Pre-tourney Rankings
Elon
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#246
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#261
Pace65.2#258
Improvement+3.1#72

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#240
First Shot-1.3#222
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#260
Layup/Dunks-3.9#319
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#46
Freethrows-1.1#274
Improvement-1.1#239

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#244
First Shot-2.9#264
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#129
Layups/Dunks+0.0#188
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
Freethrows-4.6#355
Improvement+4.2#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 21 - 7
Quad 32 - 123 - 19
Quad 45 - 38 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 47   @ Florida L 61-74 7%     0 - 1 -0.8 -4.3 +2.9
  Nov 18, 2021 69   West Virginia L 68-87 12%     0 - 2 -10.7 -4.2 -5.6
  Nov 19, 2021 99   Mississippi L 56-74 17%     0 - 3 -12.7 -16.5 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2021 111   Temple L 58-75 21%     0 - 4 -13.1 -8.4 -5.3
  Nov 27, 2021 153   Jacksonville St. L 81-93 37%     0 - 5 -13.4 +6.3 -19.6
  Nov 30, 2021 182   @ UNC Greensboro L 61-74 28%     0 - 6 -11.6 -8.7 -3.1
  Dec 04, 2021 252   High Point L 77-83 60%     0 - 7 -13.2 +4.1 -17.6
  Dec 11, 2021 28   @ North Carolina L 63-80 5%     0 - 8 -3.0 -9.6 +8.0
  Dec 15, 2021 174   Winthrop W 63-61 42%     1 - 8 -0.6 -6.3 +5.9
  Dec 18, 2021 13   @ Duke L 56-87 3%     1 - 9 -12.3 -11.6 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2021 16   @ Arkansas L 55-81 3%     1 - 10 -9.4 -5.6 -5.0
  Dec 29, 2021 253   Northeastern W 79-62 60%     2 - 10 1 - 0 +9.7 +14.0 -2.1
  Jan 09, 2022 157   @ College of Charleston L 61-65 24%     2 - 11 1 - 1 -1.3 -10.4 +9.1
  Jan 12, 2022 177   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-73 27%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -5.3 +3.1 -9.5
  Jan 15, 2022 89   Towson L 54-59 20%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -0.9 -11.4 +9.9
  Jan 17, 2022 233   James Madison W 90-67 55%     3 - 13 2 - 3 +17.1 +15.2 +2.6
  Jan 20, 2022 162   @ Drexel L 49-77 25%     3 - 14 2 - 4 -25.6 -18.9 -9.3
  Jan 22, 2022 147   @ Delaware L 77-80 22%     3 - 15 2 - 5 +0.4 +7.5 -7.3
  Jan 27, 2022 338   William & Mary W 61-54 81%     4 - 15 3 - 5 -6.9 -12.4 +5.9
  Jan 29, 2022 338   @ William & Mary L 61-65 68%     4 - 16 3 - 6 -13.5 -8.2 -5.6
  Feb 03, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington W 78-65 42%     5 - 16 4 - 6 +10.3 +11.3 +0.2
  Feb 05, 2022 157   College of Charleston L 64-66 39%     5 - 17 4 - 7 -3.7 -10.7 +7.0
  Feb 10, 2022 233   @ James Madison W 70-66 38%     6 - 17 5 - 7 +2.5 +3.3 -0.3
  Feb 12, 2022 89   @ Towson L 50-86 11%     6 - 18 5 - 8 -27.5 -14.6 -16.4
  Feb 15, 2022 138   Hofstra L 64-97 33%     6 - 19 5 - 9 -33.2 -8.2 -26.7
  Feb 17, 2022 147   Delaware L 62-71 36%     6 - 20 5 - 10 -10.1 -10.0 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2022 162   Drexel L 60-71 40%     6 - 21 5 - 11 -13.0 -13.9 +0.8
  Feb 24, 2022 138   @ Hofstra W 81-55 20%     7 - 21 6 - 11 +30.2 +8.1 +22.3
  Feb 26, 2022 253   @ Northeastern W 67-54 43%     8 - 21 7 - 11 +10.1 -1.2 +12.2
  Mar 06, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington L 58-75 34%     8 - 22 -17.5 -4.6 -16.0
Projected Record 8 - 22 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%