Pre-tourney Rankings
East Tennessee St.
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#194
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#196
Pace64.5#274
Improvement-2.9#295

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#91
First Shot+2.2#107
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#97
Layup/Dunks-2.1#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#120
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.5#13
Freethrows-2.9#348
Improvement+1.1#127

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#305
First Shot-3.9#297
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#259
Layups/Dunks-1.5#242
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#264
Freethrows+1.4#84
Improvement-4.0#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 11 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 32 - 6
Quad 37 - 59 - 11
Quad 44 - 613 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 159   @ Appalachian St. L 67-69 34%     0 - 1 +0.6 +4.6 -4.2
  Nov 14, 2021 7   @ Tennessee L 62-94 3%     0 - 2 -12.2 -2.6 -7.2
  Nov 18, 2021 284   South Carolina Upstate W 56-43 78%     1 - 2 +3.4 -17.2 +22.1
  Nov 22, 2021 56   Murray St. W 66-58 15%     2 - 2 +17.4 +0.9 +16.9
  Nov 23, 2021 75   Missouri St. W 77-76 19%     3 - 2 +8.9 +17.2 -8.1
  Nov 24, 2021 135   Kent St. W 57-51 36%     4 - 2 +8.1 -6.4 +15.2
  Dec 01, 2021 53   @ UAB L 56-70 11%     4 - 3 -2.2 -9.6 +6.7
  Dec 11, 2021 134   Morehead St. W 82-75 44%     5 - 3 +6.9 +11.0 -4.0
  Dec 14, 2021 298   N.C. A&T L 67-69 80%     5 - 4 -12.3 -6.5 -5.9
  Dec 18, 2021 235   @ UNC Asheville L 64-79 50%     5 - 5 -16.6 -5.5 -12.2
  Dec 22, 2021 203   @ Georgia W 86-84 43%     6 - 5 +2.3 +8.4 -6.1
  Dec 30, 2021 94   @ Chattanooga L 52-82 18%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -21.9 -10.9 -14.9
  Jan 05, 2022 180   VMI W 80-79 55%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -1.9 +0.5 -2.3
  Jan 08, 2022 131   Wofford L 57-68 44%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -10.9 -11.3 -0.5
  Jan 10, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 87-69 80%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +7.5 +5.2 +1.8
  Jan 12, 2022 88   @ Furman L 69-78 17%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -0.5 -1.8 +1.2
  Jan 15, 2022 192   @ Samford W 88-85 41%     9 - 8 3 - 3 +3.8 +14.8 -11.0
  Jan 19, 2022 199   Mercer W 72-64 59%     10 - 8 4 - 3 +4.0 +1.3 +3.5
  Jan 22, 2022 255   The Citadel L 73-75 72%     10 - 9 4 - 4 -9.4 -4.1 -5.4
  Jan 26, 2022 182   UNC Greensboro L 76-80 56%     10 - 10 4 - 5 -7.0 +11.8 -19.3
  Jan 29, 2022 180   @ VMI L 79-83 38%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -2.4 +8.1 -10.9
  Feb 02, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina L 84-87 67%     10 - 12 4 - 7 -9.1 +8.4 -17.6
  Feb 05, 2022 131   @ Wofford L 60-62 28%     10 - 13 4 - 8 +2.5 +2.1 +0.0
  Feb 07, 2022 88   Furman W 75-71 29%     11 - 13 5 - 8 +8.1 +14.3 -5.5
  Feb 12, 2022 192   Samford L 73-77 58%     11 - 14 5 - 9 -7.6 +0.8 -8.6
  Feb 16, 2022 199   @ Mercer L 56-65 42%     11 - 15 5 - 10 -8.6 -6.7 -3.8
  Feb 19, 2022 255   @ The Citadel W 77-67 56%     12 - 15 6 - 10 +7.0 +5.4 +2.0
  Feb 23, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 77-83 31%     12 - 16 6 - 11 -2.3 +3.4 -5.6
  Feb 27, 2022 182   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-69 39%     13 - 16 7 - 11 +5.4 +5.3 +0.2
  Mar 04, 2022 255   The Citadel L 76-84 OT 64%     13 - 17 -13.2 -4.9 -7.9
Projected Record 13 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%