Preseason Rankings
Georgetown
Big East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#86
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.1#102
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#89
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#89
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 3.0% 3.2% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 6.4% 6.9% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 23.1% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.3% 20.6% 3.8%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 8.9
.500 or above 49.8% 52.7% 16.6%
.500 or above in Conference 32.8% 34.5% 11.9%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 19.6% 17.8% 40.6%
First Four2.7% 2.9% 0.8%
First Round20.2% 21.5% 4.0%
Second Round10.5% 11.2% 1.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.9% 4.2% 0.5%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.7% 0.2%
Final Four0.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 92.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 34 - 210 - 15
Quad 46 - 016 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2021 270   Dartmouth W 79-64 92%    
  Nov 16, 2021 259   American W 78-63 90%    
  Nov 19, 2021 227   Siena W 77-64 87%    
  Nov 25, 2021 42   San Diego St. L 67-72 34%    
  Nov 30, 2021 249   Longwood W 75-61 88%    
  Dec 05, 2021 104   @ South Carolina L 79-81 45%    
  Dec 08, 2021 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-66 86%    
  Dec 11, 2021 44   Syracuse L 75-76 46%    
  Dec 15, 2021 332   Howard W 90-70 96%    
  Dec 18, 2021 80   TCU W 73-71 58%    
  Dec 22, 2021 65   @ Providence L 68-73 34%    
  Dec 28, 2021 48   @ Creighton L 71-78 30%    
  Jan 01, 2022 52   St. John's L 79-80 49%    
  Jan 04, 2022 37   Xavier L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 07, 2022 78   Marquette W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 13, 2022 64   Butler W 69-68 52%    
  Jan 16, 2022 52   @ St. John's L 77-83 31%    
  Jan 22, 2022 6   Villanova L 67-74 29%    
  Jan 25, 2022 25   @ Connecticut L 65-75 22%    
  Jan 29, 2022 64   @ Butler L 66-71 34%    
  Feb 01, 2022 41   Seton Hall L 71-73 45%    
  Feb 06, 2022 65   Providence W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 09, 2022 112   @ DePaul L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 12, 2022 48   Creighton L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 16, 2022 78   @ Marquette L 70-74 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 6   @ Villanova L 64-77 16%    
  Feb 24, 2022 112   DePaul W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 27, 2022 25   Connecticut L 68-72 39%    
  Mar 02, 2022 41   @ Seton Hall L 68-76 27%    
  Mar 05, 2022 37   @ Xavier L 70-78 26%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 2.9 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.5 3.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 3.4 1.0 0.1 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.4 3.5 0.9 0.1 11.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.1 4.7 2.9 0.8 0.1 12.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.1 4.2 2.3 0.5 0.1 13.8 10th
11th 0.8 2.1 3.4 3.7 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 13.9 11th
Total 0.8 2.2 4.0 5.9 7.5 8.9 9.8 9.6 9.6 9.0 8.0 6.8 5.7 4.4 3.1 2.2 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
18-2 90.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
17-3 80.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.9% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.0
15-5 33.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 9.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 58.8% 41.2% 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.1% 100.0% 33.9% 66.1% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.3% 100.0% 44.4% 55.6% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.7% 100.0% 27.7% 72.3% 3.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 24.4% 75.5% 4.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.2% 98.2% 17.3% 80.9% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8%
14-6 3.1% 94.5% 13.1% 81.4% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 93.7%
13-7 4.4% 84.6% 8.3% 76.2% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 83.2%
12-8 5.7% 70.8% 5.6% 65.2% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.7 69.1%
11-9 6.8% 46.5% 4.2% 42.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 3.6 44.2%
10-10 8.0% 26.6% 2.5% 24.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 24.7%
9-11 9.0% 7.7% 1.3% 6.4% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.3 6.4%
8-12 9.6% 1.9% 0.6% 1.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.4 1.3%
7-13 9.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5 0.3%
6-14 9.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.8
5-15 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 8.9
4-16 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 7.5
3-17 5.9% 5.9
2-18 4.0% 4.0
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 21.6% 2.9% 18.7% 8.0 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.7 2.8 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.4 19.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Lose Out 0.0%