Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#18
Expected Predictive Rating+13.5#24
Pace60.4#343
Improvement-2.0#254

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#32
First Shot+4.5#54
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#57
Layup/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#93
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#155
Freethrows+0.9#108
Improvement-1.0#235

Defense
Total Defense+7.7#15
First Shot+5.8#31
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#34
Layups/Dunks+4.3#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#63
Freethrows-0.5#226
Improvement-0.9#241
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 3.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 70.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.6% n/a n/a
Second Round65.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen29.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight11.9% n/a n/a
Final Four4.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 10
Quad 25 - 110 - 11
Quad 33 - 013 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 342   Houston Baptist W 92-48 99%     1 - 0 +29.4 +22.3 +12.8
  Nov 13, 2021 1   @ Gonzaga L 74-86 13%     1 - 1 +14.1 +18.7 -5.6
  Nov 17, 2021 211   Northern Colorado W 62-49 95%     2 - 1 +8.3 -9.6 +19.5
  Nov 20, 2021 275   San Jose St. W 79-45 97%     3 - 1 +25.3 -0.3 +25.0
  Nov 24, 2021 226   California Baptist W 68-44 95%     4 - 1 +18.5 +2.8 +19.0
  Nov 29, 2021 145   Sam Houston St. W 73-57 91%     5 - 1 +15.1 +17.3 +1.1
  Dec 03, 2021 305   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-58 98%     6 - 1 +19.1 +8.4 +10.8
  Dec 09, 2021 34   @ Seton Hall L 60-64 52%     6 - 2 +9.4 +2.9 +6.0
  Dec 14, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 63-31 99%     7 - 2 +13.2 -11.1 +30.3
  Dec 19, 2021 97   Stanford W 60-53 79%     8 - 2 +12.6 -5.6 +18.6
  Dec 22, 2021 333   Alabama St. W 68-48 99%     9 - 2 +6.9 -6.6 +15.0
  Dec 28, 2021 353   Incarnate Word W 78-33 99%     10 - 2 +26.8 +3.5 +28.7
  Jan 01, 2022 69   West Virginia W 74-59 77%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +21.0 +6.6 +14.9
  Jan 04, 2022 62   @ Kansas St. W 70-57 61%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +24.0 +13.6 +12.5
  Jan 08, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 51-64 53%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +0.2 -3.0 +1.3
  Jan 11, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 66-52 66%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +23.6 +6.9 +18.5
  Jan 15, 2022 55   @ Iowa St. L 70-79 59%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +2.6 +7.8 -5.3
  Jan 18, 2022 62   Kansas St. L 65-66 76%     13 - 5 3 - 3 +5.6 +6.0 -0.6
  Jan 22, 2022 36   Oklahoma St. W 56-51 69%     14 - 5 4 - 3 +13.7 -4.4 +18.4
  Jan 25, 2022 39   @ TCU W 73-50 54%     15 - 5 5 - 3 +36.0 +13.7 +24.1
  Jan 29, 2022 7   Tennessee W 52-51 45%     16 - 5 +16.3 +2.0 +14.6
  Feb 01, 2022 9   @ Texas Tech L 64-77 29%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +6.6 +5.0 +1.6
  Feb 05, 2022 55   Iowa St. W 63-41 74%     17 - 6 6 - 4 +29.2 +4.4 +27.1
  Feb 07, 2022 4   Kansas W 79-76 42%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +18.9 +13.1 +5.8
  Feb 12, 2022 6   @ Baylor L 63-80 28%     18 - 7 7 - 5 +3.0 +3.2 -1.4
  Feb 15, 2022 29   @ Oklahoma W 80-78 OT 50%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +16.0 +11.8 +4.2
  Feb 19, 2022 9   Texas Tech L 55-61 45%     19 - 8 8 - 6 +9.1 -2.3 +11.0
  Feb 23, 2022 39   TCU W 75-66 70%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +17.6 +14.8 +3.7
  Feb 26, 2022 69   @ West Virginia W 82-81 63%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +11.5 +15.8 -4.3
  Feb 28, 2022 6   Baylor L 61-68 44%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +8.6 +0.0 +8.0
  Mar 05, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 63-70 OT 27%     21 - 10 10 - 8 +13.3 -4.5 +18.1
  Mar 10, 2022 39   TCU L 60-65 62%     21 - 11 +5.8 +1.3 +3.9
Projected Record 21 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 99.6% 99.6% 6.0 0.4 3.5 25.5 41.2 23.6 4.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.6% 0.0% 99.6% 6.0 0.4 3.5 25.5 41.2 23.6 4.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.4 99.6%