Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern Miss
Conference USA
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#335
Expected Predictive Rating-10.6#325
Pace67.6#196
Improvement-0.3#192

Offense
Total Offense-5.4#318
First Shot-2.9#263
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#336
Layup/Dunks-3.4#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+6.7#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#300
Freethrows-2.4#334
Improvement+2.9#45

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#331
First Shot-3.6#286
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#341
Layups/Dunks-1.1#225
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#71
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#332
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-3.2#314
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 9
Quad 31 - 71 - 16
Quad 44 - 105 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 188   Louisiana L 45-66 22%     0 - 1 -24.4 -33.5 +11.1
  Nov 15, 2021 39   @ TCU L 51-83 2%     0 - 2 -19.0 -16.2 -1.5
  Nov 21, 2021 347   Lamar W 82-75 66%     1 - 2 -8.7 +0.1 -9.0
  Nov 24, 2021 177   UNC Wilmington W 80-66 16%     2 - 2 +13.5 +7.1 +6.4
  Nov 25, 2021 256   UC San Diego W 56-55 28%     3 - 2 -4.2 -17.7 +13.5
  Nov 26, 2021 236   @ Montana L 62-74 18%     3 - 3 -13.7 -8.3 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2021 152   @ South Alabama L 55-85 9%     3 - 4 -26.9 -16.0 -10.8
  Dec 04, 2021 124   @ Southern Illinois L 41-66 7%     3 - 5 -19.9 -21.0 -3.0
  Dec 14, 2021 184   Jacksonville L 51-62 22%     3 - 6 -14.2 -14.9 -0.9
  Dec 18, 2021 270   @ Louisiana Monroe L 65-74 24%     3 - 7 -12.9 -11.3 -1.6
  Dec 21, 2021 168   @ East Carolina L 67-68 11%     3 - 8 +1.0 -0.5 +1.4
  Jan 06, 2022 293   @ Texas San Antonio W 74-73 29%     4 - 8 1 - 0 -4.7 -2.1 -2.6
  Jan 08, 2022 158   @ UTEP L 54-87 10%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -30.4 -13.7 -18.0
  Jan 13, 2022 102   @ Louisiana Tech L 57-80 5%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -15.7 -10.3 -5.8
  Jan 16, 2022 102   Louisiana Tech L 62-76 10%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -11.1 -6.6 -5.0
  Jan 22, 2022 109   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-74 6%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -7.8 -6.9 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2022 72   North Texas L 54-63 6%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -3.0 -0.9 -4.1
  Jan 29, 2022 207   Rice L 62-76 25%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -18.4 -12.9 -6.4
  Feb 03, 2022 264   @ Florida International L 67-77 23%     4 - 15 1 - 7 -13.7 +1.5 -16.4
  Feb 05, 2022 126   @ Florida Atlantic L 57-84 7%     4 - 16 1 - 8 -22.1 -12.6 -10.2
  Feb 10, 2022 53   @ UAB L 63-84 3%     4 - 17 1 - 9 -9.2 -2.5 -7.6
  Feb 14, 2022 115   Western Kentucky L 77-87 12%     4 - 18 1 - 10 -8.7 +6.8 -15.9
  Feb 17, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio L 79-98 OT 45%     4 - 19 1 - 11 -29.1 -8.1 -18.5
  Feb 19, 2022 158   UTEP L 70-84 18%     4 - 20 1 - 12 -15.8 -1.1 -14.9
  Feb 21, 2022 232   Marshall L 60-74 30%     4 - 21 1 - 13 -19.8 -17.1 -2.6
  Feb 24, 2022 72   @ North Texas L 61-85 3%     4 - 22 1 - 14 -13.6 +0.3 -15.5
  Feb 26, 2022 207   @ Rice L 72-77 OT 14%     4 - 23 1 - 15 -5.0 -7.3 +2.4
  Mar 02, 2022 53   UAB L 68-81 5%     4 - 24 1 - 16 -5.6 -6.0 +1.0
  Mar 05, 2022 189   Charlotte L 67-70 22%     4 - 25 1 - 17 -6.4 -3.0 -3.6
  Mar 08, 2022 293   Texas San Antonio W 67-64 37%     5 - 25 -4.9 -7.2 +2.3
  Mar 09, 2022 126   Florida Atlantic L 59-86 10%     5 - 26 -24.3 -10.8 -14.7
Projected Record 5 - 26 1 - 17





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 100.0 100.0 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17 100.0% 100.0
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%