Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Greensboro
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#182
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#175
Pace59.2#348
Improvement+0.9#147

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#229
First Shot-3.5#274
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#66
Layup/Dunks-1.0#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#213
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#224
Freethrows-0.5#224
Improvement+2.6#57

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#133
First Shot-0.3#188
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#59
Layups/Dunks+5.6#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#307
Freethrows-0.5#236
Improvement-1.7#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 22 - 23 - 4
Quad 35 - 68 - 10
Quad 48 - 416 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 298   N.C. A&T W 57-53 82%     1 - 0 -6.3 -17.2 +11.1
  Nov 12, 2021 179   @ Northern Kentucky W 70-69 OT 41%     2 - 0 +2.6 -4.1 +6.6
  Nov 15, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 55-48 86%     3 - 0 -5.2 -20.1 +14.8
  Nov 18, 2021 337   Green Bay W 60-58 84%     4 - 0 -9.5 -1.5 -7.5
  Nov 19, 2021 171   Massachusetts L 90-93 OT 48%     4 - 1 -3.3 +6.0 -9.1
  Nov 21, 2021 264   Florida International L 71-74 OT 69%     4 - 2 -8.9 -4.2 -4.7
  Nov 27, 2021 68   Vermont W 54-51 25%     5 - 2 +9.1 -3.9 +13.7
  Nov 30, 2021 246   Elon W 74-61 72%     6 - 2 +6.1 -1.4 +7.6
  Dec 11, 2021 7   @ Tennessee L 36-76 4%     6 - 3 -20.2 -18.6 -7.6
  Dec 14, 2021 89   @ Towson L 64-74 19%     6 - 4 -1.5 +1.0 -3.5
  Dec 16, 2021 238   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 62-51 54%     7 - 4 +9.3 -5.3 +16.2
  Jan 05, 2022 88   Furman L 54-58 32%     7 - 5 0 - 1 +0.1 -8.5 +7.7
  Jan 08, 2022 180   @ VMI W 72-56 41%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +17.6 +0.0 +18.7
  Jan 10, 2022 131   Wofford W 58-54 47%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +4.1 -4.6 +9.4
  Jan 13, 2022 255   @ The Citadel L 69-74 59%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -8.0 -5.0 -3.2
  Jan 15, 2022 199   @ Mercer L 49-58 45%     9 - 7 2 - 3 -8.6 -18.3 +8.3
  Jan 20, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 64-72 33%     9 - 8 2 - 4 -4.3 -5.5 +0.9
  Jan 22, 2022 192   Samford W 61-58 61%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -0.6 -4.8 +4.7
  Jan 26, 2022 194   @ East Tennessee St. W 80-76 44%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +4.7 +12.6 -7.5
  Jan 29, 2022 131   @ Wofford L 66-85 30%     11 - 9 4 - 5 -14.5 +1.8 -18.2
  Feb 02, 2022 180   VMI L 65-76 58%     11 - 10 4 - 6 -13.9 -7.3 -7.8
  Feb 05, 2022 88   @ Furman W 58-56 19%     12 - 10 5 - 6 +10.5 -5.9 +16.7
  Feb 07, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina W 68-49 70%     13 - 10 6 - 6 +12.9 -2.8 +17.4
  Feb 10, 2022 255   The Citadel W 86-66 74%     14 - 10 7 - 6 +12.6 +8.0 +4.4
  Feb 13, 2022 199   Mercer L 64-73 62%     14 - 11 7 - 7 -13.0 -0.2 -14.7
  Feb 17, 2022 94   @ Chattanooga W 73-70 20%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +11.1 +7.9 +3.4
  Feb 19, 2022 192   @ Samford L 49-55 44%     15 - 12 8 - 8 -5.2 -21.9 +16.3
  Feb 23, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 73-64 82%     16 - 12 9 - 8 -1.5 +10.5 -9.9
  Feb 27, 2022 194   East Tennessee St. L 69-73 61%     16 - 13 9 - 9 -7.8 -6.9 -1.0
  Mar 05, 2022 192   Samford L 64-66 52%     16 - 14 -3.4 +2.8 -6.7
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%