Pre-tourney Rankings
Missouri Valley
2022-23


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
73 Drake 100.0%   12   26 - 7 15 - 4 26 - 8 15 - 4 +7.9      +3.0 97 +4.8 57 66.2 227 +8.0 68 +7.0 2
87 Bradley 0.1%   24 - 9 15 - 4 24 - 9 15 - 4 +6.3      +1.4 138 +4.9 55 64.2 285 +7.1 78 +7.8 1
95 Indiana St. 0.0%   21 - 12 12 - 7 21 - 12 12 - 7 +5.1      +3.7 81 +1.3 126 74.9 33 +1.2 145 +1.3 7
123 Belmont 0.0%   20 - 11 14 - 6 20 - 11 14 - 6 +2.8      +4.0 76 -1.3 214 70.8 112 +3.3 121 +4.2 4
137 Southern Illinois 0.0%   22 - 10 13 - 6 22 - 10 13 - 6 +1.9      -2.7 259 +4.6 59 61.8 330 +4.7 106 +4.7 3
151 Missouri St. 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 8 16 - 15 11 - 8 +1.1      -0.2 177 +1.3 128 58.5 357 +0.3 161 +2.1 5
203 Northern Iowa 0.0%   13 - 18 9 - 10 13 - 18 9 - 10 -1.7      -0.9 204 -0.8 194 68.2 171 -2.5 216 -1.5 8
217 Murray St. 0.0%   16 - 15 11 - 9 16 - 15 11 - 9 -2.4      +0.5 157 -2.9 268 66.6 213 +0.3 162 +1.4 6
267 Illinois St. 0.0%   11 - 21 6 - 14 11 - 21 6 - 14 -5.7      -3.0 269 -2.7 262 63.7 297 -6.7 282 -6.7 9
280 Valparaiso 0.0%   10 - 21 5 - 15 10 - 21 5 - 15 -6.3      -4.4 300 -2.0 238 68.9 158 -6.8 283 -8.0 10
288 Illinois-Chicago 0.0%   11 - 20 4 - 15 11 - 20 4 - 15 -6.5      -4.6 305 -1.9 237 71.7 89 -6.4 274 -9.1 11
348 Evansville 0.0%   5 - 27 1 - 18 5 - 27 1 - 18 -12.2      -9.6 358 -2.7 260 72.3 69 -11.0 333 -17.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Drake 1.0 100.0
Bradley 1.0 100.0
Indiana St. 5.0 100.0
Belmont 3.0 100.0
Southern Illinois 4.0 100.0
Missouri St. 6.0 100.0
Northern Iowa 8.0 100.0
Murray St. 6.0 100.0
Illinois St. 9.0 100.0
Valparaiso 10.0 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 11.0 100.0
Evansville 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0
Drake 15 - 5 100.0
Bradley 15 - 5 100.0
Indiana St. 12 - 8 100.0
Belmont 14 - 6 100.0
Southern Illinois 13 - 7 100.0
Missouri St. 11 - 9 100.0
Northern Iowa 9 - 11 100.0
Murray St. 11 - 9 100.0
Illinois St. 6 - 14 100.0
Valparaiso 5 - 15 100.0
Illinois-Chicago 4 - 16 100.0
Evansville 1 - 19 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Drake 100.0% 100.0
Bradley 100.0% 100.0
Indiana St.
Belmont
Southern Illinois
Missouri St.
Northern Iowa
Murray St.
Illinois St.
Valparaiso
Illinois-Chicago
Evansville


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Drake 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 3.5 78.1 18.4 0.1
Bradley 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Drake 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 29.0% 9.6% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Bradley 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Indiana St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Belmont 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Southern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Iowa 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Murray St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Valparaiso 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Illinois-Chicago 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Evansville 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.0
2nd Round 29.0% 0.3 71.0 29.0 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 9.6% 0.1 90.4 9.6
Elite Eight 2.0% 0.0 98.0 2.0
Final Four 0.5% 0.0 99.5 0.5
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0