IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#317
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	74.2	#71
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.4	#325

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.4	#279

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.0%	26.2%	7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.8	15.4	15.8

.500 or above	25.8%	75.1%	25.2%
.500 or above in Conference	68.3%	95.1%	68.0%
Conference Champion	8.0%	29.6%	7.8%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.2%	1.3%

First Four	5.8%	10.9%	5.7%
First Round	5.0%	21.9%	4.8%
Second Round	0.1%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	1 - 5	1 - 11
Quad 4	12 - 8	13 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	27	@ Louisville	L	59-83	1%
Nov 11, 2021	153	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	68-81	12%
Nov 13, 2021	136	@ Tulane	L	64-78	11%
Nov 16, 2021	173	@ Rice	L	72-84	16%
Nov 19, 2021	186	@ South Dakota	L	71-82	18%
Nov 21, 2021	75	@ Nebraska	L	68-87	5%
Nov 28, 2021	289	@ Tennessee St.	L	74-79	34%
Dec 04, 2021	128	@ Akron	L	66-81	11%
Dec 07, 2021	14	@ Kentucky	L	61-88	2%
Dec 11, 2021	325	SE Louisiana	W	77-73	63%
Dec 19, 2021	132	@ Kent St.	L	69-83	12%
Dec 21, 2021	87	@ Dayton	L	61-79	7%
Jan 03, 2022	211	Texas Southern	L	76-79	40%
Jan 05, 2022	232	Prairie View	L	71-73	44%
Jan 08, 2022	304	@ Florida A&M	L	69-73	38%
Jan 10, 2022	350	@ Bethune-Cookman	W	75-70	64%
Jan 15, 2022	312	@ Grambling St.	L	72-75	40%
Jan 22, 2022	355	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	78-63	88%
Jan 24, 2022	358	Mississippi Valley	W	87-68	93%
Jan 29, 2022	347	@ Alcorn St.	W	76-73	58%
Jan 31, 2022	262	@ Jackson St.	L	67-73	31%
Feb 05, 2022	340	Alabama A&M	W	72-65	70%
Feb 07, 2022	351	Alabama St.	W	78-67	80%
Feb 12, 2022	232	@ Prairie View	L	68-76	27%
Feb 14, 2022	211	@ Texas Southern	L	73-82	23%
Feb 19, 2022	312	Grambling St.	W	75-72	58%
Feb 26, 2022	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	78-67	80%
Feb 28, 2022	304	Florida A&M	W	72-70	57%
Mar 03, 2022	351	@ Alabama St.	W	75-70	64%
Mar 05, 2022	340	@ Alabama A&M	W	69-68	52%
Projected Record						12 - 18	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.4	1.5	2.5	2.1	1.2	0.3		8.0	1st
2nd												0.1	0.8	2.9	3.7	2.0	0.3	0.0			9.8	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.3	4.1	4.4	1.4	0.1					11.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	1.6	4.8	4.3	1.2	0.1						12.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	1.9	5.2	4.3	1.1	0.1							12.8	5th
6th							0.0	0.2	2.1	5.0	3.9	0.9	0.0								12.1	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	2.1	4.6	3.2	0.8	0.0									11.0	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	1.9	3.7	2.4	0.6	0.0										9.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	1.7	2.7	1.6	0.4	0.0											6.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.4	1.2	1.6	0.9	0.2	0.0												4.3	10th
11th		0.1	0.3	0.7	0.8	0.3	0.0	0.0													2.2	11th
12th	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0														0.6	12th

Total	0.0	0.2	0.6	1.2	2.4	3.9	5.8	7.8	9.7	10.9	11.6	11.4	10.3	8.9	6.7	4.6	2.4	1.2	0.3			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.3		0.3
17-1	99.4%	1.2		1.1	0.1
16-2	86.8%	2.1		1.5	0.6	0.0
15-3	54.7%	2.5		1.2	1.1	0.2	0.0
14-4	22.1%	1.5		0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0
13-5	4.0%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0								0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	8.0%	8.0		4.5	2.6	0.8	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.3%		61.9%	61.9%		14.6												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1
17-1	1.2%		46.1%	46.1%		15.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.6
16-2	2.4%		36.1%	36.1%		15.6													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.6
15-3	4.6%		27.2%	27.2%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	1.1	3.4
14-4	6.7%		21.2%	21.2%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.3	5.3
13-5	8.9%		13.8%	13.8%		16.0															0.0	0.0	1.2	7.7
12-6	10.3%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																0.0	0.9	9.4
11-7	11.4%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																	0.6	10.7
10-8	11.6%		4.1%	4.1%		16.0																	0.5	11.1
9-9	10.9%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																	0.3	10.6
8-10	9.7%		0.9%	0.9%		16.0																	0.1	9.6
7-11	7.8%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.8
6-12	5.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
5-13	3.9%																							3.9
4-14	2.4%																							2.4
3-15	1.2%																							1.2
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		8.0%	8.0%	0.0%	15.8												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.7	6.9	92.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%