IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Arkansas Pine Bluff
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-20.4	#355
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.1	#212
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-12.9	#357

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.5	#347

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.2%	1.5%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.4%	2.4%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	9.4%	30.8%	8.9%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.8%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	26.7%	7.4%	27.2%

First Four	0.2%	1.5%	0.2%
First Round	0.1%	0.3%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Texas Southern (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 6
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 11
Quad 4	5 - 13	5 - 24

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Jan 08, 2021	211	@ Texas Southern	L	62-83	2%
Nov 09, 2021	48	@ Creighton	L	53-86	0.1%
Nov 12, 2021	51	@ Colorado St.	L	54-87	0.2%
Nov 14, 2021	156	@ Wyoming	L	59-83	2%
Nov 18, 2021	307	@ Portland	L	66-81	9%
Nov 22, 2021	179	@ Seattle	L	59-82	3%
Nov 24, 2021	97	@ UC Santa Barbara	L	52-81	1%
Nov 26, 2021	137	@ Pacific	L	54-79	2%
Dec 01, 2021	127	@ Iowa St.	L	57-83	2%
Dec 04, 2021	9	@ Baylor	L	50-89	0.1%
Dec 08, 2021	194	Arkansas St.	L	61-77	10%
Dec 14, 2021	7	@ Texas	L	49-89	0.1%
Jan 03, 2022	340	Alabama A&M	L	61-66	34%
Jan 05, 2022	351	Alabama St.	L	67-68	47%
Jan 10, 2022	232	@ Prairie View	L	58-78	6%
Jan 15, 2022	304	Florida A&M	L	62-71	23%
Jan 17, 2022	350	Bethune-Cookman	L	68-69	47%
Jan 22, 2022	317	@ Southern	L	63-78	12%
Jan 24, 2022	312	@ Grambling St.	L	61-76	12%
Jan 29, 2022	358	@ Mississippi Valley	W	73-72	53%
Feb 05, 2022	347	Alcorn St.	L	68-71	41%
Feb 07, 2022	262	Jackson St.	L	59-71	17%
Feb 12, 2022	351	@ Alabama St.	L	64-71	30%
Feb 14, 2022	340	@ Alabama A&M	L	58-69	20%
Feb 19, 2022	232	Prairie View	L	61-75	14%
Feb 21, 2022	211	Texas Southern	L	65-80	12%
Feb 26, 2022	358	Mississippi Valley	W	76-69	71%
Mar 03, 2022	262	@ Jackson St.	L	56-74	8%
Mar 05, 2022	347	@ Alcorn St.	L	65-74	24%
Projected Record						5 - 24	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.3	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0						0.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.4	4th
5th									0.1	0.7	1.1	0.5	0.1								2.5	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	1.2	1.9	0.8	0.1	0.0								4.3	6th
7th						0.0	0.4	2.0	2.8	1.3	0.2	0.0									6.7	7th
8th					0.0	0.7	3.2	3.9	1.8	0.3	0.0										9.9	8th
9th				0.1	1.5	4.9	5.5	2.2	0.3	0.0											14.4	9th
10th			0.4	3.1	7.3	6.4	2.2	0.3	0.0												19.7	10th
11th		1.1	5.5	8.5	5.6	1.6	0.2	0.0													22.5	11th
12th	2.8	6.1	5.7	2.4	0.5	0.1	0.0														17.6	12th

Total	2.8	7.2	11.6	14.1	15.0	13.6	11.3	8.7	6.3	4.3	2.5	1.4	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	50.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	24.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	9.7%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0			0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																							0.0
16-2	0.0%																							0.0
15-3	0.0%		13.5%	13.5%		16.0																	0.0	0.0
14-4	0.1%		12.6%	12.6%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
13-5	0.3%		5.2%	5.2%		16.0																	0.0	0.3
12-6	0.7%		5.3%	5.3%		16.0																	0.0	0.7
11-7	1.4%		3.3%	3.3%		16.0																	0.0	1.4
10-8	2.5%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.0	2.5
9-9	4.3%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	4.2
8-10	6.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
7-11	8.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
6-12	11.3%																							11.3
5-13	13.6%																							13.6
4-14	15.0%																							15.0
3-15	14.1%																							14.1
2-16	11.6%																							11.6
1-17	7.2%																							7.2
0-18	2.8%																							2.8

Total	100%		0.2%	0.2%	0.0%	16.0																	0.2	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	2.6%