Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#325
Expected Predictive Rating-12.0#334
Pace68.4#168
Improvement-3.4#306

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#321
First Shot-7.1#342
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#71
Layup/Dunks-1.9#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#271
Freethrows-2.4#335
Improvement-4.4#346

Defense
Total Defense-4.8#306
First Shot-2.8#261
After Offensive Rebounds-2.0#322
Layups/Dunks-2.5#274
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#275
Freethrows+1.6#67
Improvement+1.1#126
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 40 - 9
Quad 48 - 128 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 212   @ George Washington L 72-75 17%     0 - 1 -3.3 -6.4 +3.4
  Nov 18, 2021 22   @ Virginia Tech L 55-85 2%     0 - 2 -15.4 -10.0 -6.5
  Nov 24, 2021 200   @ Cornell L 80-93 15%     0 - 3 -12.6 +0.1 -11.6
  Nov 28, 2021 290   @ Lehigh W 79-68 31%     1 - 3 +5.5 +3.7 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2021 336   Bucknell W 93-67 62%     2 - 3 +12.3 +5.9 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2021 123   @ Ohio L 75-78 8%     2 - 4 +2.2 +3.1 -0.8
  Dec 08, 2021 328   @ American L 73-83 42%     2 - 5 -18.5 +1.2 -20.4
  Dec 14, 2021 281   @ Hartford W 81-66 29%     3 - 5 +10.2 +0.4 +9.3
  Dec 18, 2021 15   @ Illinois L 48-106 1%     3 - 6 -41.2 -9.9 -40.1
  Dec 22, 2021 311   Robert Morris L 67-75 55%     3 - 7 -19.8 -9.4 -11.0
  Dec 29, 2021 172   Wagner L 64-72 22%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -10.5 -7.3 -3.5
  Dec 31, 2021 349   Fairleigh Dickinson L 62-70 70%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -24.0 -22.5 -1.2
  Jan 06, 2022 323   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 53-70 41%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -25.2 -20.2 -5.9
  Jan 08, 2022 241   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-75 OT 22%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -7.2 -10.4 +3.7
  Jan 15, 2022 291   @ Merrimack W 62-46 32%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +10.5 -10.3 +21.1
  Jan 17, 2022 187   @ Bryant L 52-82 14%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -28.8 -23.4 -4.4
  Jan 21, 2022 348   Central Connecticut St. W 68-67 70%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -14.8 -3.3 -11.5
  Jan 23, 2022 315   Sacred Heart W 85-74 56%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -1.1 +7.9 -8.3
  Jan 27, 2022 172   @ Wagner L 54-69 13%     6 - 13 3 - 6 -13.1 -13.2 -1.0
  Jan 29, 2022 250   @ Mount St. Mary's L 54-71 23%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -19.7 -7.6 -15.2
  Feb 03, 2022 187   Bryant L 82-89 24%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -10.3 -4.5 -4.8
  Feb 05, 2022 291   Merrimack L 64-65 OT 48%     6 - 16 3 - 9 -10.9 -7.5 -3.5
  Feb 10, 2022 349   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-65 54%     7 - 16 4 - 9 +1.4 -2.3 +3.7
  Feb 12, 2022 250   Mount St. Mary's L 52-54 37%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -9.1 -16.7 +7.4
  Feb 17, 2022 241   LIU Brooklyn L 63-81 36%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -24.7 -13.7 -10.7
  Feb 19, 2022 323   St. Francis Brooklyn L 72-80 OT 58%     7 - 19 4 - 12 -20.6 -8.6 -11.7
  Feb 24, 2022 348   @ Central Connecticut St. W 79-63 54%     8 - 19 5 - 12 +4.6 +6.6 -0.9
  Feb 26, 2022 315   @ Sacred Heart L 68-80 39%     8 - 20 5 - 13 -19.7 -14.9 -4.3
  Mar 02, 2022 172   @ Wagner L 53-82 13%     8 - 21 -27.1 -14.8 -14.1
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%