Pre-tourney Rankings
William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#338
Expected Predictive Rating-13.1#343
Pace71.3#91
Improvement+3.4#68

Offense
Total Offense-8.7#351
First Shot-8.2#350
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#221
Layup/Dunks-2.2#265
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#325
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#237
Freethrows-1.3#294
Improvement+0.4#170

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#261
First Shot-2.0#240
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#273
Layups/Dunks-2.7#282
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#247
Freethrows+1.8#58
Improvement+3.0#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 102 - 15
Quad 42 - 124 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 35   @ Wake Forest L 59-77 2%     0 - 1 -4.7 -9.9 +5.8
  Nov 12, 2021 328   American L 62-74 55%     0 - 2 -24.9 -21.2 -2.8
  Nov 16, 2021 196   @ Norfolk St. L 74-91 13%     0 - 3 -16.4 -2.4 -13.0
  Nov 20, 2021 146   Georgia St. L 59-77 12%     0 - 4 -16.8 -15.4 -0.1
  Nov 21, 2021 260   Howard L 76-82 28%     0 - 5 -11.7 -3.9 -7.3
  Nov 24, 2021 287   @ Radford L 54-67 27%     0 - 6 -18.2 -15.7 -3.6
  Dec 01, 2021 197   @ Navy L 56-75 13%     0 - 7 -18.5 -6.9 -13.3
  Dec 04, 2021 52   @ Davidson L 46-70 2%     0 - 8 -12.2 -25.3 +13.1
  Dec 07, 2021 181   Old Dominion L 59-74 20%     0 - 9 -18.0 -11.3 -7.5
  Dec 09, 2021 331   Hampton L 53-54 55%     0 - 10 -14.1 -18.3 +4.2
  Dec 12, 2021 222   Fairfield L 47-70 27%     0 - 11 -28.2 -22.9 -7.6
  Dec 22, 2021 185   @ Valparaiso L 66-88 12%     0 - 12 -20.8 -3.8 -18.1
  Dec 29, 2021 138   Hofstra W 63-62 14%     1 - 12 1 - 0 +0.8 -15.2 +16.0
  Dec 31, 2021 253   Northeastern W 71-70 34%     2 - 12 2 - 0 -6.3 -9.8 +3.5
  Jan 15, 2022 233   James Madison L 91-95 OT 29%     2 - 13 2 - 1 -9.9 +0.8 -10.2
  Jan 17, 2022 89   Towson L 69-91 8%     2 - 14 2 - 2 -17.9 +2.7 -22.4
  Jan 20, 2022 147   @ Delaware L 74-84 9%     2 - 15 2 - 3 -6.6 -0.7 -5.6
  Jan 22, 2022 162   @ Drexel W 83-75 10%     3 - 15 3 - 3 +10.4 -2.0 +11.2
  Jan 25, 2022 157   @ College of Charleston L 73-74 10%     3 - 16 3 - 4 +1.7 -7.6 +9.5
  Jan 27, 2022 246   @ Elon L 54-61 19%     3 - 17 3 - 5 -9.5 -17.0 +7.1
  Jan 29, 2022 246   Elon W 65-61 32%     4 - 17 4 - 5 -2.9 -5.6 +3.0
  Feb 03, 2022 157   College of Charleston L 61-84 17%     4 - 18 4 - 6 -24.7 -14.6 -9.7
  Feb 05, 2022 177   UNC Wilmington L 70-92 20%     4 - 19 4 - 7 -24.7 +0.0 -26.1
  Feb 10, 2022 89   @ Towson L 60-75 4%     4 - 20 4 - 8 -6.5 -6.3 -1.0
  Feb 12, 2022 233   @ James Madison L 55-69 17%     4 - 21 4 - 9 -15.5 -15.5 -1.2
  Feb 14, 2022 177   @ UNC Wilmington L 73-80 OT 11%     4 - 22 4 - 10 -5.3 -2.3 -2.8
  Feb 17, 2022 162   Drexel L 57-72 18%     4 - 23 4 - 11 -17.0 -14.4 -3.5
  Feb 19, 2022 147   Delaware L 69-73 16%     4 - 24 4 - 12 -5.1 -6.4 +1.4
  Feb 24, 2022 253   @ Northeastern L 28-62 20%     4 - 25 4 - 13 -36.9 -41.5 +0.7
  Feb 26, 2022 138   @ Hofstra L 67-83 8%     4 - 26 4 - 14 -11.8 -9.4 -1.6
  Mar 05, 2022 253   Northeastern L 63-68 OT 26%     4 - 27 -10.1 -13.7 +3.8
Projected Record 4 - 27 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%