Preseason Rankings
Maine
America East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.7#337
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace62.9#321
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-10.1#352
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 7.2% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.5 15.7
.500 or above 6.8% 42.3% 6.6%
.500 or above in Conference 14.1% 48.5% 13.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 4.4% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 39.3% 9.7% 39.5%
First Four0.5% 2.8% 0.5%
First Round0.7% 6.0% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Tech (Away) - 0.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 31 - 61 - 11
Quad 46 - 97 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 34   @ Virginia Tech L 49-76 1%    
  Nov 15, 2021 47   @ Colorado L 49-74 1%    
  Nov 23, 2021 346   Central Connecticut St. W 70-65 68%    
  Nov 27, 2021 157   @ Bradley L 55-70 10%    
  Dec 04, 2021 315   @ Columbia L 60-66 30%    
  Dec 11, 2021 261   @ Quinnipiac L 62-71 22%    
  Dec 21, 2021 234   Merrimack L 57-62 35%    
  Dec 29, 2021 50   @ Rutgers L 50-75 2%    
  Jan 02, 2022 293   @ NJIT L 59-67 27%    
  Jan 05, 2022 213   Hartford L 59-65 31%    
  Jan 08, 2022 188   @ Stony Brook L 55-69 14%    
  Jan 12, 2022 241   @ New Hampshire L 57-67 21%    
  Jan 16, 2022 327   Binghamton W 64-63 54%    
  Jan 19, 2022 258   @ Umass Lowell L 62-71 23%    
  Jan 22, 2022 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 61-66 34%    
  Jan 25, 2022 241   New Hampshire L 60-64 37%    
  Jan 29, 2022 116   @ Vermont L 53-72 7%    
  Feb 02, 2022 258   Umass Lowell L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 05, 2022 327   @ Binghamton L 61-66 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 244   @ Albany L 59-69 21%    
  Feb 13, 2022 188   Stony Brook L 58-66 28%    
  Feb 16, 2022 213   @ Hartford L 56-68 17%    
  Feb 20, 2022 293   NJIT L 62-64 45%    
  Feb 23, 2022 244   Albany L 62-66 37%    
  Feb 26, 2022 229   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 58-69 19%    
  Mar 01, 2022 116   Vermont L 56-69 17%    
Projected Record 7 - 19 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.2 1.1 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 2.7 3.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.3 1.5 0.1 0.0 11.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.7 5.6 4.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 15.1 8th
9th 0.3 2.1 5.6 7.1 4.7 1.4 0.1 21.3 9th
10th 3.9 7.5 8.6 6.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 29.8 10th
Total 3.9 7.8 10.8 12.3 12.7 12.2 10.6 9.0 6.7 5.0 3.6 2.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 90.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 75.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 44.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 66.7% 66.7% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 22.6% 22.6% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 34.2% 34.2% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.2% 16.6% 16.6% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.4% 13.8% 13.8% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.9% 13.0% 13.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8
12-6 1.5% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4
11-7 2.3% 5.8% 5.8% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.1
10-8 3.6% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.5
9-9 5.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.9
8-10 6.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 6.6
7-11 9.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.9
6-12 10.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.5
5-13 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
4-14 12.7% 12.7
3-15 12.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.3
2-16 10.8% 10.8
1-17 7.8% 7.8
0-18 3.9% 3.9
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.7%