Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.1#134
Expected Predictive Rating+2.9#127
Pace63.5#309
Improvement+1.1#134

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#180
First Shot+2.2#108
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#326
Layup/Dunks-0.2#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#96
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#85
Freethrows-1.5#301
Improvement-2.4#295

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#118
First Shot+1.2#135
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#90
Layups/Dunks+0.4#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#154
Freethrows+2.5#28
Improvement+3.5#38
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 22 - 02 - 8
Quad 31 - 13 - 9
Quad 417 - 220 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 11   @ Auburn L 54-77 6%     0 - 1 -3.6 -7.1 +3.3
  Nov 12, 2021 53   @ UAB L 71-85 18%     0 - 2 -2.2 +1.9 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2021 46   @ Mississippi St. L 46-66 17%     0 - 3 -7.7 -13.8 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2021 191   @ Arkansas St. W 75-51 55%     1 - 3 +24.8 +7.9 +18.0
  Nov 27, 2021 217   UMKC W 70-62 68%     2 - 3 +5.3 +6.7 -0.2
  Dec 01, 2021 258   Georgia Southern W 59-51 82%     3 - 3 +0.4 -3.4 +5.4
  Dec 06, 2021 279   Presbyterian W 71-66 85%     4 - 3 -3.9 +3.2 -6.5
  Dec 11, 2021 194   @ East Tennessee St. L 75-82 56%     4 - 4 -6.3 -0.8 -5.6
  Dec 15, 2021 50   @ Xavier L 63-86 18%     4 - 5 -11.0 -5.4 -5.3
  Dec 21, 2021 358   @ IUPUI W 80-52 95%     5 - 5 +10.7 +15.8 -0.8
  Dec 29, 2021 355   Eastern Illinois W 63-50 97%     6 - 5 1 - 0 -6.4 -3.6 -0.5
  Jan 08, 2022 296   @ Austin Peay W 66-55 77%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +5.2 -2.9 +8.9
  Jan 12, 2022 313   Tennessee Martin W 76-62 90%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +2.1 -5.8 +7.3
  Jan 15, 2022 278   @ Tennessee St. W 71-64 73%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +2.6 +0.1 +2.8
  Jan 20, 2022 91   Belmont W 83-74 43%     10 - 5 5 - 0 +13.0 +16.8 -3.3
  Jan 22, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 77-74 89%     11 - 5 6 - 0 -8.2 -4.1 -4.3
  Jan 24, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 67-54 85%     12 - 5 7 - 0 +4.2 +1.5 +4.9
  Jan 27, 2022 245   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 74-73 OT 67%     13 - 5 8 - 0 -1.5 -6.0 +4.5
  Jan 29, 2022 56   @ Murray St. L 66-77 18%     13 - 6 8 - 1 +0.6 -0.2 +0.6
  Jan 31, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech W 70-56 73%     14 - 6 9 - 1 +9.9 -6.1 +15.9
  Feb 03, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech W 75-68 84%     15 - 6 10 - 1 -1.5 -4.7 +3.0
  Feb 05, 2022 296   Austin Peay W 77-52 87%     16 - 6 11 - 1 +14.8 +11.6 +6.5
  Feb 10, 2022 91   @ Belmont L 47-48 27%     16 - 7 11 - 2 +7.4 -16.3 +23.7
  Feb 12, 2022 56   Murray St. L 53-57 31%     16 - 8 11 - 3 +3.2 -9.8 +12.5
  Feb 16, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin W 68-60 82%     17 - 8 12 - 3 +0.5 -3.5 +4.5
  Feb 19, 2022 245   Southeast Missouri St. L 84-92 80%     17 - 9 12 - 4 -14.9 +3.9 -18.7
  Feb 24, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois W 82-46 94%     18 - 9 13 - 4 +21.0 +9.0 +13.2
  Feb 26, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville L 70-77 80%     18 - 10 13 - 5 -13.8 +1.3 -15.6
  Mar 03, 2022 272   Tennessee Tech W 73-56 79%     19 - 10 +10.7 -0.1 +11.6
  Mar 04, 2022 91   Belmont W 53-51 35%     20 - 10 +8.2 -11.8 +20.2
  Mar 05, 2022 56   Murray St. L 67-71 24%     20 - 11 +5.4 +3.4 +1.7
Projected Record 20 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%