Preseason Rankings
NC Central
Mid-Eastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.5#339
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.1#282
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#344
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#315
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 26.4% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 26.6% 74.9% 26.1%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 88.9% 61.8%
Conference Champion 10.5% 36.2% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 0.4% 6.6%
First Four8.3% 17.8% 8.2%
First Round4.0% 15.4% 3.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 1.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 410 - 1010 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 57   @ Richmond L 57-82 1%    
  Nov 13, 2021 11   @ Memphis L 55-86 0.3%   
  Nov 16, 2021 39   @ Iowa L 59-86 1%    
  Nov 20, 2021 351   @ Alabama St. W 68-67 53%    
  Nov 29, 2021 225   @ Gardner-Webb L 62-74 15%    
  Dec 01, 2021 343   @ South Carolina Upstate L 68-70 42%    
  Dec 04, 2021 252   @ UNC Asheville L 66-76 19%    
  Dec 06, 2021 272   @ The Citadel L 72-82 22%    
  Dec 15, 2021 225   Gardner-Webb L 65-71 31%    
  Dec 18, 2021 329   Hampton L 71-73 44%    
  Dec 21, 2021 163   @ UTEP L 59-75 10%    
  Jan 08, 2022 256   Morgan St. L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 10, 2022 336   Coppin St. W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 15, 2022 352   @ South Carolina St. W 74-71 59%    
  Jan 22, 2022 354   @ Delaware St. W 78-74 62%    
  Jan 24, 2022 356   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-62 68%    
  Jan 29, 2022 332   Howard W 76-74 55%    
  Jan 31, 2022 291   Norfolk St. L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 12, 2022 256   @ Morgan St. L 68-78 21%    
  Feb 14, 2022 336   @ Coppin St. L 74-78 38%    
  Feb 19, 2022 354   Delaware St. W 81-71 78%    
  Feb 21, 2022 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 71-59 82%    
  Feb 26, 2022 332   @ Howard L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 28, 2022 291   @ Norfolk St. L 63-72 25%    
  Mar 03, 2022 352   South Carolina St. W 77-68 76%    
Projected Record 10 - 15 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.2 3.4 1.8 0.5 10.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.5 5.7 3.6 0.7 14.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 6.0 6.8 2.5 0.2 17.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.9 7.4 5.9 1.5 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.8 7.2 4.3 0.6 0.0 16.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 3.9 5.0 2.0 0.2 12.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 3.0 2.7 0.8 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 8th
Total 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.7 7.4 9.9 12.3 13.7 13.4 12.0 9.6 6.9 4.1 1.8 0.5 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
13-1 100.0% 1.8    1.7 0.2
12-2 82.0% 3.4    2.3 1.1 0.0
11-3 45.5% 3.2    1.3 1.5 0.4 0.0
10-4 14.2% 1.4    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1
9-5 1.6% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 6.0 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.5% 63.9% 63.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2
13-1 1.8% 43.7% 43.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0
12-2 4.1% 37.6% 37.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.5 2.6
11-3 6.9% 26.6% 26.6% 16.0 0.0 1.8 5.1
10-4 9.6% 18.8% 18.8% 16.0 0.0 1.8 7.8
9-5 12.0% 10.2% 10.2% 16.0 0.0 1.2 10.8
8-6 13.4% 5.5% 5.5% 16.0 0.7 12.6
7-7 13.7% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.5 13.1
6-8 12.3% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 12.1
5-9 9.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 9.9
4-10 7.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.4
3-11 4.7% 4.7
2-12 2.4% 2.4
1-13 1.0% 1.0
0-14 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.8 90.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%