Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#199
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#192
Pace63.9#301
Improvement+1.2#132

Offense
Total Offense+1.6#129
First Shot+2.6#92
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#266
Layup/Dunks-1.0#205
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#64
Freethrows+0.3#141
Improvement+0.5#163

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#269
First Shot-4.0#299
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#118
Layups/Dunks-3.2#300
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#101
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#267
Freethrows+0.2#178
Improvement+0.7#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 36 - 76 - 14
Quad 48 - 314 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 16   @ Arkansas L 61-74 5%     0 - 1 +3.6 -0.9 +4.3
  Nov 13, 2021 174   @ Winthrop L 85-88 OT 36%     0 - 2 -1.2 +1.0 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2021 67   @ Saint Louis L 58-75 13%     0 - 3 -6.5 -6.4 -1.2
  Nov 23, 2021 336   Bucknell W 78-68 82%     1 - 3 -1.4 -6.6 +4.9
  Nov 24, 2021 109   Middle Tennessee L 58-82 29%     1 - 4 -20.0 -14.4 -4.8
  Dec 01, 2021 230   @ Kennesaw St. W 73-71 48%     2 - 4 +0.7 +4.2 -3.3
  Dec 04, 2021 146   Georgia St. W 83-77 47%     3 - 4 +5.0 +17.5 -12.1
  Dec 06, 2021 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 74-69 34%     4 - 4 +7.4 +12.6 -4.6
  Dec 11, 2021 258   Georgia Southern W 77-68 71%     5 - 4 +1.4 +3.1 -1.6
  Dec 19, 2021 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 55-67 43%     5 - 5 -11.9 -14.8 +1.8
  Dec 22, 2021 193   Troy L 65-69 57%     5 - 6 -7.7 -5.7 -2.0
  Jan 05, 2022 192   Samford W 83-80 57%     6 - 6 1 - 0 -0.6 +4.3 -5.0
  Jan 08, 2022 88   @ Furman L 66-81 17%     6 - 7 1 - 1 -6.5 -5.2 -1.4
  Jan 13, 2022 180   VMI W 97-91 54%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +3.1 +18.8 -15.6
  Jan 15, 2022 182   UNC Greensboro W 58-49 55%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +6.0 -5.6 +13.0
  Jan 17, 2022 255   @ The Citadel W 71-64 55%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +4.0 -7.3 +11.0
  Jan 19, 2022 194   @ East Tennessee St. L 64-72 41%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -7.3 -6.6 -1.4
  Jan 22, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 72-64 80%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -2.5 +9.0 -9.8
  Jan 26, 2022 192   @ Samford L 61-75 40%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -13.2 -13.3 +0.2
  Jan 29, 2022 88   Furman L 50-80 29%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -25.9 -19.8 -8.7
  Jan 31, 2022 131   Wofford W 67-62 43%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +5.1 +0.6 +5.0
  Feb 05, 2022 94   @ Chattanooga L 68-77 18%     11 - 11 6 - 5 -0.9 +7.8 -10.0
  Feb 07, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 72-74 OT 30%     11 - 12 6 - 6 +1.7 -3.3 +5.1
  Feb 10, 2022 180   @ VMI L 79-85 37%     11 - 13 6 - 7 -4.4 +1.3 -5.7
  Feb 13, 2022 182   @ UNC Greensboro W 73-64 38%     12 - 13 7 - 7 +10.4 +17.4 -5.2
  Feb 16, 2022 194   East Tennessee St. W 65-56 58%     13 - 13 8 - 7 +5.2 +0.6 +6.6
  Feb 19, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina L 65-69 66%     13 - 14 8 - 8 -10.1 -4.1 -6.5
  Feb 23, 2022 255   The Citadel L 67-71 71%     13 - 15 8 - 9 -11.4 -1.9 -10.1
  Feb 26, 2022 131   @ Wofford L 67-74 27%     13 - 16 8 - 10 -2.5 +2.1 -5.2
  Mar 04, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 81-53 74%     14 - 16 +19.7 +5.9 +14.8
  Mar 05, 2022 88   Furman L 66-80 22%     14 - 17 -7.7 +4.8 -15.0
Projected Record 14 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%