Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#77
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#65
Pace54.1#357
Improvement-0.5#198

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#96
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#80
Layup/Dunks+1.3#113
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#298
Freethrows+0.7#118
Improvement-1.7#264

Defense
Total Defense+4.7#54
First Shot+5.4#34
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#236
Layups/Dunks+1.8#112
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#17
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
Freethrows+2.7#24
Improvement+1.2#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.9% n/a n/a
First Round1.3% n/a n/a
Second Round0.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 24 - 7
Quad 23 - 17 - 8
Quad 35 - 412 - 12
Quad 47 - 119 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 197   Navy L 58-66 86%     0 - 1 -11.9 -7.1 -5.5
  Nov 12, 2021 287   Radford W 73-52 94%     1 - 1 +11.3 +8.0 +6.6
  Nov 16, 2021 5   @ Houston L 47-67 12%     1 - 2 +0.3 -7.2 +3.6
  Nov 19, 2021 319   Coppin St. W 68-52 96%     2 - 2 +3.8 +0.1 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2021 203   Georgia W 65-55 82%     3 - 2 +8.1 -5.8 +14.9
  Nov 23, 2021 38   Providence W 58-40 38%     4 - 2 +28.9 +4.1 +29.4
  Nov 26, 2021 290   Lehigh W 61-43 94%     5 - 2 +8.1 -9.0 +19.7
  Nov 29, 2021 10   Iowa L 74-75 24%     5 - 3 +14.1 +21.6 -7.7
  Dec 03, 2021 165   Pittsburgh W 57-56 82%     6 - 3 1 - 0 -1.1 +3.2 -4.0
  Dec 07, 2021 233   @ James Madison L 49-52 81%     6 - 4 -4.5 -17.2 +12.1
  Dec 18, 2021 349   Fairleigh Dickinson W 82-49 98%     7 - 4 +17.0 +7.6 +12.6
  Dec 22, 2021 76   Clemson L 50-67 58%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -11.4 -14.4 +0.7
  Jan 01, 2022 65   @ Syracuse W 74-69 39%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +15.7 +10.5 +5.8
  Jan 04, 2022 76   @ Clemson W 75-65 41%     9 - 5 3 - 1 +20.0 +18.1 +3.5
  Jan 08, 2022 28   @ North Carolina L 58-74 27%     9 - 6 3 - 2 -2.0 -1.3 -2.9
  Jan 12, 2022 22   Virginia Tech W 54-52 41%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +12.2 -3.1 +15.7
  Jan 15, 2022 35   Wake Forest L 55-63 46%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +0.9 -3.3 +2.6
  Jan 19, 2022 165   @ Pittsburgh W 66-61 70%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +7.3 +9.6 -1.3
  Jan 22, 2022 127   @ North Carolina St. L 63-77 61%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -9.1 +6.0 -18.8
  Jan 24, 2022 119   Louisville W 64-52 74%     12 - 8 6 - 4 +13.0 +8.0 +7.9
  Jan 29, 2022 48   @ Notre Dame L 65-69 34%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +8.1 +4.9 +2.8
  Feb 01, 2022 120   Boston College W 67-55 74%     13 - 9 7 - 5 +13.0 +7.2 +7.9
  Feb 05, 2022 54   Miami (FL) W 71-58 52%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +20.2 +11.1 +11.5
  Feb 07, 2022 13   @ Duke W 69-68 15%     15 - 9 9 - 5 +19.7 +8.9 +10.9
  Feb 12, 2022 142   Georgia Tech W 63-53 78%     16 - 9 10 - 5 +9.5 +2.9 +8.3
  Feb 14, 2022 22   @ Virginia Tech L 53-62 26%     16 - 10 10 - 6 +5.6 -4.1 +8.0
  Feb 19, 2022 54   @ Miami (FL) W 74-71 35%     17 - 10 11 - 6 +14.7 +7.8 +7.0
  Feb 23, 2022 13   Duke L 61-65 27%     17 - 11 11 - 7 +10.3 +2.9 +6.7
  Feb 26, 2022 106   Florida St. L 63-64 69%     17 - 12 11 - 8 +1.6 +0.1 +1.3
  Mar 05, 2022 119   @ Louisville W 71-61 59%     18 - 12 12 - 8 +15.4 +13.6 +3.4
  Mar 09, 2022 119   Louisville W 51-50 67%     19 - 12 +4.2 -9.9 +14.2
  Mar 10, 2022 28   North Carolina L 43-63 35%     19 - 13 -8.2 -22.3 +12.6
Projected Record 19 - 13 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 3.0% 3.0% 11.9 0.0 0.4 2.4 0.2 97.0 3.0%
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.0% 0.0% 3.0% 11.9 0.0 0.4 2.4 0.2 97.0 3.0%