 -2.9 -10.7 +7.8
  Jan 17, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington L 78-86 62%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -10.7 -1.5 -8.7
  Jan 20, 2022 89   @ Towson L 67-74 22%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +1.5 -5.6 +7.4
  Jan 22, 2022 233   @ James Madison L 94-95 58%     9 - 8 1 - 4 -2.5 +7.7 -10.1
  Jan 25, 2022 338   William & Mary W 74-73 90%     10 - 8 2 - 4 -12.9 -11.6 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2022 138   Hofstra L 73-76 53%     10 - 9 2 - 5 -3.2 -8.0 +5.0
  Jan 29, 2022 253   Northeastern W 81-63 77%     11 - 9 3 - 5 +10.7 +9.5 +2.0
  Feb 03, 2022 338   @ William & Mary W 84-61 83%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +13.5 +7.5 +5.5
  Feb 05, 2022 246   @ Elon W 66-64 61%     13 - 9 5 - 5 -0.5 -8.6 +8.1
  Feb 12, 2022 177   @ UNC Wilmington L 79-85 45%     13 - 10 5 - 6 -4.3 +2.2 -6.2
  Feb 14, 2022 162   Drexel W 79-75 60%     14 - 10 6 - 6 +2.0 +5.9 -3.8
  Feb 17, 2022 233   James Madison L 63-71 73%     14 - 11 6 - 7 -13.9 -13.7 -0.3
  Feb 19, 2022 89   Towson L 77-80 36%     14 - 12 6 - 8 +1.1 +1.0 +0.3
  Feb 22, 2022 253   @ Northeastern W 83-72 63%     15 - 12 7 - 8 +8.1 +14.7 -6.0
  Feb 24, 2022 147   @ Delaware W 99-96 39%     16 - 12 8 - 8 +6.4 +12.0 -6.0
  Feb 26, 2022 162   @ Drexel L 79-80 43%     16 - 13 8 - 9 +1.4 +3.9 -2.4
  Feb 28, 2022 138   @ Hofstra L 84-89 36%     16 - 14 8 - 10 -0.8 -1.4 +1.3
  Mar 06, 2022 138   Hofstra W 92-76 44%     17 - 14 +18.0 +13.9 +3.4
  Mar 07, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington L 57-60 54%     17 - 15 -3.5 -12.0 +8.2
Projected Record 17 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%