Pre-tourney Rankings
Mount St. Mary's
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.9#250
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#278
Pace61.0#339
Improvement+6.0#16

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#309
First Shot-5.3#321
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#157
Layup/Dunks-4.3#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#243
Freethrows-1.2#283
Improvement+1.9#79

Defense
Total Defense+0.2#165
First Shot+1.3#131
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#281
Layups/Dunks+0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#297
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#85
Freethrows+0.4#152
Improvement+4.1#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 30 - 30 - 8
Quad 413 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 12   @ Villanova L 51-91 2%     0 - 1 -21.2 -7.3 -19.2
  Nov 13, 2021 161   @ Saint Joseph's L 60-80 24%     0 - 2 -17.5 -8.5 -9.3
  Nov 16, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 55-80 2%     0 - 3 -4.0 -6.9 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2021 311   @ Robert Morris W 74-70 OT 60%     1 - 3 -3.4 -13.8 +9.9
  Nov 22, 2021 123   @ Ohio L 59-73 17%     1 - 4 -8.8 -5.4 -4.8
  Nov 27, 2021 197   Navy L 40-67 46%     1 - 5 -30.9 -27.5 -5.1
  Nov 30, 2021 260   Howard W 72-70 61%     2 - 5 -5.9 -0.7 -5.1
  Dec 04, 2021 271   @ Loyola Maryland L 55-61 47%     2 - 6 -10.1 -13.0 +2.3
  Dec 07, 2021 71   @ Santa Clara L 77-88 8%     2 - 7 -0.6 +3.7 -3.9
  Dec 11, 2021 328   American L 66-72 OT 78%     2 - 8 -18.9 -14.5 -4.2
  Dec 18, 2021 306   Morgan St. W 74-60 72%     3 - 8 +3.0 -1.3 +4.6
  Jan 06, 2022 241   @ LIU Brooklyn L 57-74 40%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -19.2 -17.0 -2.1
  Jan 08, 2022 323   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 69-61 63%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -0.2 -2.5 +2.9
  Jan 15, 2022 187   @ Bryant L 66-73 28%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -5.8 -7.6 +1.8
  Jan 17, 2022 291   @ Merrimack W 57-50 52%     5 - 10 2 - 2 +1.5 -5.5 +8.4
  Jan 21, 2022 315   Sacred Heart W 98-59 76%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +26.9 +19.9 +8.7
  Jan 23, 2022 348   Central Connecticut St. W 65-50 85%     7 - 10 4 - 2 -0.8 -9.4 +9.9
  Jan 27, 2022 349   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 67-56 74%     8 - 10 5 - 2 -0.6 -4.3 +5.2
  Jan 29, 2022 325   St. Francis (PA) W 71-54 77%     9 - 10 6 - 2 +4.3 +5.3 +2.1
  Feb 03, 2022 291   Merrimack W 69-53 69%     10 - 10 7 - 2 +6.1 +4.7 +4.0
  Feb 05, 2022 187   Bryant L 61-62 44%     10 - 11 7 - 3 -4.3 -6.2 +1.8
  Feb 10, 2022 172   @ Wagner L 57-69 26%     10 - 12 7 - 4 -10.1 -5.3 -6.7
  Feb 12, 2022 325   @ St. Francis (PA) W 54-52 63%     11 - 12 8 - 4 -6.3 -17.3 +11.2
  Feb 17, 2022 323   St. Francis Brooklyn L 55-64 77%     11 - 13 8 - 5 -21.6 -20.3 -1.8
  Feb 19, 2022 241   LIU Brooklyn L 61-66 57%     11 - 14 8 - 6 -11.7 -13.8 +2.0
  Feb 24, 2022 315   @ Sacred Heart L 65-77 61%     11 - 15 8 - 7 -19.7 -11.1 -9.3
  Feb 26, 2022 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 65-46 74%     12 - 15 9 - 7 +7.6 -0.9 +11.9
  Mar 02, 2022 323   St. Francis Brooklyn W 78-48 77%     13 - 15 +17.4 +11.7 +10.4
  Mar 05, 2022 187   @ Bryant L 69-70 28%     13 - 16 +0.2 +0.6 -0.5
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%