Pre-tourney Rankings
St. Thomas
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.6#312
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#322
Pace64.9#263
Improvement-5.8#343

Offense
Total Offense+1.5#134
First Shot+1.5#133
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#172
Layup/Dunks-2.7#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#347
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.2#2
Freethrows-3.2#351
Improvement-5.7#356

Defense
Total Defense-11.1#357
First Shot-10.9#358
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#197
Layups/Dunks-4.9#334
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#337
Freethrows-0.8#251
Improvement-0.2#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 30 - 90 - 13
Quad 47 - 77 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 340   @ Chicago St. L 72-77 51%     0 - 1 -15.0 -3.7 -11.5
  Nov 13, 2021 323   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 91-73 44%     1 - 1 +9.8 +12.9 -3.4
  Nov 15, 2021 176   @ Fordham L 78-84 15%     1 - 2 -4.3 +11.6 -15.9
  Nov 19, 2021 251   @ Youngstown St. L 75-79 25%     1 - 3 -6.8 +1.0 -7.9
  Nov 20, 2021 201   Niagara W 76-67 23%     2 - 3 +7.2 +15.3 -6.8
  Nov 21, 2021 308   SIU Edwardsville W 86-73 48%     3 - 3 +4.0 +16.8 -11.8
  Nov 27, 2021 141   @ Seattle L 64-81 10%     3 - 4 -12.8 +0.2 -14.1
  Dec 05, 2021 87   @ Drake L 64-74 5%     3 - 5 -1.4 +1.4 -3.8
  Dec 11, 2021 140   Montana St. L 65-72 19%     3 - 6 -7.3 -10.3 +3.3
  Dec 20, 2021 346   @ Nebraska Omaha W 80-73 55%     4 - 6 1 - 0 -3.8 +11.4 -14.2
  Dec 22, 2021 295   @ Denver L 74-75 35%     4 - 7 1 - 1 -6.7 +2.5 -9.3
  Jan 01, 2022 242   Western Illinois W 89-66 39%     5 - 7 2 - 1 +16.3 +14.6 +2.3
  Jan 06, 2022 160   Oral Roberts L 66-81 23%     5 - 8 2 - 2 -16.9 -12.3 -4.6
  Jan 20, 2022 79   South Dakota St. L 77-92 9%     5 - 9 2 - 3 -9.9 +1.7 -11.6
  Jan 22, 2022 202   South Dakota L 79-90 30%     5 - 10 2 - 4 -15.1 +4.3 -19.7
  Jan 25, 2022 149   @ North Dakota St. L 56-77 12%     5 - 11 2 - 5 -17.7 -10.5 -8.7
  Jan 29, 2022 242   @ Western Illinois L 52-81 24%     5 - 12 2 - 6 -31.3 -21.7 -10.1
  Feb 03, 2022 217   @ UMKC L 72-81 19%     5 - 13 2 - 7 -9.5 +1.1 -10.8
  Feb 05, 2022 160   @ Oral Roberts L 66-88 13%     5 - 14 2 - 8 -19.5 -6.0 -14.8
  Feb 08, 2022 217   UMKC L 67-76 32%     5 - 15 2 - 9 -13.9 -5.4 -8.8
  Feb 10, 2022 345   North Dakota L 70-78 70%     5 - 16 2 - 10 -23.2 -7.1 -16.7
  Feb 12, 2022 149   North Dakota St. L 64-75 21%     5 - 17 2 - 11 -12.1 -6.2 -6.4
  Feb 17, 2022 202   @ South Dakota L 60-81 17%     5 - 18 2 - 12 -20.7 -10.3 -12.0
  Feb 19, 2022 79   @ South Dakota St. L 60-79 5%     5 - 19 2 - 13 -9.5 -12.2 +2.3
  Feb 22, 2022 345   @ North Dakota W 84-74 54%     6 - 19 3 - 13 -0.8 +8.5 -8.7
  Feb 24, 2022 295   Denver L 80-91 52%     6 - 20 3 - 14 -21.2 +7.1 -29.2
  Feb 26, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 95-74 71%     7 - 20 4 - 14 +5.8 +11.8 -6.0
Projected Record 7 - 20 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%