Pre-tourney Rankings
Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#220
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#199
Pace70.4#111
Improvement+6.0#15

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#248
First Shot+0.0#186
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#337
Layup/Dunks-1.5#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#288
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#58
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement+1.0#134

Defense
Total Defense-0.4#184
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#48
Layups/Dunks-3.2#298
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#185
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
Freethrows+2.0#49
Improvement+5.1#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 62 - 7
Quad 417 - 419 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2021 296   Austin Peay W 65-60 76%     1 - 0 -5.2 -6.9 +2.0
  Nov 19, 2021 105   @ Minnesota L 49-78 18%     1 - 1 -22.0 -23.7 +2.9
  Nov 26, 2021 286   SE Louisiana W 74-66 67%     2 - 1 +0.5 -8.5 +8.7
  Nov 27, 2021 309   Western Michigan L 85-93 OT 73%     2 - 2 -17.3 +5.5 -22.8
  Nov 28, 2021 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-85 39%     2 - 3 -6.9 +0.8 -7.5
  Dec 02, 2021 166   Wright St. L 73-86 47%     2 - 4 0 - 1 -15.2 +0.3 -16.1
  Dec 04, 2021 179   Northern Kentucky W 71-57 50%     3 - 4 1 - 1 +11.2 +0.0 +11.7
  Dec 08, 2021 308   @ SIU Edwardsville L 59-80 65%     3 - 5 -27.8 -15.7 -11.9
  Dec 11, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. W 78-65 65%     4 - 5 +6.1 -0.6 +6.8
  Dec 30, 2021 190   @ Cleveland St. L 81-90 35%     4 - 6 1 - 2 -8.1 +5.0 -12.8
  Jan 05, 2022 190   @ Cleveland St. L 58-65 35%     4 - 7 1 - 3 -6.1 -15.1 +8.9
  Jan 07, 2022 251   @ Youngstown St. W 71-61 49%     5 - 7 2 - 3 +7.2 -4.8 +12.2
  Jan 09, 2022 311   @ Robert Morris W 76-70 67%     6 - 7 3 - 3 -1.4 +1.0 -2.1
  Jan 13, 2022 221   Detroit Mercy W 62-60 59%     7 - 7 4 - 3 -3.2 -17.0 +13.8
  Jan 15, 2022 186   Oakland L 68-76 51%     7 - 8 4 - 4 -11.3 -3.9 -7.7
  Jan 21, 2022 311   Robert Morris W 86-62 80%     8 - 8 5 - 4 +12.2 +5.7 +6.7
  Jan 23, 2022 251   Youngstown St. W 82-71 66%     9 - 8 6 - 4 +3.8 +8.1 -3.6
  Jan 28, 2022 179   @ Northern Kentucky L 49-59 33%     9 - 9 6 - 5 -8.4 -17.5 +8.1
  Jan 30, 2022 166   @ Wright St. L 63-75 31%     9 - 10 6 - 6 -9.8 -12.6 +3.1
  Feb 04, 2022 329   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-60 83%     10 - 10 7 - 6 -3.0 -10.3 +6.9
  Feb 06, 2022 337   Green Bay W 71-55 84%     11 - 10 8 - 6 +2.3 +1.1 +3.1
  Feb 10, 2022 358   IUPUI W 72-57 95%     12 - 10 9 - 6 -6.7 -6.3 -0.3
  Feb 12, 2022 276   Illinois-Chicago W 73-66 71%     13 - 10 10 - 6 -1.8 -8.3 +6.2
  Feb 14, 2022 190   Cleveland St. W 102-98 3OT 52%     14 - 10 11 - 6 +0.5 +0.0 -0.5
  Feb 18, 2022 337   @ Green Bay W 74-55 73%     15 - 10 12 - 6 +9.7 +0.9 +9.6
  Feb 20, 2022 329   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 81-71 71%     16 - 10 13 - 6 +1.4 +10.4 -8.4
  Feb 24, 2022 186   @ Oakland W 81-70 35%     17 - 10 14 - 6 +12.2 +8.3 +3.9
  Feb 26, 2022 221   @ Detroit Mercy W 81-78 42%     18 - 10 15 - 6 +2.2 +10.0 -7.6
  Mar 03, 2022 276   Illinois-Chicago W 78-72 71%     19 - 10 -2.8 -1.7 -1.2
  Mar 07, 2022 179   Northern Kentucky L 43-57 41%     19 - 11 -14.6 -28.9 +14.1
Projected Record 19 - 11 15 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 100.0% 100.0
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%