Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#221
Expected Predictive Rating-3.4#221
Pace63.9#298
Improvement+2.1#96

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#117
First Shot+1.0#147
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#85
Layup/Dunks-8.6#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.7#9
Freethrows-1.2#280
Improvement+2.4#64

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#312
First Shot-5.3#334
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#158
Layups/Dunks-1.7#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#338
Freethrows+0.3#157
Improvement-0.3#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 412 - 413 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 74   @ Wyoming L 47-85 11%     0 - 1 -27.7 -17.2 -13.6
  Nov 13, 2021 80   @ Toledo L 73-81 13%     0 - 2 +1.3 +3.7 -2.6
  Nov 17, 2021 46   @ Mississippi St. L 64-77 8%     0 - 3 -0.7 +6.5 -9.1
  Nov 20, 2021 119   @ Louisville L 67-73 21%     0 - 4 -0.6 -0.4 -0.3
  Nov 27, 2021 138   @ Hofstra L 84-98 25%     0 - 5 -9.8 +5.8 -14.9
  Nov 30, 2021 253   @ Northeastern L 56-66 49%     0 - 6 -12.9 -8.1 -6.4
  Dec 02, 2021 358   @ IUPUI W 69-45 90%     1 - 6 1 - 0 +6.7 -0.3 +9.5
  Dec 05, 2021 276   @ Illinois-Chicago W 64-56 55%     2 - 6 2 - 0 +3.7 -10.7 +14.6
  Dec 09, 2021 135   @ Kent St. L 52-69 24%     2 - 7 -12.7 -11.3 -3.3
  Dec 11, 2021 309   Western Michigan W 83-64 79%     3 - 7 +7.5 +11.0 -1.8
  Dec 19, 2021 299   Central Michigan W 89-75 76%     4 - 7 +3.6 +8.7 -5.5
  Jan 07, 2022 329   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-60 83%     5 - 7 3 - 0 +12.0 +11.0 +2.1
  Jan 13, 2022 220   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 60-62 41%     5 - 8 3 - 1 -2.7 -12.1 +9.4
  Jan 15, 2022 190   @ Cleveland St. L 70-72 35%     5 - 9 3 - 2 -1.1 -2.1 +1.0
  Jan 20, 2022 337   @ Green Bay L 63-70 73%     5 - 10 3 - 3 -16.3 -5.9 -11.2
  Jan 22, 2022 329   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-58 70%     6 - 10 4 - 3 +4.4 +1.5 +4.0
  Jan 27, 2022 276   Illinois-Chicago W 80-67 71%     7 - 10 5 - 3 +4.2 +3.3 +1.2
  Feb 04, 2022 166   @ Wright St. L 59-90 31%     7 - 11 5 - 4 -28.8 -12.6 -17.6
  Feb 05, 2022 179   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-68 33%     8 - 11 6 - 4 +7.6 +17.9 -9.1
  Feb 09, 2022 311   @ Robert Morris W 79-62 66%     9 - 11 7 - 4 +9.6 +6.4 +4.5
  Feb 11, 2022 251   @ Youngstown St. L 69-82 49%     9 - 12 7 - 5 -15.8 -2.2 -14.6
  Feb 13, 2022 186   @ Oakland L 59-75 34%     9 - 13 7 - 6 -14.8 -6.2 -10.7
  Feb 18, 2022 179   Northern Kentucky W 60-52 49%     10 - 13 8 - 6 +5.2 -2.3 +9.0
  Feb 20, 2022 166   Wright St. W 80-75 47%     11 - 13 9 - 6 +2.8 +4.8 -1.9
  Feb 24, 2022 190   Cleveland St. W 74-67 52%     12 - 13 10 - 6 +3.5 +8.9 -4.3
  Feb 26, 2022 220   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-81 58%     12 - 14 10 - 7 -8.1 +9.4 -17.7
  Mar 01, 2022 337   Green Bay W 79-62 84%     13 - 14 +3.3 +6.3 -1.9
  Mar 03, 2022 179   @ Northern Kentucky L 59-77 33%     13 - 15 -16.4 -3.6 -15.6
Projected Record 13 - 15 10 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12 100.0% 100.0
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%