Preseason Rankings
IUPUI
Horizon
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.4#333
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace76.6#37
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#321
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-6.3#338
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 2.3% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.5 15.6
.500 or above 9.6% 44.9% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 11.8% 40.0% 11.4%
Conference Champion 0.4% 3.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 38.3% 11.4% 38.7%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Butler (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 81 - 11
Quad 48 - 109 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 64   @ Butler L 60-83 1%    
  Nov 11, 2021 198   @ Evansville L 63-76 13%    
  Nov 15, 2021 344   Denver W 81-79 56%    
  Nov 16, 2021 342   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 78-76 55%    
  Nov 17, 2021 207   @ Texas San Antonio L 76-88 14%    
  Dec 02, 2021 212   Detroit Mercy L 76-82 32%    
  Dec 04, 2021 221   Oakland L 78-83 34%    
  Dec 10, 2021 289   @ Tennessee St. L 76-83 28%    
  Dec 16, 2021 357   Chicago St. W 85-71 86%    
  Dec 21, 2021 158   Morehead St. L 68-77 23%    
  Dec 30, 2021 151   Cleveland St. L 70-79 22%    
  Jan 01, 2022 247   Purdue Fort Wayne L 78-82 39%    
  Jan 06, 2022 166   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-81 12%    
  Jan 08, 2022 115   @ Wright St. L 71-89 7%    
  Jan 10, 2022 253   Illinois-Chicago L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 13, 2022 316   @ Green Bay L 73-79 32%    
  Jan 15, 2022 205   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-85 16%    
  Jan 20, 2022 115   Wright St. L 74-86 17%    
  Jan 22, 2022 166   Northern Kentucky L 69-78 25%    
  Jan 27, 2022 221   @ Oakland L 75-86 19%    
  Jan 29, 2022 212   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-85 18%    
  Feb 03, 2022 281   Youngstown St. L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 05, 2022 282   Robert Morris L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 10, 2022 247   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 75-85 23%    
  Feb 12, 2022 151   @ Cleveland St. L 67-82 11%    
  Feb 14, 2022 253   @ Illinois-Chicago L 71-80 23%    
  Feb 17, 2022 282   @ Robert Morris L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 19, 2022 281   @ Youngstown St. L 73-81 27%    
  Feb 24, 2022 205   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 76-82 31%    
  Feb 26, 2022 316   Green Bay W 76-75 51%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-22 1-21 2-20 3-19 4-18 5-17 6-16 7-15 8-14 9-13 10-12 11-11 12-10 13-9 14-8 15-7 16-6 17-5 18-4 19-3 20-2 21-1 22-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.6 2.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.8 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 3.3 4.8 3.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 14.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 3.4 5.6 5.4 3.0 0.9 0.1 19.6 11th
12th 2.7 5.9 7.7 6.7 4.3 1.9 0.5 0.0 29.8 12th
Total 2.7 6.0 8.9 10.2 11.1 11.1 10.2 9.3 7.6 6.1 4.8 3.9 2.7 2.0 1.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
22-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
21-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
20-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
19-3 86.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0
18-4 54.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
17-5 30.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-6 11.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-7 5.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-8 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-9 0.0%
12-10 0.0%
11-11 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
22-0 0.0% 0.0
21-1 0.0% 0.0
20-2 0.0% 40.3% 40.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-3 0.1% 21.3% 21.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
18-4 0.1% 21.0% 21.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-5 0.3% 14.0% 14.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-6 0.5% 9.2% 9.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-7 0.9% 7.2% 7.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-8 1.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.3
13-9 2.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.9
12-10 2.7% 3.1% 3.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6
11-11 3.9% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 3.8
10-12 4.8% 0.8% 0.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-13 6.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.1
8-14 7.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.6
7-15 9.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-16 10.2% 10.2
5-17 11.1% 11.1
4-18 11.1% 11.1
3-19 10.2% 10.2
2-20 8.9% 8.9
1-21 6.0% 6.0
0-22 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%