Pre-tourney Rankings
Western Illinois
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#235
Pace75.1#32
Improvement-5.5#339

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#218
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#193
Layup/Dunks+0.0#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#307
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#119
Freethrows-0.8#249
Improvement-3.1#316

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#263
First Shot-5.2#328
After Offensive Rebounds+2.2#30
Layups/Dunks-7.0#353
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#20
Freethrows-2.2#317
Improvement-2.4#297
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 54 - 9
Quad 410 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 116   @ Nebraska W 75-74 17%     1 - 0 +6.4 -4.3 +10.6
  Nov 20, 2021 90   @ DePaul L 80-84 12%     1 - 1 +4.5 +1.4 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2021 179   @ Northern Kentucky W 69-67 28%     2 - 1 +3.6 -6.7 +10.2
  Nov 24, 2021 304   @ Eastern Michigan L 68-72 57%     2 - 2 -10.4 -13.6 +3.6
  Nov 27, 2021 248   Miami (OH) W 79-67 59%     3 - 2 +5.1 +5.1 +0.8
  Dec 01, 2021 254   Ball St. W 93-80 61%     4 - 2 +5.7 +10.4 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2021 313   Tennessee Martin W 81-64 76%     5 - 2 +5.1 +3.6 +1.6
  Dec 05, 2021 299   @ Central Michigan W 97-70 56%     6 - 2 +21.0 +20.4 +0.4
  Dec 18, 2021 355   Eastern Illinois W 71-54 91%     7 - 2 -2.4 -3.9 +2.2
  Dec 20, 2021 295   @ Denver W 84-80 OT 55%     8 - 2 1 - 0 -1.7 -4.4 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2021 346   @ Nebraska Omaha L 78-84 73%     8 - 3 1 - 1 -16.8 -6.7 -9.9
  Dec 29, 2021 10   @ Iowa L 71-92 2%     8 - 4 -1.5 +0.5 -1.2
  Jan 01, 2022 312   @ St. Thomas L 66-89 61%     8 - 5 1 - 2 -30.4 -15.0 -16.1
  Jan 08, 2022 160   Oral Roberts L 86-87 40%     8 - 6 1 - 3 -2.9 -0.4 -2.4
  Jan 13, 2022 345   @ North Dakota W 73-68 73%     9 - 6 2 - 3 -5.8 -8.8 +2.9
  Jan 15, 2022 149   @ North Dakota St. W 90-79 OT 23%     10 - 6 3 - 3 +14.3 +7.0 +5.8
  Jan 22, 2022 79   South Dakota St. L 75-93 18%     10 - 7 3 - 4 -12.9 -4.7 -7.2
  Jan 24, 2022 202   South Dakota L 72-75 48%     10 - 8 3 - 5 -7.1 -9.3 +2.4
  Jan 29, 2022 312   St. Thomas W 81-52 76%     11 - 8 4 - 5 +17.1 -2.5 +20.2
  Jan 31, 2022 217   UMKC L 75-83 52%     11 - 9 4 - 6 -12.9 -0.8 -12.0
  Feb 03, 2022 160   @ Oral Roberts W 90-85 25%     12 - 9 5 - 6 +7.5 +7.0 +0.2
  Feb 05, 2022 217   @ UMKC L 82-91 35%     12 - 10 5 - 7 -9.5 +3.5 -12.3
  Feb 10, 2022 149   North Dakota St. L 81-84 2OT 37%     12 - 11 5 - 8 -4.1 -3.2 -0.5
  Feb 12, 2022 345   North Dakota W 70-68 84%     13 - 11 6 - 8 -13.2 -13.5 +0.3
  Feb 17, 2022 79   @ South Dakota St. L 66-91 10%     13 - 12 6 - 9 -15.5 -9.7 -4.9
  Feb 19, 2022 202   @ South Dakota L 65-78 32%     13 - 13 6 - 10 -12.7 -9.0 -3.9
  Feb 24, 2022 346   Nebraska Omaha W 88-76 84%     14 - 13 7 - 10 -3.2 -2.0 -2.2
  Feb 26, 2022 295   Denver L 77-83 71%     14 - 14 7 - 11 -16.2 -2.3 -13.9
  Mar 06, 2022 160   Oral Roberts L 68-80 32%     14 - 15 -11.7 -7.7 -4.1
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%