Pre-tourney Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.7#291
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#281
Pace59.1#349
Improvement+2.1#97

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#325
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#344
Layup/Dunks-1.8#251
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#142
Freethrows-1.1#278
Improvement+3.3#33

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#233
First Shot+0.9#145
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#349
Layups/Dunks+1.4#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#71
Freethrows-1.0#265
Improvement-1.2#252
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 30 - 31 - 7
Quad 412 - 913 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 341   @ NJIT W 61-54 59%     1 - 0 -3.1 -13.3 +10.3
  Nov 13, 2021 59   @ Rutgers L 35-48 5%     1 - 1 -1.6 -23.3 +19.0
  Nov 17, 2021 289   @ Army L 51-74 41%     1 - 2 -28.5 -25.0 -2.9
  Nov 19, 2021 290   Lehigh W 55-45 58%     2 - 2 +0.1 -17.0 +18.4
  Nov 21, 2021 22   @ Virginia Tech L 43-72 3%     2 - 3 -14.4 -16.5 -3.1
  Nov 23, 2021 281   Hartford W 75-60 56%     3 - 3 +5.8 +5.4 +2.4
  Nov 28, 2021 218   @ Boston University L 60-61 25%     3 - 4 -1.6 -1.4 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2021 257   Umass Lowell L 57-61 49%     3 - 5 -11.5 -13.7 +2.0
  Dec 07, 2021 215   Brown L 56-76 39%     3 - 6 -24.8 -14.4 -11.9
  Dec 09, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 55-80 1%     3 - 7 +1.1 -4.8 +5.4
  Dec 12, 2021 33   @ Indiana L 49-81 3%     3 - 8 -18.4 -11.8 -8.8
  Dec 21, 2021 352   @ Maine W 49-47 69%     4 - 8 -10.7 -16.8 +6.6
  Dec 29, 2021 323   St. Francis Brooklyn W 74-64 68%     5 - 8 1 - 0 -2.6 +3.4 -5.0
  Dec 31, 2021 241   LIU Brooklyn W 82-77 46%     6 - 8 2 - 0 -1.7 +16.4 -17.4
  Jan 08, 2022 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 66-57 64%     7 - 8 3 - 0 -2.4 -2.2 +1.1
  Jan 15, 2022 325   St. Francis (PA) L 46-62 68%     7 - 9 3 - 1 -28.7 -31.7 +2.7
  Jan 17, 2022 250   Mount St. Mary's L 50-57 48%     7 - 10 3 - 2 -14.1 -13.9 -1.5
  Jan 21, 2022 187   Bryant L 63-79 33%     7 - 11 3 - 3 -19.3 -2.5 -19.3
  Jan 23, 2022 172   Wagner L 57-71 31%     7 - 12 3 - 4 -16.5 -7.8 -10.8
  Jan 27, 2022 187   @ Bryant L 67-76 20%     7 - 13 3 - 5 -7.8 -6.0 -1.9
  Feb 03, 2022 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 53-69 31%     7 - 14 3 - 6 -18.7 -9.6 -11.7
  Feb 05, 2022 325   @ St. Francis (PA) W 65-64 OT 52%     8 - 14 4 - 6 -7.3 -7.1 -0.1
  Feb 10, 2022 348   Central Connecticut St. L 57-60 78%     8 - 15 4 - 7 -18.8 -14.3 -5.1
  Feb 12, 2022 172   @ Wagner W 80-65 OT 18%     9 - 15 5 - 7 +16.9 +0.1 +15.2
  Feb 15, 2022 315   @ Sacred Heart W 70-63 50%     10 - 15 6 - 7 -0.7 -6.8 +6.4
  Feb 17, 2022 349   Fairleigh Dickinson W 64-44 79%     11 - 15 7 - 7 +4.0 -12.7 +18.4
  Feb 19, 2022 315   Sacred Heart W 80-79 67%     12 - 15 8 - 7 -11.1 +7.8 -18.8
  Feb 24, 2022 241   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-85 30%     12 - 16 8 - 8 -13.2 +1.3 -14.7
  Feb 26, 2022 323   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 72-52 52%     13 - 16 9 - 8 +11.8 -1.9 +14.4
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%