Preseason Rankings
Presbyterian
Big South
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.0#319
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#311
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#324
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.8#292
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.8% 10.1% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 14.7 15.6
.500 or above 17.9% 58.9% 17.1%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 73.4% 38.3%
Conference Champion 3.1% 12.5% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 2.1% 14.0%
First Four1.3% 1.9% 1.3%
First Round2.2% 9.4% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 61 - 10
Quad 49 - 910 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 55   @ Clemson L 52-73 2%    
  Nov 12, 2021 218   VMI L 71-74 38%    
  Nov 15, 2021 272   The Citadel W 77-76 50%    
  Nov 18, 2021 90   @ Cincinnati L 61-79 6%    
  Nov 24, 2021 218   VMI L 69-75 30%    
  Nov 25, 2021 298   @ New Orleans L 72-77 35%    
  Nov 26, 2021 334   Central Arkansas W 73-71 58%    
  Nov 30, 2021 23   @ Tennessee L 54-79 2%    
  Dec 06, 2021 158   @ Morehead St. L 59-72 15%    
  Dec 12, 2021 235   @ College of Charleston L 61-69 26%    
  Dec 18, 2021 139   Wofford L 62-70 26%    
  Dec 21, 2021 109   @ Furman L 60-76 9%    
  Jan 05, 2022 286   @ N.C. A&T L 68-73 34%    
  Jan 08, 2022 343   South Carolina Upstate W 72-65 71%    
  Jan 12, 2022 225   @ Gardner-Webb L 63-72 24%    
  Jan 15, 2022 329   @ Hampton L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 19, 2022 143   Winthrop L 69-77 27%    
  Jan 22, 2022 249   Longwood L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 26, 2022 335   @ Charleston Southern L 69-70 48%    
  Jan 29, 2022 252   UNC Asheville L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 200   Campbell L 63-67 37%    
  Feb 05, 2022 264   @ Radford L 61-67 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 299   High Point W 67-66 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 143   @ Winthrop L 66-80 14%    
  Feb 16, 2022 343   @ South Carolina Upstate W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 19, 2022 225   Gardner-Webb L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 23, 2022 335   Charleston Southern W 72-67 67%    
  Feb 26, 2022 252   @ UNC Asheville L 67-74 30%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.1 2.5 0.9 0.1 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.1 1.0 0.1 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.9 1.4 0.1 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 1.8 0.1 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 2.2 5.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.4 3.3 0.4 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 4.8 3.6 0.6 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.5 0.7 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.3 1.9 4.0 3.1 0.7 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.8 2.3 3.0 1.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 12th
Total 0.8 2.6 5.1 7.5 10.0 11.1 12.2 11.8 11.0 8.9 7.2 5.2 3.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
14-2 84.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
13-3 51.0% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-4 19.2% 0.6    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
11-5 3.1% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 37.2% 37.2% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.4% 38.2% 38.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
14-2 1.0% 24.7% 24.7% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8
13-3 2.0% 21.1% 21.1% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.6
12-4 3.3% 13.6% 13.6% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.8
11-5 5.2% 9.0% 9.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 4.7
10-6 7.2% 4.9% 4.9% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 6.8
9-7 8.9% 3.8% 3.8% 15.9 0.0 0.3 8.6
8-8 11.0% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.2 10.8
7-9 11.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.7
6-10 12.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.2
5-11 11.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 11.1
4-12 10.0% 10.0
3-13 7.5% 7.5
2-14 5.1% 5.1
1-15 2.6% 2.6
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 2.8% 2.8% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 97.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.4%