Pre-tourney Rankings
UC San Diego
Big West
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Pace69.8#120
Improvement-3.6#311

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#194
First Shot+2.6#98
After Offensive Rebound-3.3#351
Layup/Dunks+2.2#94
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#349
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#78
Freethrows+1.5#69
Improvement+2.9#47

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#299
First Shot-4.5#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#177
Layups/Dunks-6.6#349
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
Freethrows+3.4#6
Improvement-6.4#354
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 33 - 83 - 10
Quad 48 - 611 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 122   @ California W 80-67 16%     1 - 0 +18.2 +10.6 +7.2
  Nov 13, 2021 212   George Washington W 75-55 48%     2 - 0 +15.3 -4.3 +18.3
  Nov 20, 2021 303   @ Sacramento St. W 71-56 54%     3 - 0 +8.7 -4.7 +13.3
  Nov 24, 2021 236   @ Montana L 61-71 37%     3 - 1 -11.7 -9.0 -3.3
  Nov 25, 2021 335   Southern Miss L 55-56 72%     3 - 2 -12.4 -20.2 +7.7
  Dec 02, 2021 304   Eastern Michigan W 83-74 70%     4 - 2 -1.8 +8.7 -10.2
  Dec 12, 2021 141   @ Seattle L 51-73 19%     4 - 3 -17.8 -14.3 -4.5
  Dec 15, 2021 295   @ Denver L 56-64 52%     4 - 4 -13.7 -21.0 +7.2
  Dec 22, 2021 26   @ San Diego St. L 57-78 5%     4 - 5 -6.7 +0.5 -8.6
  Dec 30, 2021 130   UC Santa Barbara W 85-83 OT 30%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +2.2 +2.8 -0.9
  Jan 01, 2022 322   Cal St. Northridge W 72-64 75%     6 - 5 2 - 0 -4.3 -7.2 +2.9
  Jan 06, 2022 173   @ UC Riverside L 51-59 25%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -6.1 -14.8 +7.9
  Jan 08, 2022 213   @ UC Davis L 71-78 32%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -7.3 +8.5 -16.7
  Jan 15, 2022 164   @ Hawaii L 56-79 24%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -20.7 -12.3 -9.5
  Jan 20, 2022 148   Long Beach St. L 69-87 34%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -19.1 -6.8 -11.6
  Jan 22, 2022 151   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 80-83 21%     6 - 10 2 - 5 +0.2 +10.5 -10.4
  Jan 27, 2022 297   Cal Poly L 55-59 69%     6 - 11 2 - 6 -14.3 -24.7 +10.7
  Jan 29, 2022 263   Cal St. Bakersfield W 83-75 61%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -0.1 +15.5 -14.6
  Feb 03, 2022 322   @ Cal St. Northridge W 83-77 60%     8 - 11 4 - 6 -1.9 +1.1 -3.3
  Feb 05, 2022 130   @ UC Santa Barbara L 48-84 18%     8 - 12 4 - 7 -31.4 -18.1 -17.2
  Feb 12, 2022 173   UC Riverside W 85-62 40%     9 - 12 5 - 7 +20.5 +14.7 +6.5
  Feb 15, 2022 139   UC Irvine L 50-56 31%     9 - 13 5 - 8 -6.3 -18.0 +11.5
  Feb 17, 2022 164   Hawaii L 53-65 38%     9 - 14 5 - 9 -14.1 -15.4 +0.2
  Feb 24, 2022 148   @ Long Beach St. L 87-103 21%     9 - 15 5 - 10 -12.6 +12.2 -24.1
  Feb 26, 2022 151   Cal St. Fullerton W 81-76 35%     10 - 15 6 - 10 +3.8 +7.6 -3.8
  Mar 03, 2022 263   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 72-70 44%     11 - 15 7 - 10 -1.7 +6.6 -8.0
  Mar 05, 2022 297   @ Cal Poly L 76-80 52%     11 - 16 7 - 11 -9.9 +15.0 -25.5
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 100.0
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%