IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Hartford
America East
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-2.6	#213
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	67.0	#238
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.0	#264

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.3	#166

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	11.3%	16.4%	7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	14.2	15.1

.500 or above	60.2%	77.9%	46.9%
.500 or above in Conference	68.8%	80.7%	59.9%
Conference Champion	12.7%	18.9%	8.0%
Last Place in Conference	4.5%	1.8%	6.5%

First Four	1.9%	1.7%	2.1%
First Round	10.4%	15.6%	6.5%
Second Round	0.8%	1.5%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	0.4%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Wagner (Away) - 42.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	3 - 6	3 - 9
Quad 4	14 - 6	18 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	228	@ Wagner	L	66-68	43%
Nov 12, 2021	200	Campbell	L	65-66	47%
Nov 13, 2021	257	Army	W	70-67	59%
Nov 18, 2021	197	Boston University	W	68-66	57%
Nov 23, 2021	234	@ Merrimack	L	63-65	44%
Nov 29, 2021	182	@ Appalachian St.	L	62-67	34%
Dec 01, 2021	143	@ Winthrop	L	71-78	27%
Dec 05, 2021	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	77-73	62%
Dec 11, 2021	145	@ UNLV	L	64-71	27%
Dec 14, 2021	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	74-67	71%
Dec 18, 2021	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	76-68	75%
Dec 22, 2021	288	@ Sacred Heart	W	69-68	54%
Dec 28, 2021	290	@ Cornell	W	70-69	54%
Jan 02, 2022	188	Stony Brook	W	67-65	55%
Jan 05, 2022	337	@ Maine	W	65-59	69%
Jan 08, 2022	116	Vermont	L	65-68	39%
Jan 12, 2022	327	@ Binghamton	W	70-66	63%
Jan 15, 2022	258	@ Umass Lowell	L	71-72	49%
Jan 19, 2022	241	New Hampshire	W	69-64	65%
Jan 22, 2022	116	@ Vermont	L	62-71	22%
Jan 26, 2022	327	Binghamton	W	73-63	79%
Jan 29, 2022	258	Umass Lowell	W	74-68	67%
Feb 02, 2022	241	@ New Hampshire	L	66-67	47%
Feb 05, 2022	244	Albany	W	71-66	65%
Feb 09, 2022	229	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	67-69	43%
Feb 12, 2022	293	@ NJIT	W	68-67	54%
Feb 16, 2022	337	Maine	W	68-56	83%
Feb 19, 2022	188	@ Stony Brook	L	64-68	36%
Feb 23, 2022	229	Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	70-66	62%
Feb 26, 2022	293	NJIT	W	71-64	72%
Mar 01, 2022	244	@ Albany	L	68-69	47%
Projected Record						17 - 14	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.3	2.7	3.4	3.1	1.5	0.5		12.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.1	0.9	3.3	5.1	4.0	1.6	0.3				15.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.6	4.5	5.1	2.6	0.6	0.0					14.7	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.0	5.0	4.6	1.6	0.2	0.0						13.7	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	2.1	4.6	3.6	1.0	0.1								11.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.4	2.2	4.2	2.7	0.6	0.0									10.1	6th
7th					0.0	0.5	2.0	3.5	2.0	0.3	0.0										8.3	7th
8th				0.1	0.6	1.9	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0											6.4	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.9	1.5	1.5	0.6	0.1	0.0												4.7	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0														2.6	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.8	1.7	2.7	4.1	5.5	7.3	8.7	9.8	10.8	10.9	10.3	9.3	7.3	5.1	3.4	1.5	0.5			Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	100.0%	1.5		1.4	0.1
16-2	90.3%	3.1		2.5	0.5	0.0
15-3	67.3%	3.4		2.3	1.0	0.1	0.0
14-4	36.5%	2.7		1.3	1.1	0.3	0.0
13-5	14.3%	1.3		0.3	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.8%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.2%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	12.7%	12.7		8.3	3.4	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		70.4%	63.0%	7.4%	10.7			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1		20.0%
17-1	1.5%		56.0%	53.8%	2.2%	12.9					0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.7		4.7%
16-2	3.4%		41.7%	41.3%	0.3%	13.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.0		0.6%
15-3	5.1%		31.8%	31.8%		14.2												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.1	3.4
14-4	7.3%		25.8%	25.8%	0.0%	14.6													0.0	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.3	5.4		0.0%
13-5	9.3%		17.9%	17.9%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	0.6	7.6
12-6	10.3%		13.0%	13.0%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	9.0
11-7	10.9%		8.1%	8.1%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	10.0
10-8	10.8%		6.1%	6.1%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.5	10.2
9-9	9.8%		3.6%	3.6%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.3	9.4
8-10	8.7%		2.3%	2.3%		16.0																0.0	0.2	8.5
7-11	7.3%		1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.0	0.1	7.2
6-12	5.5%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.0	5.5
5-13	4.1%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.1
4-14	2.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
3-15	1.7%																							1.7
2-16	0.8%																							0.8
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		11.3%	11.2%	0.1%	14.6			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	1.5	2.3	3.2	3.5	88.7		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	5.7		8.4	4.5	20.8	27.3	13.6	13.0				3.9	4.5	3.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	59.6%	10.3								14.9			44.7
Lose Out	0.0%