IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Western Carolina
Southern
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.4	#309
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.6	#78
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#265

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-5.4	#321

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	2.0%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.6	15.4

.500 or above	10.4%	23.4%	5.8%
.500 or above in Conference	12.8%	23.3%	9.0%
Conference Champion	0.7%	1.8%	0.4%
Last Place in Conference	40.5%	25.9%	45.7%

First Four	0.2%	0.4%	0.2%
First Round	0.8%	1.8%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bowling Green (Home) - 26.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 9	2 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 8	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	150	Bowling Green	L	76-83	26%
Nov 12, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	66-82	7%
Nov 14, 2021	183	@ East Carolina	L	69-80	18%
Nov 19, 2021	229	Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	72-77	34%
Nov 20, 2021	259	American	L	71-74	40%
Nov 21, 2021	249	@ Longwood	L	67-73	30%
Nov 27, 2021	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	70-78	25%
Dec 04, 2021	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	77-75	56%
Dec 08, 2021	301	Tennessee Tech	W	78-76	57%
Dec 11, 2021	252	UNC Asheville	L	77-78	49%
Dec 20, 2021	133	@ Georgia	L	75-89	13%
Dec 22, 2021	178	@ Charlotte	L	63-74	19%
Dec 29, 2021	149	UNC Greensboro	L	71-78	29%
Jan 01, 2022	141	@ East Tennessee St.	L	66-79	15%
Jan 05, 2022	272	The Citadel	W	85-84	52%
Jan 08, 2022	255	@ Samford	L	79-85	31%
Jan 12, 2022	135	Chattanooga	L	70-78	27%
Jan 15, 2022	139	Wofford	L	70-77	28%
Jan 19, 2022	109	@ Furman	L	68-84	11%
Jan 22, 2022	155	@ Mercer	L	69-81	17%
Jan 26, 2022	272	@ The Citadel	L	82-87	34%
Jan 29, 2022	255	Samford	L	82-83	49%
Feb 02, 2022	141	East Tennessee St.	L	69-76	28%
Feb 04, 2022	218	@ VMI	L	76-84	25%
Feb 09, 2022	135	@ Chattanooga	L	67-81	14%
Feb 12, 2022	139	@ Wofford	L	67-80	15%
Feb 16, 2022	109	Furman	L	71-81	22%
Feb 19, 2022	155	Mercer	L	72-78	32%
Feb 23, 2022	149	@ UNC Greensboro	L	68-81	16%
Feb 26, 2022	218	VMI	L	79-81	42%
Projected Record						9 - 21	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0				1.3	2nd
3rd										0.1	0.5	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0						2.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.1	0.9	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0							3.4	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.5	2.2	1.1	0.2	0.0								5.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	2.3	2.9	1.3	0.2	0.0									7.3	6th
7th					0.2	1.4	3.8	4.0	1.6	0.2	0.0										11.2	7th
8th			0.0	0.6	2.9	5.5	4.7	1.7	0.2	0.0											15.6	8th
9th		0.3	2.5	6.2	7.1	4.5	1.3	0.1													21.9	9th
10th	4.0	8.1	9.0	6.4	2.7	0.7	0.1														30.9	10th

Total	4.0	8.3	11.4	13.2	12.9	12.2	10.4	8.4	6.4	4.7	3.1	2.1	1.4	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Southern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	97.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	79.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
14-4	53.9%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	29.4%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
12-6	4.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		48.1%	48.1%		13.0														0.0				0.0
17-1	0.0%		44.6%	36.5%	8.1%	12.4											0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0		12.8%
16-2	0.1%		39.4%	39.4%		12.3											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0
15-3	0.2%		32.0%	26.2%	5.8%	13.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		7.8%
14-4	0.4%		15.9%	15.9%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
13-5	0.8%		13.4%	13.4%		14.2												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
12-6	1.4%		8.9%	8.9%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.2
11-7	2.1%		5.4%	5.4%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.0
10-8	3.1%		3.9%	3.9%		15.3													0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	3.0
9-9	4.7%		2.4%	2.4%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.6
8-10	6.4%		1.3%	1.3%		15.9																0.0	0.1	6.3
7-11	8.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																0.0	0.0	8.4
6-12	10.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
5-13	12.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.1
4-14	12.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.9
3-15	13.2%																							13.2
2-16	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
1-17	8.3%																							8.3
0-18	4.0%																							4.0

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	14.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.9%