Preseason Rankings
Grambling St.
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.5#312
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace72.4#98
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#332
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#255
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.6% 17.9% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 33.9% 67.9% 30.0%
.500 or above in Conference 70.2% 88.5% 68.0%
Conference Champion 8.7% 19.3% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.1% 1.2%
First Four6.1% 8.8% 5.8%
First Round5.5% 13.9% 4.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 41 - 9
Quad 412 - 813 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 142   @ Grand Canyon L 62-75 10%    
  Nov 12, 2021 21   @ Texas Tech L 55-80 1%    
  Nov 15, 2021 240   @ New Mexico L 67-74 27%    
  Nov 21, 2021 127   @ Iowa St. L 67-81 11%    
  Nov 28, 2021 256   Morgan St. L 75-78 39%    
  Nov 29, 2021 291   Norfolk St. L 70-71 45%    
  Dec 04, 2021 25   @ Connecticut L 56-81 2%    
  Dec 11, 2021 345   @ Incarnate Word W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 14, 2021 74   @ UAB L 61-80 6%    
  Dec 18, 2021 136   @ Tulane L 63-77 13%    
  Dec 21, 2021 80   @ TCU L 62-80 7%    
  Jan 03, 2022 232   Prairie View L 70-72 45%    
  Jan 05, 2022 211   Texas Southern L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 08, 2022 350   @ Bethune-Cookman W 74-69 65%    
  Jan 10, 2022 304   @ Florida A&M L 68-72 39%    
  Jan 15, 2022 317   Southern W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 22, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 85-66 93%    
  Jan 24, 2022 355   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 76-61 88%    
  Jan 29, 2022 262   @ Jackson St. L 65-71 32%    
  Jan 31, 2022 347   @ Alcorn St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 05, 2022 351   Alabama St. W 77-66 81%    
  Feb 07, 2022 340   Alabama A&M W 70-63 71%    
  Feb 12, 2022 211   @ Texas Southern L 71-80 24%    
  Feb 14, 2022 232   @ Prairie View L 67-75 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 317   @ Southern L 72-75 42%    
  Feb 26, 2022 304   Florida A&M W 71-69 57%    
  Feb 28, 2022 350   Bethune-Cookman W 77-66 81%    
  Mar 03, 2022 340   @ Alabama A&M W 67-66 53%    
  Mar 05, 2022 351   @ Alabama St. W 74-69 65%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.5 1.3 0.3 8.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.1 4.7 1.6 0.2 12.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.9 4.5 1.3 0.1 12.7 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 4.9 4.4 1.1 0.0 12.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 4.0 0.9 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 3.2 0.8 0.0 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.7 7.4 9.2 10.6 11.5 11.6 10.7 9.3 7.0 4.9 2.9 1.3 0.3 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 99.0% 1.3    1.2 0.1
16-2 87.0% 2.5    1.9 0.7 0.0
15-3 53.7% 2.6    1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 21.5% 1.5    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 3.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.7% 8.7 5.0 2.8 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 57.2% 57.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
17-1 1.3% 50.8% 50.8% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6
16-2 2.9% 38.1% 38.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.8
15-3 4.9% 29.6% 29.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5
14-4 7.0% 20.3% 20.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 5.6
13-5 9.3% 14.3% 14.3% 16.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 7.9
12-6 10.7% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0 9.7
11-7 11.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.6 10.9
10-8 11.5% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.1
9-9 10.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.2 10.3
8-10 9.2% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 9.1
7-11 7.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.4
6-12 5.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.7
5-13 3.6% 3.6
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.6% 8.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 7.4 91.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%