Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.9#339
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#344
Pace76.4#22
Improvement+3.0#73

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#274
First Shot-3.1#267
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#240
Layup/Dunks-1.9#257
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#23
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#245
Freethrows-2.8#347
Improvement+1.0#131

Defense
Total Defense-8.1#349
First Shot-4.9#322
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#355
Layups/Dunks-2.1#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#218
Freethrows-1.2#272
Improvement+2.0#82
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 6
Quad 20 - 00 - 6
Quad 30 - 40 - 10
Quad 46 - 136 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 59-77 2%     0 - 1 -4.0 -7.1 +3.3
  Nov 10, 2021 154   @ Tulsa L 75-82 9%     0 - 2 -4.0 +1.1 -5.0
  Nov 15, 2021 49   @ SMU L 48-95 2%     0 - 3 -34.9 -18.7 -16.2
  Nov 19, 2021 102   Louisiana Tech L 64-83 9%     0 - 4 -16.1 -7.3 -8.6
  Nov 22, 2021 270   Louisiana Monroe L 66-96 29%     0 - 5 -36.1 -20.3 -11.7
  Nov 28, 2021 117   Stephen F. Austin L 68-72 12%     0 - 6 -3.0 -2.7 -0.3
  Nov 30, 2021 5   @ Houston L 58-99 1%     0 - 7 -20.7 -6.3 -13.8
  Dec 04, 2021 270   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-84 22%     0 - 8 -16.9 -8.5 -7.7
  Dec 14, 2021 19   @ LSU L 49-89 1%     0 - 9 -24.2 -15.9 -6.0
  Dec 21, 2021 42   @ Texas A&M L 61-80 2%     0 - 10 -6.2 -8.6 +3.6
  Dec 28, 2021 6   @ Baylor L 68-104 1%     0 - 11 -16.0 -5.0 -6.3
  Jan 06, 2022 259   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-89 27%     0 - 12 0 - 1 -27.6 -7.4 -19.9
  Jan 07, 2022 353   Incarnate Word W 83-80 65%     1 - 12 1 - 1 -12.9 +0.5 -13.4
  Jan 08, 2022 274   New Orleans L 79-80 30%     1 - 13 1 - 2 -7.5 +1.1 -8.5
  Jan 15, 2022 286   @ SE Louisiana L 74-79 26%     1 - 14 1 - 3 -10.2 -13.3 +3.6
  Jan 20, 2022 224   @ Nicholls St. L 58-69 15%     1 - 15 1 - 4 -11.9 -14.5 +2.4
  Jan 22, 2022 274   @ New Orleans L 77-85 23%     1 - 16 1 - 5 -12.3 -5.7 -5.7
  Jan 27, 2022 353   Incarnate Word W 79-70 73%     2 - 16 2 - 5 -9.2 +0.2 -8.8
  Jan 29, 2022 259   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 90-76 35%     3 - 16 3 - 5 +6.1 +11.9 -6.3
  Feb 03, 2022 342   @ Houston Baptist W 97-87 44%     4 - 16 4 - 5 -0.2 +13.4 -14.0
  Feb 05, 2022 326   @ McNeese St. L 84-93 36%     4 - 17 4 - 6 -17.3 +1.0 -17.8
  Feb 10, 2022 342   Houston Baptist L 69-76 61%     4 - 18 4 - 7 -21.6 -18.0 -3.1
  Feb 12, 2022 326   McNeese St. L 75-80 53%     4 - 19 4 - 8 -17.7 -7.6 -9.9
  Feb 17, 2022 353   @ Incarnate Word W 88-64 57%     5 - 19 5 - 8 +10.3 +12.2 -0.4
  Feb 19, 2022 259   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 76-83 21%     5 - 20 5 - 9 -10.4 -4.1 -5.6
  Feb 24, 2022 224   Nicholls St. L 62-80 27%     5 - 21 5 - 10 -23.4 -15.8 -7.0
  Feb 26, 2022 274   New Orleans W 87-77 38%     6 - 21 6 - 10 +1.3 -2.1 +1.9
  Mar 05, 2022 286   SE Louisiana L 80-85 41%     6 - 22 6 - 11 -14.7 -10.7 -3.4
  Mar 09, 2022 326   McNeese St. L 67-80 45%     6 - 23 -23.5 -12.9 -10.5
Projected Record 6 - 23 6 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 100.0% 100.0
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%