Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#269
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.9#243
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#298
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#235
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 9.9% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.8 14.8
.500 or above 21.7% 63.1% 20.6%
.500 or above in Conference 31.3% 65.9% 30.4%
Conference Champion 2.7% 12.4% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 3.8% 21.5%
First Four0.5% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round2.5% 9.8% 2.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 32 - 72 - 13
Quad 48 - 610 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 36   @ LSU L 64-85 2%    
  Nov 12, 2021 26   @ Auburn L 63-85 3%    
  Nov 22, 2021 338   Northwestern St. W 77-71 70%    
  Nov 24, 2021 93   @ Louisiana Tech L 63-78 11%    
  Nov 28, 2021 62   @ SMU L 63-81 7%    
  Dec 04, 2021 338   Northwestern St. W 78-69 77%    
  Dec 14, 2021 153   @ Stephen F. Austin L 66-76 21%    
  Dec 18, 2021 195   Southern Miss L 67-68 46%    
  Dec 20, 2021 308   @ Lamar L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 30, 2021 190   @ Coastal Carolina L 69-77 26%    
  Jan 01, 2022 182   @ Appalachian St. L 61-69 25%    
  Jan 06, 2022 277   Arkansas Little Rock W 69-66 60%    
  Jan 08, 2022 194   Arkansas St. L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 13, 2022 174   @ Texas St. L 58-67 24%    
  Jan 15, 2022 224   @ Texas Arlington L 66-72 33%    
  Jan 20, 2022 243   Troy W 70-68 55%    
  Jan 22, 2022 214   South Alabama L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 27, 2022 245   Georgia Southern W 67-65 55%    
  Jan 29, 2022 121   Georgia St. L 70-76 32%    
  Feb 03, 2022 194   @ Arkansas St. L 67-74 28%    
  Feb 05, 2022 277   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 10, 2022 224   Texas Arlington W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 12, 2022 174   Texas St. L 61-64 41%    
  Feb 17, 2022 171   Louisiana L 72-75 41%    
  Feb 19, 2022 171   @ Louisiana L 69-78 24%    
  Feb 24, 2022 121   @ Georgia St. L 67-79 18%    
  Feb 26, 2022 245   @ Georgia Southern L 64-68 37%    
Projected Record 10 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.9 1.2 0.1 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.0 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.6 3.4 0.7 0.0 11.9 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 3.6 4.6 2.9 0.7 0.0 13.2 11th
12th 1.1 3.0 4.2 3.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 14.2 12th
Total 1.1 3.1 5.5 7.9 9.3 10.3 11.0 10.7 9.8 8.4 7.0 5.8 4.0 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 94.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.8% 0.8    0.4 0.3 0.1
13-5 15.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 74.4% 74.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 35.5% 31.6% 3.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.7%
16-2 0.5% 38.4% 37.4% 1.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1.6%
15-3 0.9% 25.1% 25.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-4 1.7% 20.6% 20.4% 0.1% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.4 0.2%
13-5 2.7% 14.8% 14.8% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 2.3
12-6 4.0% 10.8% 10.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.6
11-7 5.8% 6.7% 6.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.5
10-8 7.0% 3.5% 3.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.7
9-9 8.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.2
8-10 9.8% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 9.7
7-11 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
6-12 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 10.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.3
4-14 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
3-15 7.9% 7.9
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 97.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%