Preseason Rankings
Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.5#44
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#150
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#21
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#75
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
#1 Seed 2.1% 2.1% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 5.2% 5.4% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 13.0% 13.3% 1.3%
Top 6 Seed 22.2% 22.7% 2.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 48.1% 49.1% 11.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.7% 45.7% 11.0%
Average Seed 6.8 6.8 8.5
.500 or above 73.5% 74.7% 32.2%
.500 or above in Conference 64.0% 64.9% 31.0%
Conference Champion 7.9% 8.1% 1.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 3.1% 13.2%
First Four4.2% 4.2% 2.1%
First Round45.9% 46.9% 10.7%
Second Round28.2% 28.8% 4.5%
Sweet Sixteen13.0% 13.3% 1.5%
Elite Eight5.9% 6.0% 0.4%
Final Four2.6% 2.6% 0.2%
Championship Game1.1% 1.1% 0.1%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.1%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 97.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 8
Quad 25 - 38 - 11
Quad 35 - 114 - 12
Quad 45 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 292   Lafayette W 87-66 97%    
  Nov 14, 2021 175   Drexel W 78-64 89%    
  Nov 20, 2021 105   Colgate W 84-75 78%    
  Nov 24, 2021 77   Virginia Commonwealth W 75-72 62%    
  Nov 30, 2021 30   Indiana W 72-71 54%    
  Dec 04, 2021 18   @ Florida St. L 72-78 30%    
  Dec 07, 2021 6   Villanova L 68-74 32%    
  Dec 11, 2021 86   @ Georgetown W 76-75 54%    
  Dec 18, 2021 297   Lehigh W 86-65 95%    
  Dec 21, 2021 290   Cornell W 85-64 95%    
  Dec 29, 2021 60   Georgia Tech W 75-70 64%    
  Jan 01, 2022 29   Virginia W 62-61 54%    
  Jan 05, 2022 85   @ Miami (FL) W 75-74 52%    
  Jan 08, 2022 103   @ Wake Forest W 74-71 58%    
  Jan 11, 2022 117   Pittsburgh W 79-69 78%    
  Jan 15, 2022 18   Florida St. L 75-76 49%    
  Jan 18, 2022 55   Clemson W 70-66 64%    
  Jan 22, 2022 10   @ Duke L 71-79 25%    
  Jan 25, 2022 117   @ Pittsburgh W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 29, 2022 103   Wake Forest W 77-68 75%    
  Feb 02, 2022 59   @ North Carolina St. L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 27   Louisville W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 08, 2022 144   @ Boston College W 81-75 67%    
  Feb 12, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 19, 2022 144   Boston College W 84-72 83%    
  Feb 22, 2022 45   @ Notre Dame L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 26, 2022 10   Duke L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 28, 2022 22   @ North Carolina L 76-82 32%    
  Mar 05, 2022 85   Miami (FL) W 78-71 71%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.1 7.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.8 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 8.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.2 2.2 0.7 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.6 2.3 0.5 0.0 8.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 2.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 8.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.7 2.8 0.7 0.1 8.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.2 3.1 0.8 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.5 1.7 0.3 0.0 5.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.0 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 3.6 4.9 6.6 7.6 8.7 9.8 10.0 9.8 9.1 7.9 6.5 4.9 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 99.5% 0.8    0.7 0.1 0.0
18-2 91.3% 1.7    1.3 0.3 0.0
17-3 70.8% 2.4    1.5 0.8 0.1 0.0
16-4 37.0% 1.8    0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 13.7% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.9% 7.9 4.6 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 54.4% 45.6% 1.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.8% 100.0% 47.2% 52.8% 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.9% 100.0% 33.4% 66.6% 2.0 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 3.3% 99.9% 27.8% 72.2% 2.8 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
16-4 4.9% 99.7% 19.0% 80.7% 3.9 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-5 6.5% 98.7% 14.9% 83.8% 5.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.4%
14-6 7.9% 95.6% 10.8% 84.8% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 95.1%
13-7 9.1% 87.3% 6.3% 81.0% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 86.4%
12-8 9.8% 71.1% 4.0% 67.1% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.8 69.9%
11-9 10.0% 48.3% 2.1% 46.3% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 0.7 0.1 5.2 47.2%
10-10 9.8% 26.2% 1.1% 25.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 7.2 25.3%
9-11 8.7% 8.4% 0.4% 8.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.0 8.0%
8-12 7.6% 1.6% 0.3% 1.3% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.5 1.3%
7-13 6.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6 0.3%
6-14 4.9% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 4.9
5-15 3.6% 3.6
4-16 2.3% 2.3
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.6% 0.6
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 48.1% 6.1% 42.0% 6.8 2.1 3.2 3.8 3.9 4.4 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.2 4.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 51.9 44.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 85.6 14.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 89.5 10.5