Pre-tourney Rankings
Nevada
Mountain West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.9#110
Expected Predictive Rating+2.6#131
Pace74.8#37
Improvement+0.9#144

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#97
First Shot+2.9#85
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#166
Layup/Dunks-1.2#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#51
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
Freethrows+1.5#64
Improvement+0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#146
First Shot+1.1#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#200
Layups/Dunks+3.8#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#313
Freethrows+0.6#124
Improvement+0.8#139
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 71 - 12
Quad 21 - 42 - 16
Quad 34 - 16 - 17
Quad 46 - 112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 219   Eastern Washington W 91-76 80%     1 - 0 +9.9 +5.5 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2021 208   San Diego L 68-75 79%     1 - 1 -11.5 -2.3 -9.4
  Nov 16, 2021 71   @ Santa Clara L 74-96 26%     1 - 2 -11.6 -3.5 -5.9
  Nov 18, 2021 21   @ San Francisco L 70-73 15%     1 - 3 +12.0 +7.7 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2021 79   South Dakota St. L 75-102 37%     1 - 4 -19.7 -9.9 -6.1
  Nov 23, 2021 118   George Mason W 88-69 53%     2 - 4 +22.2 +12.7 +8.7
  Nov 24, 2021 101   Washington W 81-62 45%     3 - 4 +24.2 +7.3 +15.9
  Nov 30, 2021 265   Pepperdine W 79-66 87%     4 - 4 +4.8 -4.7 +8.3
  Dec 18, 2021 183   Loyola Marymount W 68-63 75%     5 - 4 +1.8 -11.2 +12.9
  Dec 29, 2021 4   @ Kansas L 61-88 7%     5 - 5 -6.7 -9.5 +5.3
  Jan 01, 2022 155   New Mexico W 79-70 70%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +7.4 -2.4 +9.2
  Jan 12, 2022 37   Boise St. L 70-85 32%     6 - 6 1 - 1 -6.3 -1.6 -3.7
  Jan 15, 2022 249   @ Air Force W 75-68 74%     7 - 6 2 - 1 +4.3 +6.8 -2.1
  Jan 17, 2022 74   Wyoming L 67-77 42%     7 - 7 2 - 2 -4.2 -7.2 +3.7
  Jan 21, 2022 84   Fresno St. W 77-73 47%     8 - 7 3 - 2 +8.6 +12.9 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2022 44   @ Colorado St. L 66-77 20%     8 - 8 3 - 3 +1.7 -0.3 +1.6
  Jan 29, 2022 58   Utah St. L 49-78 38%     8 - 9 3 - 4 -22.0 -20.5 -1.3
  Feb 01, 2022 86   @ UNLV L 58-69 32%     8 - 10 3 - 5 -2.3 -6.4 +3.4
  Feb 04, 2022 84   @ Fresno St. L 56-73 31%     8 - 11 3 - 6 -8.0 -1.9 -8.4
  Feb 06, 2022 26   @ San Diego St. L 63-65 17%     8 - 12 3 - 7 +12.3 +10.3 +1.7
  Feb 08, 2022 44   Colorado St. L 72-82 34%     8 - 13 3 - 8 -1.7 +4.3 -6.5
  Feb 11, 2022 58   @ Utah St. W 85-72 24%     9 - 13 4 - 8 +24.4 +13.9 +9.9
  Feb 15, 2022 275   San Jose St. W 81-72 88%     10 - 13 5 - 8 +0.3 +8.9 -7.9
  Feb 17, 2022 275   @ San Jose St. W 90-60 78%     11 - 13 6 - 8 +25.7 +16.6 +9.9
  Feb 22, 2022 86   UNLV L 54-62 49%     11 - 14 6 - 9 -3.7 -10.2 +5.5
  Feb 26, 2022 74   @ Wyoming L 61-74 27%     11 - 15 6 - 10 -2.7 -8.1 +5.7
  Mar 01, 2022 37   @ Boise St. L 67-73 19%     11 - 16 6 - 11 +7.1 +4.4 +2.5
  Mar 05, 2022 26   San Diego St. L 78-79 28%     11 - 17 6 - 12 +8.8 +13.2 -4.4
  Mar 09, 2022 155   New Mexico W 79-72 62%     12 - 17 +7.6 -0.1 +7.3
  Mar 10, 2022 37   Boise St. L 69-71 25%     12 - 18 +8.9 +5.4 +3.4
Projected Record 12 - 18 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%