Preseason Rankings
Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.1#175
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#337
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#143
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#215
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 15.5% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.9 15.1
.500 or above 61.2% 65.5% 29.9%
.500 or above in Conference 70.1% 73.1% 48.0%
Conference Champion 17.6% 19.1% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.1% 4.1% 13.1%
First Four1.5% 1.4% 1.8%
First Round13.7% 14.8% 5.4%
Second Round1.8% 2.0% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 87.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 65 - 10
Quad 411 - 316 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 323   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-67 88%    
  Nov 14, 2021 44   @ Syracuse L 64-78 11%    
  Nov 17, 2021 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-74 45%    
  Nov 22, 2021 136   Tulane L 66-68 42%    
  Dec 04, 2021 168   @ Princeton L 68-71 39%    
  Dec 11, 2021 167   @ Abilene Christian L 66-69 39%    
  Dec 14, 2021 336   Coppin St. W 83-68 88%    
  Dec 18, 2021 120   @ Temple L 64-70 30%    
  Dec 21, 2021 210   @ La Salle L 69-70 47%    
  Dec 29, 2021 235   @ College of Charleston W 66-65 53%    
  Dec 31, 2021 266   @ UNC Wilmington W 73-70 58%    
  Jan 03, 2022 239   Towson W 71-64 72%    
  Jan 05, 2022 172   James Madison W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 11, 2022 181   Delaware W 69-65 61%    
  Jan 15, 2022 134   @ Northeastern L 65-70 33%    
  Jan 17, 2022 192   @ Hofstra L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 20, 2022 217   Elon W 70-64 67%    
  Jan 22, 2022 295   William & Mary W 73-63 79%    
  Jan 27, 2022 172   @ James Madison L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 29, 2022 239   @ Towson W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 05, 2022 181   @ Delaware L 66-68 43%    
  Feb 10, 2022 192   Hofstra W 72-68 63%    
  Feb 12, 2022 134   Northeastern W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 17, 2022 295   @ William & Mary W 70-66 63%    
  Feb 19, 2022 217   @ Elon L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 24, 2022 266   UNC Wilmington W 76-67 75%    
  Feb 26, 2022 235   College of Charleston W 69-62 71%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.9 4.4 3.7 2.2 0.7 17.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.9 5.1 3.4 1.3 0.2 15.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.5 4.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.8 3.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.0 2.6 0.5 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.5 6.7 8.1 9.7 10.6 10.3 10.2 9.3 7.7 5.6 3.9 2.2 0.7 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
17-1 100.0% 2.2    2.1 0.1
16-2 94.8% 3.7    3.2 0.5
15-3 77.5% 4.4    3.2 1.1 0.1
14-4 50.9% 3.9    2.1 1.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 22.2% 2.1    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 17.6% 17.6 12.1 4.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.7% 76.4% 65.6% 10.8% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 31.4%
17-1 2.2% 59.6% 54.1% 5.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.9 11.9%
16-2 3.9% 47.3% 45.4% 1.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.0 3.5%
15-3 5.6% 38.0% 37.7% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.0 3.5 0.5%
14-4 7.7% 28.5% 28.5% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.1 5.5 0.1%
13-5 9.3% 22.2% 22.2% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.3 7.2
12-6 10.2% 15.8% 15.8% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 8.6
11-7 10.3% 10.5% 10.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 9.2
10-8 10.6% 7.2% 7.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 9.8
9-9 9.7% 5.4% 5.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 9.2
8-10 8.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.9
7-11 6.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
6-12 5.5% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 5.4
5-13 4.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.1
4-14 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 14.4% 14.1% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.7 3.4 3.5 2.6 85.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.2 8.9 22.8 29.7 25.9 8.2 4.4
Lose Out 0.0%