Pre-tourney Rankings
VMI
Southern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.7#180
Expected Predictive Rating-1.6#198
Pace70.7#103
Improvement+0.8#149

Offense
Total Offense+4.8#56
First Shot+6.5#24
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#306
Layup/Dunks-1.3#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+11.1#3
Freethrows-0.1#175
Improvement+2.1#77

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#319
First Shot-5.4#335
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#180
Layups/Dunks+2.9#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#312
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#353
Freethrows-0.3#212
Improvement-1.2#254
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 22 - 23 - 3
Quad 34 - 67 - 9
Quad 46 - 613 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 279   @ Presbyterian L 72-73 OT 64%     0 - 1 -5.4 +0.1 -5.6
  Nov 20, 2021 225   @ Marist L 74-78 OT 51%     0 - 2 -5.0 -2.9 -1.9
  Nov 24, 2021 279   Presbyterian L 54-59 72%     0 - 3 -11.7 -13.9 +1.7
  Nov 25, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 73-67 81%     1 - 3 -3.9 -6.7 +2.8
  Nov 26, 2021 274   @ New Orleans L 71-79 64%     1 - 4 -12.3 -1.0 -11.5
  Dec 03, 2021 169   @ Portland W 90-82 40%     2 - 4 +9.9 +17.2 -7.3
  Dec 05, 2021 141   @ Seattle W 89-82 32%     3 - 4 +11.2 +14.1 -3.6
  Dec 11, 2021 195   Gardner-Webb W 64-61 62%     4 - 4 -0.8 -7.5 +6.7
  Dec 14, 2021 35   @ Wake Forest L 70-77 10%     4 - 5 +6.3 +1.5 +4.9
  Dec 29, 2021 131   @ Wofford W 80-73 31%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +11.5 +8.8 +2.7
  Jan 01, 2022 88   Furman W 76-67 32%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +13.1 +8.5 +5.3
  Jan 05, 2022 194   @ East Tennessee St. L 79-80 45%     6 - 6 2 - 1 -0.3 +2.4 -2.7
  Jan 08, 2022 182   UNC Greensboro L 56-72 59%     6 - 7 2 - 2 -19.0 -12.8 -7.4
  Jan 13, 2022 199   @ Mercer L 91-97 46%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -5.6 +17.0 -22.6
  Jan 15, 2022 255   @ The Citadel W 90-85 59%     7 - 8 3 - 3 +2.0 +6.4 -4.9
  Jan 20, 2022 192   Samford W 99-80 61%     8 - 8 4 - 3 +15.4 +19.3 -4.6
  Jan 22, 2022 94   Chattanooga L 74-78 34%     8 - 9 4 - 4 -0.3 +7.4 -8.1
  Jan 26, 2022 88   @ Furman L 64-79 19%     8 - 10 4 - 5 -6.5 -5.0 -2.2
  Jan 29, 2022 194   East Tennessee St. W 83-79 62%     9 - 10 5 - 5 +0.2 +10.9 -10.4
  Feb 02, 2022 182   @ UNC Greensboro W 76-65 42%     10 - 10 6 - 5 +12.4 +13.7 -0.1
  Feb 04, 2022 301   Western Carolina W 76-69 82%     11 - 10 7 - 5 -3.5 -5.0 +1.3
  Feb 10, 2022 199   Mercer W 85-79 63%     12 - 10 8 - 5 +2.0 +7.2 -5.2
  Feb 12, 2022 255   The Citadel L 79-83 74%     12 - 11 8 - 6 -11.4 -6.9 -4.1
  Feb 17, 2022 192   @ Samford L 99-100 OT 44%     12 - 12 8 - 7 -0.2 +21.3 -21.5
  Feb 19, 2022 94   @ Chattanooga W 80-75 20%     13 - 12 9 - 7 +13.1 +10.9 +2.3
  Feb 23, 2022 131   Wofford L 72-83 47%     13 - 13 9 - 8 -10.9 -0.8 -10.2
  Feb 26, 2022 301   @ Western Carolina L 73-82 70%     13 - 14 9 - 9 -15.1 -7.8 -6.9
  Mar 05, 2022 131   Wofford L 66-68 39%     13 - 15 +0.3 +0.1 +0.0
Projected Record 13 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%