Preseason Rankings
South Carolina St.
Mid-Eastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-18.5#352
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.0#32
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-8.9#349
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-9.5#353
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% 6.5% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 4.1% 24.2% 3.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.2% 56.1% 23.3%
Conference Champion 1.9% 7.7% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 8.6% 27.4%
First Four1.7% 6.0% 1.6%
First Round0.6% 3.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: East Carolina (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 40 - 7
Quad 47 - 157 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 183   @ East Carolina L 64-85 3%    
  Nov 11, 2021 235   @ College of Charleston L 63-81 5%    
  Nov 12, 2021 276   Loyola Maryland L 69-81 13%    
  Nov 13, 2021 226   Lipscomb L 67-82 10%    
  Nov 16, 2021 133   @ Georgia L 71-95 2%    
  Nov 23, 2021 343   South Carolina Upstate L 75-77 42%    
  Nov 28, 2021 272   The Citadel L 81-90 21%    
  Dec 03, 2021 177   @ South Florida L 62-83 4%    
  Dec 10, 2021 299   High Point L 68-79 18%    
  Dec 14, 2021 10   @ Duke L 59-96 0.1%   
  Dec 18, 2021 289   Tennessee St. L 75-84 25%    
  Dec 20, 2021 272   @ The Citadel L 78-93 11%    
  Dec 21, 2021 335   Charleston Southern L 74-81 28%    
  Dec 29, 2021 104   @ South Carolina L 70-96 2%    
  Jan 08, 2022 336   Coppin St. L 83-87 38%    
  Jan 10, 2022 256   Morgan St. L 76-86 21%    
  Jan 15, 2022 339   NC Central L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 356   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 24, 2022 354   @ Delaware St. L 83-85 43%    
  Jan 29, 2022 291   Norfolk St. L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 31, 2022 332   Howard L 81-85 36%    
  Feb 12, 2022 336   @ Coppin St. L 80-90 22%    
  Feb 14, 2022 256   @ Morgan St. L 73-89 10%    
  Feb 19, 2022 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-69 67%    
  Feb 21, 2022 354   Delaware St. W 86-82 62%    
  Feb 26, 2022 291   @ Norfolk St. L 67-81 13%    
  Feb 28, 2022 332   @ Howard L 78-88 21%    
  Mar 03, 2022 339   @ NC Central L 68-77 24%    
Projected Record 7 - 21 5 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.8 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.9 6.7 2.9 0.4 0.0 15.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.6 8.0 7.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 20.9 6th
7th 0.7 5.3 8.7 5.8 1.6 0.1 22.2 7th
8th 2.7 6.2 5.9 2.5 0.4 0.0 17.7 8th
Total 2.7 6.9 11.3 13.8 15.0 14.3 11.8 9.2 6.6 4.1 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
12-2 86.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
11-3 50.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.0
10-4 20.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 2.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 46.9% 46.9% 16.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.2% 39.7% 39.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-2 0.6% 27.0% 27.0% 16.0 0.2 0.4
11-3 1.2% 20.7% 20.7% 16.0 0.3 1.0
10-4 2.3% 13.0% 13.0% 16.0 0.3 2.0
9-5 4.1% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.3 3.8
8-6 6.6% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.3 6.3
7-7 9.2% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.2 9.0
6-8 11.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 11.7
5-9 14.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 14.2
4-10 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
3-11 13.8% 13.8
2-12 11.3% 11.3
1-13 6.9% 6.9
0-14 2.7% 2.7
Total 100% 1.7% 1.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.7 98.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.6%