Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2022-23
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#72
Pace70.4#120
Improvement+1.6#65

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#71
First Shot+1.6#123
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#21
Layup/Dunks+3.4#50
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#164
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#274
Freethrows+0.2#163
Improvement-0.3#223

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#156
First Shot+0.1#166
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#125
Layups/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#110
Freethrows-1.4#294
Improvement+1.9#19
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round16.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen4.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.6% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 310 - 111 - 6
Quad 412 - 123 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2022 166   Harvard W 75-61 68%     1 - 0 +13.9 +8.5 +6.0
  Nov 13, 2022 241   East Tennessee St. W 81-77 80%     2 - 0 -0.1 +2.6 -2.9
  Nov 17, 2022 163   Louisiana Tech W 94-88 77%     3 - 0 +3.1 +12.5 -9.9
  Nov 22, 2022 169   @ SMU W 76-72 OT 58%     4 - 0 +6.7 -1.8 +8.1
  Nov 26, 2022 73   @ Drake L 64-76 28%     4 - 1 -1.2 -4.8 +4.0
  Dec 03, 2022 337   @ New Orleans W 78-77 88%     5 - 1 -7.1 -3.5 -3.7
  Dec 10, 2022 136   Samford W 75-58 71%     6 - 1 +15.9 +5.6 +11.7
  Dec 15, 2022 338   @ McNeese St. W 78-70 88%     7 - 1 -0.2 +3.6 -3.4
  Dec 21, 2022 5   @ Texas L 72-100 8%     7 - 2 -8.0 +2.0 -7.0
  Dec 29, 2022 290   @ Coastal Carolina L 76-77 79%     7 - 3 0 - 1 -4.8 -1.6 -3.1
  Dec 31, 2022 167   @ Old Dominion L 66-70 57%     7 - 4 0 - 2 -1.1 -3.4 +2.2
  Jan 05, 2023 107   Southern Miss W 75-61 64%     8 - 4 1 - 2 +15.1 +9.7 +6.6
  Jan 07, 2023 268   Georgia St. W 78-70 89%     9 - 4 2 - 2 -0.7 +6.5 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2023 282   @ Louisiana Monroe W 86-73 78%     10 - 4 3 - 2 +9.6 +8.4 +0.4
  Jan 14, 2023 110   @ South Alabama W 79-76 41%     11 - 4 4 - 2 +10.0 +10.6 -0.6
  Jan 19, 2023 284   @ Arkansas St. W 80-71 78%     12 - 4 5 - 2 +5.5 +9.4 -3.4
  Jan 21, 2023 197   @ Texas St. W 60-51 62%     13 - 4 6 - 2 +10.6 -3.4 +15.3
  Jan 26, 2023 135   Troy W 72-57 71%     14 - 4 7 - 2 +14.0 +7.8 +7.8
  Jan 28, 2023 211   Georgia Southern W 94-87 82%     15 - 4 8 - 2 +2.0 +20.2 -18.2
  Feb 02, 2023 197   Texas St. W 82-63 80%     16 - 4 9 - 2 +14.7 +14.4 +2.0
  Feb 04, 2023 83   Marshall W 77-67 53%     17 - 4 10 - 2 +13.9 +2.6 +10.9
  Feb 09, 2023 107   @ Southern Miss L 71-82 41%     17 - 5 10 - 3 -3.9 +2.3 -6.3
  Feb 11, 2023 135   @ Troy L 65-80 49%     17 - 6 10 - 4 -10.0 +1.1 -12.3
  Feb 16, 2023 282   Louisiana Monroe W 84-67 90%     18 - 6 11 - 4 +7.6 +10.0 -2.0
  Feb 18, 2023 98   @ James Madison L 68-74 38%     18 - 7 11 - 5 +1.8 +1.4 +0.2
  Feb 22, 2023 284   Arkansas St. W 85-74 90%     19 - 7 12 - 5 +1.6 +8.0 -6.4
  Feb 24, 2023 110   South Alabama W 74-64 64%     20 - 7 13 - 5 +11.1 +6.1 +5.5
  Mar 04, 2023 211   Georgia Southern W 67-49 74%     21 - 7 +16.0 -5.3 +21.2
  Mar 05, 2023 197   Texas St. W 64-58 72%     22 - 7 +4.6 -2.1 +7.5
  Mar 06, 2023 110   South Alabama W 71-66 53%     23 - 7 +9.0 +6.9 +2.6
  Mar 16, 2023 6   Tennessee L 62-74 13%    
Projected Record 23 - 8 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.5 2.6 52.5 40.4 4.5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.5 2.6 52.5 40.4 4.5