IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-13.1	#343
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.2	#146
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.8	#343

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.2	#336

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.7%	4.5%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.7	15.2	15.8

.500 or above	5.9%	32.3%	5.3%
.500 or above in Conference	16.7%	46.2%	16.0%
Conference Champion	0.7%	3.1%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	33.3%	11.3%	33.8%

First Four	0.4%	1.6%	0.4%
First Round	0.5%	3.7%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	6 - 10	7 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	104	@ South Carolina	L	68-89	2%
Nov 12, 2021	178	@ Charlotte	L	57-73	8%
Nov 18, 2021	141	@ East Tennessee St.	L	60-78	6%
Nov 23, 2021	352	@ South Carolina St.	W	77-75	58%
Nov 27, 2021	109	Furman	L	65-80	11%
Dec 01, 2021	339	NC Central	W	70-68	58%
Dec 04, 2021	309	Western Carolina	L	75-77	44%
Dec 11, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	61-82	4%
Dec 14, 2021	23	@ Tennessee	L	56-85	1%
Dec 21, 2021	91	@ Ohio	L	63-85	4%
Jan 05, 2022	264	Radford	L	64-69	36%
Jan 08, 2022	319	@ Presbyterian	L	65-72	29%
Jan 12, 2022	299	High Point	L	68-71	42%
Jan 15, 2022	252	@ UNC Asheville	L	69-80	19%
Jan 19, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	65-78	16%
Jan 22, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	74-73	54%
Jan 26, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	72-84	17%
Jan 29, 2022	286	@ N.C. A&T	L	70-79	23%
Feb 02, 2022	329	@ Hampton	L	73-78	34%
Feb 05, 2022	200	Campbell	L	64-72	26%
Feb 09, 2022	249	@ Longwood	L	62-73	19%
Feb 12, 2022	252	UNC Asheville	L	72-77	35%
Feb 16, 2022	319	Presbyterian	L	68-69	47%
Feb 19, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	L	71-76	36%
Feb 23, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	69-87	8%
Feb 26, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	L	68-75	30%
Projected Record						7 - 19	5 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd										0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0				1.4	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.3	0.9	0.8	0.2	0.0					2.2	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.2	1.2	0.3	0.0						3.1	4th
5th							0.0	0.3	1.7	1.8	0.5	0.0							4.3	5th
6th						0.0	0.2	1.7	2.8	0.8	0.1	0.0							5.7	6th
7th					0.0	0.2	1.9	3.7	1.3	0.1									7.3	7th
8th					0.2	1.9	4.6	2.3	0.2	0.0									9.1	8th
9th				0.2	2.1	5.3	3.3	0.4	0.0										11.3	9th
10th			0.3	2.8	6.0	4.3	0.7	0.0											14.2	10th
11th		0.9	4.3	7.3	4.4	0.9	0.0												17.8	11th
12th	3.9	7.7	7.2	3.5	0.8	0.0													23.1	12th

Total	3.9	8.6	11.8	13.8	13.4	12.5	10.8	8.5	6.3	4.3	2.9	1.7	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
15-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-2	82.6%	0.1		0.1	0.0
13-3	49.6%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
12-4	23.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-5	3.3%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
15-1	0.0%		44.9%	44.9%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
14-2	0.2%		22.8%	22.8%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
13-3	0.4%		17.0%	17.0%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4
12-4	1.0%		8.9%	8.9%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	0.9
11-5	1.7%		7.5%	7.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.6
10-6	2.9%		4.5%	4.5%		15.9																0.0	0.1	2.7
9-7	4.3%		2.7%	2.7%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.1
8-8	6.3%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																0.0	0.1	6.2
7-9	8.5%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
6-10	10.8%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	10.8
5-11	12.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.5
4-12	13.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.4
3-13	13.8%																							13.8
2-14	11.8%																							11.8
1-15	8.6%																							8.6
0-16	3.9%																							3.9

Total	100%		0.7%	0.7%	0.0%	15.7												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.6	99.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.5%