Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#245
Expected Predictive Rating-6.2#265
Pace77.6#16
Improvement+7.1#10

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#171
First Shot+0.9#148
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#239
Layup/Dunks-3.2#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#86
Freethrows+1.7#57
Improvement+1.0#130

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#309
First Shot-2.9#266
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#324
Layups/Dunks-0.2#194
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#176
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows-3.9#352
Improvement+6.0#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 22 - 6
Quad 30 - 52 - 11
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 75   @ Missouri St. W 99-94 9%     1 - 0 +15.1 +18.9 -4.2
  Nov 13, 2021 251   Youngstown St. L 79-97 60%     1 - 1 -25.2 -5.1 -18.9
  Nov 19, 2021 191   Arkansas St. L 60-72 46%     1 - 2 -15.6 -8.0 -8.6
  Nov 26, 2021 353   @ Incarnate Word W 79-76 80%     2 - 2 -10.7 -3.0 -7.7
  Nov 27, 2021 169   Portland L 68-74 33%     2 - 3 -6.3 -8.1 +2.1
  Nov 28, 2021 140   Montana St. L 68-75 26%     2 - 4 -5.1 -10.2 +5.8
  Dec 08, 2021 302   Evansville W 75-73 72%     3 - 4 -8.7 -0.1 -8.5
  Dec 11, 2021 220   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 65-78 35%     3 - 5 -13.7 -6.8 -6.9
  Dec 15, 2021 124   @ Southern Illinois L 55-80 18%     3 - 6 -19.9 -8.4 -13.9
  Dec 18, 2021 265   @ Pepperdine L 77-83 46%     3 - 7 -9.8 -4.0 -5.2
  Dec 21, 2021 226   @ California Baptist L 68-84 36%     3 - 8 -17.1 -9.8 -6.0
  Dec 30, 2021 56   @ Murray St. L 81-106 7%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -13.4 +3.5 -13.7
  Jan 01, 2022 296   Austin Peay W 98-79 70%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +8.8 +12.2 -5.3
  Jan 06, 2022 91   @ Belmont L 62-102 11%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -31.6 -7.2 -24.1
  Jan 08, 2022 278   @ Tennessee St. L 84-95 49%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -15.4 +4.7 -19.5
  Jan 20, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 85-63 66%     5 - 11 2 - 3 +13.2 +6.1 +6.6
  Jan 22, 2022 355   @ Eastern Illinois W 87-58 83%     6 - 11 3 - 3 +14.0 +11.7 +2.4
  Jan 27, 2022 134   Morehead St. L 73-74 OT 33%     6 - 12 3 - 4 -1.1 -2.0 +1.0
  Jan 29, 2022 308   SIU Edwardsville W 85-77 74%     7 - 12 4 - 4 -3.2 -0.4 -3.7
  Feb 03, 2022 313   @ Tennessee Martin L 63-84 61%     7 - 13 4 - 5 -28.5 -10.8 -18.5
  Feb 05, 2022 355   Eastern Illinois W 63-56 91%     8 - 13 5 - 5 -12.4 -14.1 +1.7
  Feb 07, 2022 308   @ SIU Edwardsville W 76-47 58%     9 - 13 6 - 5 +22.2 -0.4 +21.8
  Feb 10, 2022 296   @ Austin Peay L 66-74 54%     9 - 14 6 - 6 -13.8 -0.6 -14.0
  Feb 12, 2022 91   Belmont L 72-81 21%     9 - 15 6 - 7 -5.0 -3.8 -0.6
  Feb 17, 2022 272   @ Tennessee Tech L 94-98 48%     9 - 16 6 - 8 -8.1 +5.3 -12.9
  Feb 19, 2022 134   @ Morehead St. W 92-84 20%     10 - 16 7 - 8 +12.3 +21.1 -8.9
  Feb 24, 2022 313   Tennessee Martin W 76-69 76%     11 - 16 8 - 8 -4.9 -4.2 -0.9
  Feb 26, 2022 56   Murray St. L 68-70 14%     11 - 17 8 - 9 +5.2 -1.4 +6.6
  Mar 03, 2022 278   Tennessee St. W 79-55 58%     12 - 17 +17.4 -5.1 +20.0
  Mar 04, 2022 56   Murray St. L 74-88 10%     12 - 18 -4.6 +5.1 -9.5
Projected Record 12 - 18 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%