IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
UNC Asheville
Big South
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.1	#252
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#140
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#211

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.0	#296

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.0%	18.8%	7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.1	14.4	15.3

.500 or above	48.6%	83.8%	45.9%
.500 or above in Conference	66.0%	87.9%	64.3%
Conference Champion	9.4%	23.2%	8.3%
Last Place in Conference	4.4%	0.8%	4.7%

First Four	2.2%	1.7%	2.2%
First Round	6.9%	18.0%	6.1%
Second Round	0.3%	1.5%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UAB (Away) - 7.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 4	2 - 8
Quad 4	12 - 6	14 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	74	@ UAB	L	64-80	7%
Nov 14, 2021	135	@ Chattanooga	L	68-78	18%
Nov 18, 2021	301	Tennessee Tech	W	77-74	59%
Nov 23, 2021	22	@ North Carolina	L	68-90	3%
Dec 01, 2021	272	The Citadel	W	85-81	63%
Dec 04, 2021	339	NC Central	W	76-66	81%
Dec 08, 2021	135	Chattanooga	L	71-75	37%
Dec 11, 2021	309	@ Western Carolina	W	78-77	51%
Dec 14, 2021	349	@ Tennessee Martin	W	79-71	73%
Dec 18, 2021	141	East Tennessee St.	L	69-73	38%
Dec 29, 2021	30	@ Indiana	L	61-81	5%
Jan 05, 2022	200	@ Campbell	L	67-73	31%
Jan 08, 2022	335	Charleston Southern	W	80-71	78%
Jan 12, 2022	143	@ Winthrop	L	75-85	21%
Jan 15, 2022	343	South Carolina Upstate	W	80-69	81%
Jan 19, 2022	286	N.C. A&T	W	79-74	65%
Jan 22, 2022	264	@ Radford	L	67-70	42%
Jan 26, 2022	225	Gardner-Webb	W	73-72	54%
Jan 29, 2022	319	@ Presbyterian	W	71-70	53%
Feb 02, 2022	249	Longwood	W	71-68	59%
Feb 05, 2022	299	@ High Point	L	71-72	48%
Feb 09, 2022	329	Hampton	W	82-74	75%
Feb 12, 2022	343	@ South Carolina Upstate	W	77-72	65%
Feb 16, 2022	335	@ Charleston Southern	W	77-74	61%
Feb 19, 2022	143	Winthrop	L	78-82	38%
Feb 23, 2022	225	@ Gardner-Webb	L	70-75	36%
Feb 26, 2022	319	Presbyterian	W	74-67	70%
Projected Record						13 - 14	9 - 7

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big South Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.0	0.3	1.5	2.8	3.0	1.5	0.4		9.4	1st
2nd										0.0	0.6	2.7	4.1	2.7	0.7	0.0			10.8	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.6	3.4	5.0	2.5	0.4	0.0				11.9	3rd
4th								0.0	0.5	3.6	5.2	2.2	0.2	0.0					11.7	4th
5th								0.4	3.0	5.5	2.4	0.2							11.4	5th
6th							0.2	2.3	5.2	2.5	0.2	0.0							10.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.1	1.6	4.6	2.6	0.3									9.1	7th
8th					0.1	1.0	3.7	2.6	0.4	0.0									7.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.7	2.7	2.5	0.5	0.0										6.5	9th
10th			0.0	0.5	2.0	2.1	0.5	0.0											5.1	10th
11th		0.1	0.5	1.3	1.4	0.4	0.0												3.7	11th
12th	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.2	0.0													2.4	12th

Total	0.1	0.5	1.4	2.6	4.3	6.2	8.4	10.5	11.6	12.4	11.8	10.4	8.2	5.9	3.6	1.5	0.4			Total

Big South Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
15-1	98.2%	1.5		1.3	0.1
14-2	81.4%	3.0		2.0	0.9	0.1	0.0
13-3	47.4%	2.8		1.3	1.2	0.3	0.0
12-4	17.7%	1.5		0.3	0.6	0.4	0.1	0.0
11-5	2.5%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
10-6	0.1%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	9.4%	9.4		5.4	2.9	0.9	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.4%		53.5%	53.5%		13.1						0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-1	1.5%		40.6%	40.6%		13.9							0.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.9
14-2	3.6%		36.1%	36.1%		14.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.2	2.3
13-3	5.9%		24.4%	24.4%		15.0													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.5	4.5
12-4	8.2%		17.3%	17.3%		15.3													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	6.8
11-5	10.4%		10.8%	10.8%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.3	0.8	9.3
10-6	11.8%		7.6%	7.6%		15.8														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.7	10.9
9-7	12.4%		4.1%	4.1%		15.9																0.0	0.5	11.9
8-8	11.6%		2.4%	2.4%		16.0																0.0	0.3	11.3
7-9	10.5%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																0.0	0.1	10.3
6-10	8.4%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	8.4
5-11	6.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	6.2
4-12	4.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.3
3-13	2.6%																							2.6
2-14	1.4%																							1.4
1-15	0.5%																							0.5
0-16	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		8.0%	8.0%	0.0%	15.1						0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.2	2.3	3.8	92.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%