Preseason Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.4#315
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#191
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#272
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 23.0% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.6
.500 or above 59.8% 74.0% 40.7%
.500 or above in Conference 73.5% 82.2% 61.8%
Conference Champion 19.4% 25.6% 11.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.6% 5.9%
First Four5.6% 5.5% 5.7%
First Round15.4% 20.5% 8.7%
Second Round0.8% 1.2% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Hartford (Home) - 57.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 413 - 615 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 213   Hartford W 68-66 57%    
  Nov 13, 2021 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-77 11%    
  Nov 17, 2021 191   St. Peter's W 66-65 52%    
  Nov 20, 2021 293   NJIT W 72-66 71%    
  Nov 23, 2021 257   @ Army L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 01, 2021 41   @ Seton Hall L 60-78 7%    
  Dec 04, 2021 188   @ Stony Brook L 64-70 33%    
  Dec 08, 2021 53   @ Penn St. L 63-79 9%    
  Dec 20, 2021 354   Delaware St. W 87-68 94%    
  Dec 23, 2021 260   @ Fairfield L 64-65 46%    
  Dec 29, 2021 283   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-72 50%    
  Dec 31, 2021 242   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-63 43%    
  Jan 06, 2022 206   Bryant W 79-78 55%    
  Jan 08, 2022 288   Sacred Heart W 73-67 69%    
  Jan 15, 2022 320   St. Francis Brooklyn W 80-71 75%    
  Jan 17, 2022 323   Fairleigh Dickinson W 80-71 77%    
  Jan 21, 2022 254   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 23, 2022 234   @ Merrimack L 63-66 41%    
  Jan 27, 2022 283   St. Francis (PA) W 74-68 68%    
  Jan 29, 2022 320   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 77-74 58%    
  Feb 03, 2022 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 05, 2022 254   LIU Brooklyn W 77-72 64%    
  Feb 10, 2022 242   Mount St. Mary's W 64-60 62%    
  Feb 12, 2022 234   Merrimack W 66-63 60%    
  Feb 17, 2022 288   @ Sacred Heart W 70-69 50%    
  Feb 19, 2022 346   Central Connecticut St. W 80-67 85%    
  Feb 24, 2022 323   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 77-74 60%    
  Feb 26, 2022 206   @ Bryant L 76-81 36%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 4.2 4.9 4.3 2.4 0.9 19.4 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.7 5.5 3.9 1.4 0.2 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.4 5.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 14.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 4.2 1.4 0.1 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.1 3.4 0.9 0.1 10.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.5 2.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 5.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.4 4.8 6.1 7.9 8.9 10.4 10.7 10.6 10.1 8.6 6.3 4.6 2.4 0.9 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.9    0.9
17-1 100.0% 2.4    2.3 0.0
16-2 94.6% 4.3    3.8 0.6 0.0
15-3 77.2% 4.9    3.5 1.3 0.1
14-4 48.8% 4.2    2.1 1.7 0.3 0.0
13-5 21.0% 2.1    0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1
12-6 4.6% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.4% 19.4 13.4 4.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.9% 73.8% 72.8% 0.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 3.5%
17-1 2.4% 60.6% 60.2% 0.4% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 1.0%
16-2 4.6% 50.1% 50.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 2.3
15-3 6.3% 42.1% 42.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.8 3.7
14-4 8.6% 33.0% 33.0% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.4 5.7
13-5 10.1% 28.5% 28.5% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 7.2
12-6 10.6% 22.2% 22.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.0 8.3
11-7 10.7% 16.3% 16.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.6 9.0
10-8 10.4% 8.6% 8.6% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 9.5
9-9 8.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 8.6
8-10 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.8
7-11 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1
6-12 4.8% 4.8
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 18.1% 18.1% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.6 4.6 9.3 81.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 5.0 26.5 44.9 28.6
Lose Out 0.0%