Preseason Rankings
Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.5#211
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.9#49
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#227
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.4% 28.7% 16.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.9
.500 or above 68.0% 68.8% 37.4%
.500 or above in Conference 95.5% 95.9% 80.2%
Conference Champion 35.9% 36.5% 13.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four15.0% 15.0% 12.7%
First Round22.0% 22.3% 10.1%
Second Round1.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas Pine Bluff (Home) - 97.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 21 - 7
Quad 31 - 22 - 10
Quad 415 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Jan 08, 2021 355   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-62 98%    
  Nov 09, 2021 19   @ Oregon L 67-86 4%    
  Nov 12, 2021 49   @ St. Mary's L 61-76 8%    
  Nov 15, 2021 95   @ Washington L 73-84 17%    
  Nov 17, 2021 306   @ Air Force W 71-68 59%    
  Nov 21, 2021 59   @ North Carolina St. L 67-82 11%    
  Nov 24, 2021 38   @ BYU L 68-85 8%    
  Dec 01, 2021 93   @ Louisiana Tech L 71-82 18%    
  Dec 06, 2021 33   @ Florida L 67-85 8%    
  Dec 14, 2021 310   @ UT Rio Grande Valley W 78-75 60%    
  Dec 18, 2021 90   @ Cincinnati L 71-83 18%    
  Dec 29, 2021 80   @ TCU L 68-80 16%    
  Jan 03, 2022 317   @ Southern W 79-76 60%    
  Jan 05, 2022 312   @ Grambling St. W 77-74 59%    
  Jan 10, 2022 358   Mississippi Valley W 92-67 98%    
  Jan 15, 2022 347   @ Alcorn St. W 81-72 76%    
  Jan 17, 2022 262   @ Jackson St. L 71-72 50%    
  Jan 22, 2022 340   Alabama A&M W 77-64 85%    
  Jan 24, 2022 351   Alabama St. W 83-66 91%    
  Jan 29, 2022 232   @ Prairie View L 74-76 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 304   @ Florida A&M W 75-73 58%    
  Feb 07, 2022 350   @ Bethune-Cookman W 80-69 81%    
  Feb 12, 2022 312   Grambling St. W 80-71 76%    
  Feb 14, 2022 317   Southern W 82-73 77%    
  Feb 21, 2022 355   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 80-65 88%    
  Feb 21, 2022 358   @ Mississippi Valley W 89-70 93%    
  Feb 26, 2022 262   Jackson St. W 75-69 68%    
  Feb 28, 2022 347   Alcorn St. W 84-69 88%    
  Mar 05, 2022 232   Prairie View W 77-73 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.4 7.9 11.0 8.9 4.1 35.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 4.4 8.1 6.1 2.0 0.1 21.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.0 4.1 6.0 3.0 0.4 0.0 14.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 4.3 1.6 0.1 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.5 2.9 1.0 0.1 7.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.0 4.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.3 0.0 2.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.7 5.6 8.0 10.4 12.8 14.6 14.4 12.9 8.9 4.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 4.1    4.1
17-1 99.3% 8.9    8.2 0.6
16-2 84.8% 11.0    8.1 2.7 0.1
15-3 54.7% 7.9    3.8 3.4 0.7 0.0
14-4 23.4% 3.4    0.9 1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 35.9% 35.9 25.3 8.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 4.1% 68.5% 68.3% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 1.3 0.5%
17-1 8.9% 57.0% 57.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.3 3.8 0.1%
16-2 12.9% 47.6% 47.6% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 4.1 6.8
15-3 14.4% 36.4% 36.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 4.4 9.2
14-4 14.6% 27.3% 27.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.7 10.6
13-5 12.8% 19.1% 19.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4 10.3
12-6 10.4% 12.8% 12.8% 16.0 0.0 1.3 9.1
11-7 8.0% 9.6% 9.6% 16.0 0.8 7.2
10-8 5.6% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.4 5.3
9-9 3.7% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.2 3.5
8-10 2.2% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 2.2
7-11 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.2
6-12 0.6% 0.6
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 28.4% 28.4% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.8 20.3 71.6 0.0%