IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Fairleigh Dickinson
Northeast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-9.9	#323
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.3	#70
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#245

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-7.8	#350

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	15.6%	4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.0	15.7

.500 or above	12.5%	52.1%	12.1%
.500 or above in Conference	33.3%	70.0%	32.9%
Conference Champion	3.6%	16.6%	3.4%
Last Place in Conference	19.1%	4.5%	19.3%

First Four	2.4%	2.4%	2.4%
First Round	2.9%	14.2%	2.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Seton Hall (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 11
Quad 4	8 - 9	9 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2021	41	@ Seton Hall	L	64-88	1%
Nov 12, 2021	175	@ Drexel	L	67-80	12%
Nov 18, 2021	58	@ Northwestern	L	66-88	3%
Nov 20, 2021	52	@ St. John's	L	73-95	3%
Nov 24, 2021	293	@ NJIT	L	73-79	31%
Nov 28, 2021	168	@ Princeton	L	71-84	14%
Nov 30, 2021	278	@ Manhattan	L	69-76	29%
Dec 07, 2021	210	@ La Salle	L	72-83	19%
Dec 15, 2021	260	Fairfield	L	70-71	45%
Dec 18, 2021	29	@ Virginia	L	52-77	2%
Dec 22, 2021	191	St. Peter's	L	69-75	32%
Dec 29, 2021	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	65-73	25%
Dec 31, 2021	283	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	76-82	31%
Jan 06, 2022	234	Merrimack	L	70-73	41%
Jan 08, 2022	206	Bryant	L	85-90	36%
Jan 15, 2022	288	@ Sacred Heart	L	74-80	32%
Jan 17, 2022	228	@ Wagner	L	71-80	23%
Jan 21, 2022	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	85-83	57%
Jan 23, 2022	254	LIU Brooklyn	L	82-84	45%
Jan 27, 2022	242	Mount St. Mary's	L	68-70	43%
Jan 29, 2022	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	85-78	72%
Feb 03, 2022	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	82-86	39%
Feb 05, 2022	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	82-81	54%
Feb 10, 2022	283	St. Francis (PA)	L	79-80	49%
Feb 12, 2022	288	Sacred Heart	W	77-76	50%
Feb 17, 2022	234	@ Merrimack	L	67-76	24%
Feb 19, 2022	206	@ Bryant	L	82-93	20%
Feb 24, 2022	228	Wagner	L	74-77	40%
Feb 26, 2022	254	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	79-87	27%
Projected Record						9 - 20	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1		3.6	1st
2nd											0.1	0.6	1.5	1.6	0.8	0.3	0.0				5.0	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.1	2.5	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0					6.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.7	3.4	2.2	0.5	0.0							8.0	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.2	4.1	2.4	0.5	0.0								9.5	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.6	4.9	2.6	0.4	0.0									11.2	6th
7th					0.1	0.9	3.6	5.1	2.5	0.4	0.0										12.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.3	2.0	4.7	5.1	2.3	0.3	0.0											14.8	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	3.5	5.4	4.2	1.5	0.2	0.0												16.0	9th
10th	0.9	2.5	3.7	3.4	1.9	0.5	0.1														12.9	10th

Total	0.9	2.6	4.9	7.2	9.4	10.3	10.9	10.5	10.2	8.9	7.4	5.8	4.4	3.0	1.9	1.2	0.6	0.2	0.1			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	95.1%	0.5		0.5	0.1	0.0
15-3	76.4%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	51.5%	1.0		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
13-5	21.9%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	5.6%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	3.6%	3.6		2.1	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		64.1%	64.1%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
17-1	0.2%		46.2%	46.2%		14.3													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.6%		40.8%	40.8%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.2%		35.1%	35.1%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.8
14-4	1.9%		28.1%	28.1%		15.5														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	1.3
13-5	3.0%		22.2%	22.2%		15.7															0.0	0.1	0.5	2.4
12-6	4.4%		16.9%	16.9%		15.9															0.0	0.1	0.7	3.6
11-7	5.8%		13.3%	13.3%		16.0																0.0	0.7	5.1
10-8	7.4%		6.6%	6.6%		16.0																0.0	0.5	6.9
9-9	8.9%		2.1%	2.1%		16.0																	0.2	8.7
8-10	10.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
7-11	10.5%																							10.5
6-12	10.9%																							10.9
5-13	10.3%																							10.3
4-14	9.4%																							9.4
3-15	7.2%																							7.2
2-16	4.9%																							4.9
1-17	2.6%																							2.6
0-18	0.9%																							0.9

Total	100%		4.2%	4.2%	0.0%	15.7													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.7	3.2	95.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.6%