Pre-tourney Rankings
UNC Wilmington
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#177
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#119
Pace64.6#270
Improvement+7.3#8

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#182
First Shot-0.6#202
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#134
Layup/Dunks-3.5#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#29
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#212
Freethrows+0.2#154
Improvement+5.2#8

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#189
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds-2.4#344
Layups/Dunks+0.6#164
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#35
Freethrows-0.7#248
Improvement+2.1#80
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 01 - 0
Quad 20 - 21 - 2
Quad 39 - 510 - 7
Quad 411 - 221 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 178   @ Illinois St. L 63-68 42%     0 - 1 -3.4 -9.8 +6.3
  Nov 16, 2021 165   @ Pittsburgh L 51-59 39%     0 - 2 -5.7 -14.9 +8.6
  Nov 18, 2021 163   Coastal Carolina W 65-53 56%     1 - 2 +9.9 -8.4 +18.4
  Nov 20, 2021 357   @ Delaware St. W 67-63 91%     2 - 2 -11.7 -1.9 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2021 335   Southern Miss L 66-80 84%     2 - 3 -25.4 -12.5 -13.0
  Dec 01, 2021 196   Norfolk St. L 69-74 63%     2 - 4 -8.8 -4.7 -4.2
  Dec 11, 2021 184   @ Jacksonville L 48-77 43%     2 - 5 -27.8 -21.4 -7.3
  Dec 18, 2021 252   @ High Point W 71-69 OT 59%     3 - 5 -0.8 -5.7 +4.8
  Dec 22, 2021 234   Campbell W 65-58 70%     4 - 5 +1.0 -3.8 +5.5
  Dec 29, 2021 147   Delaware W 70-68 52%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +0.9 +1.9 -0.7
  Jan 12, 2022 246   Elon W 73-66 73%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +0.1 +7.0 -5.9
  Jan 17, 2022 157   @ College of Charleston W 86-78 38%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +10.7 +8.3 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2022 233   @ James Madison W 71-70 54%     8 - 5 4 - 0 -0.5 -1.8 +1.3
  Jan 22, 2022 89   @ Towson W 81-77 OT 20%     9 - 5 5 - 0 +12.5 +8.2 +4.1
  Jan 24, 2022 253   @ Northeastern W 74-68 59%     10 - 5 6 - 0 +3.1 -1.5 +4.4
  Jan 27, 2022 253   Northeastern W 67-62 74%     11 - 5 7 - 0 -2.3 -1.0 -0.8
  Jan 29, 2022 138   Hofstra W 78-72 49%     12 - 5 8 - 0 +5.8 +0.3 +5.3
  Jan 31, 2022 162   Drexel W 70-63 56%     13 - 5 9 - 0 +5.0 -0.7 +6.0
  Feb 03, 2022 246   @ Elon L 65-78 58%     13 - 6 9 - 1 -15.5 -2.7 -14.0
  Feb 05, 2022 338   @ William & Mary W 92-70 80%     14 - 6 10 - 1 +12.5 +23.1 -9.2
  Feb 07, 2022 138   @ Hofstra L 71-73 32%     14 - 7 10 - 2 +2.2 +0.8 +1.3
  Feb 12, 2022 157   College of Charleston W 85-79 55%     15 - 7 11 - 2 +4.3 +5.8 -1.9
  Feb 14, 2022 338   William & Mary W 80-73 OT 89%     16 - 7 12 - 2 -6.9 -0.2 -7.0
  Feb 17, 2022 89   Towson L 55-79 33%     16 - 8 12 - 3 -19.9 -14.4 -6.6
  Feb 19, 2022 233   James Madison W 78-77 OT 70%     17 - 8 13 - 3 -4.9 -3.0 -1.9
  Feb 24, 2022 162   @ Drexel W 69-63 39%     18 - 8 14 - 3 +8.4 +6.2 +3.0
  Feb 26, 2022 147   @ Delaware W 69-62 35%     19 - 8 15 - 3 +10.4 +0.5 +10.3
  Mar 06, 2022 246   Elon W 75-58 66%     20 - 8 +12.3 +13.5 +1.9
  Mar 07, 2022 157   College of Charleston W 60-57 46%     21 - 8 +3.5 -8.6 +12.3
  Mar 08, 2022 147   Delaware L 55-59 43%     21 - 9 -2.8 -11.6 +8.2
Projected Record 21 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%