IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Merrimack
Northeast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-3.9	#234
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	64.3	#300
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#316

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.0	#140

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	n/a	n/a	n/a

.500 or above	56.4%	72.6%	39.5%
.500 or above in Conference	72.1%	82.1%	61.8%
Conference Champion	18.6%	25.6%	11.3%
Last Place in Conference	3.7%	1.7%	5.8%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Away) - 51.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	13 - 7	15 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 11, 2021	293	@ NJIT	W	66-65	51%
Nov 13, 2021	50	@ Rutgers	L	56-73	6%
Nov 17, 2021	257	@ Army	L	65-67	45%
Nov 19, 2021	297	Lehigh	W	71-65	71%
Nov 21, 2021	34	@ Virginia Tech	L	55-74	6%
Nov 23, 2021	213	Hartford	W	65-63	56%
Nov 28, 2021	197	@ Boston University	L	62-67	33%
Dec 04, 2021	258	Umass Lowell	W	70-66	64%
Dec 07, 2021	237	Brown	W	66-63	60%
Dec 09, 2021	1	@ Gonzaga	L	61-89	1%
Dec 12, 2021	30	@ Indiana	L	54-73	6%
Dec 21, 2021	337	@ Maine	W	62-57	65%
Dec 29, 2021	320	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	76-68	75%
Dec 31, 2021	254	LIU Brooklyn	W	73-69	64%
Jan 06, 2022	323	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	W	73-70	59%
Jan 08, 2022	346	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	73-66	72%
Jan 15, 2022	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	71-65	67%
Jan 17, 2022	242	Mount St. Mary's	W	61-57	61%
Jan 21, 2022	206	Bryant	W	75-74	54%
Jan 23, 2022	228	Wagner	W	66-63	59%
Jan 27, 2022	206	@ Bryant	L	72-77	36%
Jan 29, 2022	288	@ Sacred Heart	W	67-66	50%
Feb 03, 2022	242	@ Mount St. Mary's	L	58-60	43%
Feb 05, 2022	283	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	67-68	49%
Feb 10, 2022	346	Central Connecticut St.	W	76-63	85%
Feb 12, 2022	228	@ Wagner	L	63-66	40%
Feb 17, 2022	323	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	76-67	76%
Feb 19, 2022	288	Sacred Heart	W	69-63	68%
Feb 24, 2022	254	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	70-72	45%
Feb 26, 2022	320	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	W	73-71	57%
Projected Record						15 - 15	11 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.5	2.0	4.1	4.8	4.2	2.3	0.7		18.6	1st
2nd											0.1	1.2	3.5	5.4	3.9	1.4	0.2				15.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.6	4.5	4.7	2.3	0.4	0.0					13.6	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	1.7	4.8	4.0	1.4	0.1							12.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.2	1.8	4.3	3.4	0.9	0.1								10.6	5th
6th						0.0	0.3	1.9	3.8	2.7	0.6	0.0									9.2	6th
7th					0.0	0.3	1.8	3.2	2.1	0.4	0.0										7.8	7th
8th				0.0	0.4	1.6	2.3	1.4	0.2												5.9	8th
9th		0.0	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.3	0.7	0.1	0.0												4.2	9th
10th	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0													2.2	10th

Total	0.1	0.3	0.6	1.3	2.3	3.4	5.1	6.7	8.1	9.1	10.5	10.5	10.2	9.7	8.4	6.3	4.4	2.3	0.7			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.7		0.7
17-1	100.0%	2.3		2.2	0.0
16-2	95.2%	4.2		3.7	0.5	0.0
15-3	76.6%	4.8		3.4	1.3	0.1
14-4	48.6%	4.1		2.0	1.7	0.3	0.0
13-5	20.2%	2.0		0.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	5.1%	0.5		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	18.6%	18.6		12.8	4.6	1.0	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.7%																							0.7
17-1	2.3%																							2.3
16-2	4.4%																							4.4
15-3	6.3%																							6.3
14-4	8.4%																							8.4
13-5	9.7%																							9.7
12-6	10.2%																							10.2
11-7	10.5%																							10.5
10-8	10.5%																							10.5
9-9	9.1%																							9.1
8-10	8.1%																							8.1
7-11	6.7%																							6.7
6-12	5.1%																							5.1
5-13	3.4%																							3.4
4-14	2.3%																							2.3
3-15	1.3%																							1.3
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.3%																							0.3
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0																		100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%