Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#73
Expected Predictive Rating+8.0#68
Pace66.2#227
Improvement+3.2#7

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#97
First Shot+5.0#46
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#321
Layup/Dunks-1.1#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#17
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#102
Freethrows+0.7#117
Improvement+2.1#26

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#57
First Shot+3.2#78
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#37
Layups/Dunks+3.9#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#356
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#125
Freethrows+1.4#67
Improvement+1.1#67
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round29.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 23 - 34 - 4
Quad 310 - 314 - 7
Quad 412 - 026 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2022 360   IUPUI W 80-48 98%     1 - 0 +14.1 -5.3 +18.4
  Nov 14, 2022 223   Wofford W 80-72 90%     2 - 0 +2.1 +7.7 -4.9
  Nov 18, 2022 212   Buffalo W 80-72 82%     3 - 0 +6.0 +4.6 +1.3
  Nov 20, 2022 150   Wyoming W 61-56 74%     4 - 0 +6.2 -4.3 +11.2
  Nov 21, 2022 164   Tarleton St. W 71-64 77%     5 - 0 +7.1 +1.6 +5.6
  Nov 26, 2022 101   Louisiana W 76-64 72%     6 - 0 +13.8 -0.4 +13.8
  Nov 30, 2022 95   @ Indiana St. L 73-75 49%     6 - 1 +6.1 -2.5 +8.7
  Dec 03, 2022 288   Illinois-Chicago W 77-64 94%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +3.5 +0.7 +2.8
  Dec 07, 2022 318   Nebraska Omaha W 78-65 96%     8 - 1 +1.2 -0.8 +2.2
  Dec 10, 2022 147   @ Richmond L 52-82 64%     8 - 2 -25.7 -21.1 -2.4
  Dec 17, 2022 92   @ Saint Louis L 75-83 48%     8 - 3 +0.4 +4.3 -3.8
  Dec 20, 2022 49   Mississippi St. W 58-52 43%     9 - 3 +15.7 +0.0 +16.3
  Dec 29, 2022 280   Valparaiso W 68-63 94%     10 - 3 2 - 0 -4.3 -5.2 +1.1
  Jan 01, 2023 151   @ Missouri St. L 49-52 64%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +1.1 -13.8 +14.5
  Jan 04, 2023 137   @ Southern Illinois L 49-53 62%     10 - 5 2 - 2 +0.8 -10.9 +11.1
  Jan 07, 2023 217   Murray St. W 82-64 89%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +12.6 +5.5 +7.3
  Jan 10, 2023 288   @ Illinois-Chicago W 76-71 OT 86%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +1.4 +0.9 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2023 87   Bradley W 86-61 67%     13 - 5 5 - 2 +28.3 +26.9 +4.4
  Jan 18, 2023 151   Missouri St. L 62-65 OT 82%     13 - 6 5 - 3 -4.8 -8.3 +3.3
  Jan 21, 2023 348   @ Evansville W 97-61 94%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +26.7 +27.0 +1.2
  Jan 24, 2023 95   Indiana St. W 70-68 71%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +4.1 -3.5 +7.6
  Jan 29, 2023 123   @ Belmont W 79-61 58%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +23.7 +8.6 +15.6
  Feb 01, 2023 203   Northern Iowa W 88-81 2OT 88%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +2.3 +2.7 -1.2
  Feb 04, 2023 280   @ Valparaiso W 85-82 2OT 85%     18 - 6 10 - 3 -0.4 -1.2 +0.4
  Feb 07, 2023 217   @ Murray St. W 92-68 76%     19 - 6 11 - 3 +24.6 +28.2 -0.9
  Feb 11, 2023 137   Southern Illinois W 82-59 80%     20 - 6 12 - 3 +21.9 +22.6 +2.2
  Feb 15, 2023 203   @ Northern Iowa W 82-74 74%     21 - 6 13 - 3 +9.3 +12.2 -2.7
  Feb 19, 2023 123   Belmont W 70-56 78%     22 - 6 14 - 3 +13.8 -8.8 +21.9
  Feb 22, 2023 267   Illinois St. W 82-51 93%     23 - 6 15 - 3 +22.3 +7.1 +16.0
  Feb 26, 2023 87   @ Bradley L 61-73 45%     23 - 7 15 - 4 -2.7 -2.9 -0.3
  Mar 03, 2023 217   Murray St. W 74-62 83%     24 - 7 +9.6 +7.0 +4.1
  Mar 04, 2023 137   Southern Illinois W 65-52 72%     25 - 7 +14.9 +7.1 +9.8
  Mar 05, 2023 87   Bradley W 77-51 56%     26 - 7 +32.3 +21.0 +15.3
  Mar 17, 2023 37   Miami (FL) L 72-75 37%    
Projected Record 26 - 8 15 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 12.2 0.0 3.5 78.1 18.4 0.1
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 3.5 78.1 18.4 0.1