IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.5	#262
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.6	#159
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.5	#341

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#139

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	16.3%	42.6%	16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	14.8	15.7

.500 or above	45.3%	90.5%	44.9%
.500 or above in Conference	88.8%	98.8%	88.7%
Conference Champion	22.2%	57.3%	21.9%
Last Place in Conference	0.3%	0.0%	0.3%

First Four	10.4%	10.4%	10.4%
First Round	11.4%	37.1%	11.1%
Second Round	0.4%	4.2%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	1.6%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Illinois (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 7
Quad 3	1 - 5	2 - 11
Quad 4	14 - 5	15 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	8	@ Illinois	L	59-84	1%
Nov 12, 2021	93	@ Louisiana Tech	L	62-76	10%
Nov 16, 2021	215	@ California Baptist	L	70-76	30%
Nov 21, 2021	118	@ Marshall	L	68-80	15%
Nov 23, 2021	30	@ Indiana	L	55-76	4%
Nov 27, 2021	171	@ Louisiana	L	68-76	24%
Nov 30, 2021	78	@ Marquette	L	60-76	10%
Dec 04, 2021	223	@ Illinois St.	L	66-71	33%
Dec 12, 2021	127	@ Iowa St.	L	64-75	18%
Dec 14, 2021	107	@ Northern Iowa	L	64-77	14%
Dec 16, 2021	73	@ Drake	L	59-75	10%
Dec 21, 2021	153	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	65-74	23%
Jan 03, 2022	347	Alcorn St.	W	75-63	83%
Jan 08, 2022	351	@ Alabama St.	W	71-63	74%
Jan 10, 2022	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	65-61	63%
Jan 15, 2022	232	Prairie View	W	68-67	54%
Jan 17, 2022	211	Texas Southern	W	72-71	50%
Jan 22, 2022	350	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	72-64	74%
Jan 24, 2022	304	@ Florida A&M	L	66-67	48%
Jan 29, 2022	312	Grambling St.	W	71-65	68%
Jan 31, 2022	317	Southern	W	73-67	69%
Feb 05, 2022	358	@ Mississippi Valley	W	80-64	90%
Feb 07, 2022	355	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	71-59	83%
Feb 12, 2022	304	Florida A&M	W	69-64	67%
Feb 14, 2022	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	75-61	86%
Feb 19, 2022	347	@ Alcorn St.	W	72-66	68%
Feb 26, 2022	211	@ Texas Southern	L	69-75	32%
Feb 28, 2022	232	@ Prairie View	L	65-70	36%
Mar 03, 2022	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	74-56	92%
Mar 05, 2022	358	Mississippi Valley	W	83-61	96%
Projected Record						14 - 16	12 - 6

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.5	2.6	5.7	7.0	4.7	1.6		22.2	1st
2nd												0.1	1.0	4.3	6.8	4.8	1.2	0.0			18.2	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	4.8	6.4	2.8	0.3					15.9	3rd
4th									0.0	0.1	1.4	4.7	5.1	1.8	0.2						13.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	1.2	3.6	3.9	1.2	0.1							10.2	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	1.0	3.1	2.7	0.8	0.0								7.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.1	0.7	2.1	1.9	0.4	0.0									5.3	7th
8th						0.1	0.6	1.4	1.1	0.3	0.0										3.5	8th
9th					0.0	0.3	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0											2.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0												1.1	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													0.5	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0														0.1	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.9	3.0	4.6	6.7	8.3	10.7	12.3	13.1	12.4	10.8	8.1	4.8	1.6			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	1.6		1.6
17-1	99.7%	4.7		4.5	0.3
16-2	85.6%	7.0		5.1	1.8	0.1
15-3	52.8%	5.7		2.7	2.4	0.5	0.0
14-4	21.0%	2.6		0.6	1.2	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	3.6%	0.5		0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	0.5%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	22.2%	22.2		14.6	5.9	1.4	0.2	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	1.6%		62.7%	62.7%		14.7									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.6
17-1	4.8%		48.7%	48.7%		15.3													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	1.3	2.4
16-2	8.1%		38.5%	38.5%		15.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	2.3	5.0
15-3	10.8%		29.3%	29.3%		15.9													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	2.8	7.6
14-4	12.4%		19.8%	19.8%		15.9														0.0	0.0	0.1	2.3	10.0
13-5	13.1%		14.1%	14.1%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.8	11.2
12-6	12.3%		9.5%	9.5%		16.0																0.0	1.2	11.1
11-7	10.7%		5.4%	5.4%		16.0																	0.6	10.1
10-8	8.3%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.3	8.0
9-9	6.7%		3.1%	3.1%		16.0																	0.2	6.5
8-10	4.6%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	4.5
7-11	3.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	3.0
6-12	1.9%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
5-13	1.0%																							1.0
4-14	0.5%																							0.5
3-15	0.2%																							0.2
2-16	0.1%																							0.1
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		16.3%	16.3%	0.0%	15.7									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.7	2.1	13.2	83.7		0.0%