Pre-tourney Rankings
Wright St.
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.0#166
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#195
Pace71.5#85
Improvement+7.9#5

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#109
First Shot+3.0#83
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#225
Layup/Dunks+2.4#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#53
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#262
Freethrows+0.7#116
Improvement+4.3#20

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#247
First Shot-0.2#183
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#338
Layups/Dunks-0.6#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#344
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#139
Freethrows+2.4#33
Improvement+3.6#37
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 16.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four80.0% n/a n/a
First Round64.7% n/a n/a
Second Round1.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 35 - 55 - 6
Quad 415 - 720 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 232   @ Marshall L 88-96 56%     0 - 1 -9.4 -4.6 -3.2
  Nov 16, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 52-96 5%     0 - 2 -25.6 -19.3 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2021 212   George Washington L 63-74 60%     0 - 3 -13.5 -9.8 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2021 233   James Madison L 76-78 64%     0 - 4 -5.7 -5.8 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2021 148   Long Beach St. L 76-85 46%     0 - 5 -7.8 -3.6 -3.3
  Dec 02, 2021 220   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 86-73 53%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +12.3 +18.2 -5.3
  Dec 04, 2021 190   @ Cleveland St. L 75-85 46%     1 - 6 1 - 1 -9.1 -1.7 -6.9
  Dec 15, 2021 128   Akron L 48-66 49%     1 - 7 -17.7 -19.4 -0.7
  Dec 18, 2021 272   Tennessee Tech W 72-63 79%     2 - 7 +0.5 -9.1 +9.2
  Dec 21, 2021 127   @ North Carolina St. W 84-70 32%     3 - 7 +18.9 +8.9 +9.7
  Dec 30, 2021 329   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 80-75 88%     4 - 7 2 - 1 -8.0 +1.3 -9.3
  Jan 01, 2022 337   Green Bay W 72-69 90%     5 - 7 3 - 1 -10.7 -3.0 -7.6
  Jan 06, 2022 276   Illinois-Chicago W 90-72 80%     6 - 7 4 - 1 +9.2 +19.5 -8.7
  Jan 08, 2022 358   IUPUI W 72-58 97%     7 - 7 5 - 1 -7.7 -4.8 -2.5
  Jan 13, 2022 311   @ Robert Morris W 75-73 76%     8 - 7 6 - 1 -5.4 +2.2 -7.4
  Jan 15, 2022 251   @ Youngstown St. L 87-90 61%     8 - 8 6 - 2 -5.8 +9.8 -15.5
  Jan 20, 2022 358   @ IUPUI W 73-45 94%     9 - 8 7 - 2 +10.7 +5.2 +8.9
  Jan 22, 2022 276   @ Illinois-Chicago W 97-81 66%     10 - 8 8 - 2 +11.7 +12.7 -2.4
  Jan 25, 2022 179   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-73 44%     10 - 9 8 - 3 -8.4 -7.4 -1.2
  Jan 28, 2022 190   Cleveland St. L 67-71 63%     10 - 10 8 - 4 -7.5 -12.4 +5.1
  Jan 30, 2022 220   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-63 69%     11 - 10 9 - 4 +6.9 -1.0 +7.6
  Feb 04, 2022 221   Detroit Mercy W 90-59 69%     12 - 10 10 - 4 +25.8 +14.9 +12.2
  Feb 05, 2022 186   Oakland W 75-64 62%     13 - 10 11 - 4 +7.7 +7.9 +1.0
  Feb 09, 2022 337   @ Green Bay W 79-62 81%     14 - 10 12 - 4 +7.7 +10.2 -1.0
  Feb 11, 2022 329   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 57-60 79%     14 - 11 12 - 5 -11.6 -11.7 -0.2
  Feb 13, 2022 179   Northern Kentucky L 71-75 61%     14 - 12 12 - 6 -6.8 -3.8 -3.0
  Feb 18, 2022 186   @ Oakland W 78-74 46%     15 - 12 13 - 6 +5.2 +15.6 -9.9
  Feb 20, 2022 221   @ Detroit Mercy L 75-80 53%     15 - 13 13 - 7 -5.8 -0.7 -5.2
  Feb 24, 2022 251   Youngstown St. W 84-71 75%     16 - 13 14 - 7 +5.8 +2.7 +2.7
  Feb 26, 2022 311   Robert Morris W 71-61 86%     17 - 13 15 - 7 -1.8 -2.5 +1.8
  Mar 03, 2022 186   Oakland W 75-63 62%     18 - 13 +8.7 +10.1 +0.3
  Mar 07, 2022 190   Cleveland St. W 82-67 55%     19 - 13 +13.7 +5.4 +8.0
  Mar 08, 2022 179   Northern Kentucky W 72-71 52%     20 - 13 +0.4 +6.3 -5.8
Projected Record 20 - 13 15 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0
21-1
20-2
19-3
18-4
17-5
16-6
15-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 4.1 95.8
14-8
13-9
12-10
11-11
10-12
9-13
8-14
7-15
6-16
5-17
4-18
3-19
2-20
1-21
0-22
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 4.1 95.8