IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-14.5	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.4	#120
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-7.6	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.9	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.7%	8.2%	1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	15.6	16.0

.500 or above	3.5%	29.2%	3.3%
.500 or above in Conference	36.6%	75.4%	36.3%
Conference Champion	1.7%	12.5%	1.6%
Last Place in Conference	7.5%	0.6%	7.6%

First Four	1.6%	4.8%	1.5%
First Round	0.8%	6.2%	0.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Washington St. (Away) - 0.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 14
Quad 4	8 - 10	8 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	69	@ Washington St.	L	58-84	1%
Nov 10, 2021	179	@ Seattle	L	66-83	6%
Nov 13, 2021	307	@ Portland	L	73-82	20%
Nov 15, 2021	1	@ Gonzaga	L	63-102	0.0%
Nov 26, 2021	140	@ Southern Illinois	L	60-79	5%
Nov 28, 2021	205	@ Wisconsin-Milwaukee	L	67-83	10%
Dec 04, 2021	136	@ Tulane	L	61-81	5%
Dec 06, 2021	13	@ Houston	L	51-84	0.4%
Dec 14, 2021	54	@ Wichita St.	L	57-84	1%
Dec 16, 2021	108	@ Tulsa	L	58-80	4%
Dec 20, 2021	9	@ Baylor	L	57-90	0.3%
Dec 22, 2021	40	@ Oklahoma	L	56-85	1%
Dec 29, 2021	106	@ Minnesota	L	63-85	4%
Jan 03, 2022	262	@ Jackson St.	L	63-75	17%
Jan 08, 2022	340	@ Alabama A&M	L	65-70	35%
Jan 10, 2022	351	@ Alabama St.	L	71-72	47%
Jan 15, 2022	211	Texas Southern	L	72-81	24%
Jan 17, 2022	232	Prairie View	L	68-76	27%
Jan 22, 2022	304	@ Florida A&M	L	66-76	22%
Jan 24, 2022	350	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	72-73	46%
Jan 29, 2022	317	Southern	L	73-76	42%
Jan 31, 2022	312	Grambling St.	L	71-74	40%
Feb 05, 2022	355	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	71-68	59%
Feb 07, 2022	358	@ Mississippi Valley	W	80-73	71%
Feb 12, 2022	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	75-70	65%
Feb 14, 2022	304	Florida A&M	L	69-73	39%
Feb 19, 2022	262	Jackson St.	L	66-72	32%
Feb 26, 2022	232	@ Prairie View	L	65-79	14%
Feb 28, 2022	211	@ Texas Southern	L	69-84	12%
Mar 03, 2022	358	Mississippi Valley	W	83-70	84%
Mar 05, 2022	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	74-65	76%
Projected Record						8 - 23	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		1.7	1st
2nd												0.1	0.4	1.1	1.0	0.4	0.0				3.0	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.1	0.8	1.8	1.4	0.3	0.0					4.4	3rd
4th										0.2	1.2	2.8	1.8	0.4	0.0						6.4	4th
5th									0.2	1.6	3.6	2.5	0.4	0.0							8.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.4	2.2	4.7	3.1	0.6	0.0								10.9	6th
7th						0.0	0.5	3.1	5.4	3.4	0.6	0.0									13.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.6	5.9	3.2	0.6	0.0										14.1	8th
9th				0.0	1.0	4.3	5.4	2.8	0.5	0.0											13.9	9th
10th			0.1	1.2	4.1	4.2	1.8	0.3	0.0												11.6	10th
11th		0.1	1.4	3.2	2.6	0.9	0.1	0.0													8.3	11th
12th	0.3	1.2	1.5	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0														4.3	12th

Total	0.3	1.4	3.0	5.4	7.9	10.2	11.3	12.4	11.5	10.4	8.6	6.6	4.5	3.2	1.8	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	87.8%	0.3		0.3	0.1
15-3	58.3%	0.5		0.3	0.2	0.0
14-4	26.7%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	5.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.4%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.7%	1.7		0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		52.4%	52.4%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.5%	29.5%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.4%		20.9%	20.9%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3
15-3	0.9%		20.7%	20.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7
14-4	1.8%		12.9%	12.9%		16.0																0.0	0.2	1.5
13-5	3.2%		9.6%	9.6%		16.0																0.0	0.3	2.9
12-6	4.5%		4.9%	4.9%		16.0																	0.2	4.3
11-7	6.6%		2.8%	2.8%		16.0																	0.2	6.5
10-8	8.6%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																	0.2	8.4
9-9	10.4%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	10.3
8-10	11.5%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.1	11.5
7-11	12.4%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	12.4
6-12	11.3%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.3
5-13	10.2%																							10.2
4-14	7.9%																							7.9
3-15	5.4%																							5.4
2-16	3.0%																							3.0
1-17	1.4%																							1.4
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		1.7%	1.7%	0.0%	16.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6	98.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%