Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#39
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#30
Pace65.9#246
Improvement+3.4#66

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#69
First Shot+1.1#144
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#14
Layup/Dunks+5.1#27
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#172
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#285
Freethrows-0.8#251
Improvement+2.7#53

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#27
First Shot+6.4#17
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#151
Layups/Dunks+3.1#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#196
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#151
Freethrows+2.5#27
Improvement+0.7#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.8% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round96.8% n/a n/a
Second Round46.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 64 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 28 - 8
Quad 22 - 410 - 12
Quad 34 - 014 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2021 326   McNeese St. W 77-61 98%     1 - 0 +3.3 -12.4 +13.9
  Nov 15, 2021 335   Southern Miss W 83-51 98%     2 - 0 +18.4 -0.3 +17.4
  Nov 18, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 63-50 93%     3 - 0 +7.6 -9.1 +17.4
  Nov 22, 2021 71   Santa Clara L 66-85 60%     3 - 1 -10.8 -5.4 -5.5
  Nov 24, 2021 265   Pepperdine W 73-64 93%     4 - 1 +3.0 +2.9 +0.7
  Nov 29, 2021 296   Austin Peay W 68-51 96%     5 - 1 +6.8 +2.4 +6.9
  Dec 02, 2021 160   Oral Roberts W 71-63 88%     6 - 1 +6.1 -2.1 +8.8
  Dec 08, 2021 114   Utah W 76-62 76%     7 - 1 +17.5 +4.2 +13.5
  Dec 11, 2021 42   Texas A&M W 68-64 51%     8 - 1 +14.6 +3.2 +11.5
  Dec 18, 2021 150   @ Georgetown W 80-73 76%     9 - 1 +10.3 +3.6 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 90-55 97%     10 - 1 +22.8 +10.9 +11.0
  Jan 08, 2022 6   Baylor L 64-76 32%     10 - 2 0 - 1 +3.6 +1.9 +0.9
  Jan 12, 2022 62   @ Kansas St. W 60-57 49%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +14.0 -5.1 +19.3
  Jan 15, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 59-58 OT 55%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +10.6 -9.8 +20.3
  Jan 19, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 56-57 41%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +12.2 -1.1 +13.2
  Jan 22, 2022 55   @ Iowa St. W 59-44 47%     13 - 3 3 - 2 +26.6 +0.6 +27.2
  Jan 25, 2022 18   Texas L 50-73 46%     13 - 4 3 - 3 -11.3 -12.2 -0.9
  Jan 29, 2022 19   LSU W 77-68 47%     14 - 4 +20.4 +16.2 +4.6
  Jan 31, 2022 29   @ Oklahoma W 72-63 38%     15 - 4 4 - 3 +23.0 +17.3 +7.0
  Feb 05, 2022 62   Kansas St. L 63-75 66%     15 - 5 4 - 4 -5.4 -4.5 -1.4
  Feb 08, 2022 36   Oklahoma St. W 77-73 58%     16 - 5 5 - 4 +12.7 +15.3 -2.4
  Feb 12, 2022 9   @ Texas Tech L 69-82 20%     16 - 6 5 - 5 +6.6 +7.5 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2022 55   Iowa St. L 51-54 64%     16 - 7 5 - 6 +4.2 -4.5 +8.2
  Feb 19, 2022 6   @ Baylor L 62-72 19%     16 - 8 5 - 7 +10.0 -0.9 +10.7
  Feb 21, 2022 69   West Virginia W 77-67 68%     17 - 8 6 - 7 +16.0 +8.7 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2022 18   @ Texas L 66-75 30%     17 - 9 6 - 8 +7.2 +8.2 -1.9
  Feb 26, 2022 9   Texas Tech W 69-66 34%     18 - 9 7 - 8 +18.1 +12.0 +6.3
  Mar 01, 2022 4   Kansas W 74-64 31%     19 - 9 8 - 8 +25.9 +14.7 +12.2
  Mar 03, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 68-72 18%     19 - 10 8 - 9 +16.3 +4.5 +11.7
  Mar 05, 2022 69   @ West Virginia L 64-70 51%     19 - 11 8 - 10 +4.5 -5.1 +9.7
  Mar 10, 2022 18   Texas W 65-60 38%     20 - 11 +18.9 +8.0 +11.5
  Mar 11, 2022 4   Kansas L 62-75 24%     20 - 12 +5.1 -0.8 +5.3
Projected Record 20 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 96.8% 96.8% 8.6 0.0 0.8 9.1 35.3 37.1 13.3 1.1 0.0 3.2 96.8%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 96.8% 0.0% 96.8% 8.6 0.0 0.8 9.1 35.3 37.1 13.3 1.1 0.0 3.2 96.8%